Matt Grinding... NLSH Cash?; have a look at my stats

correct call by BB (equity needed 42.13% according to ICMEx)

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $400(BB) Replayer
Hero ($5,240)
BB ($2,290)
UTG ($3,040)
UTG+1 ($1,730)
UTG+2 ($1,960)
MP1 ($2,160)
CO ($1,950)
BTN ($1,630)

Dealt to Hero K♣ 4♠

fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to $1,950 (AI), fold, fold, BB calls $1,550

FLOP ($4,100) T♦ Q♦ 7♦

TURN ($4,100) T♦ Q♦ 7♦ 9♥

RIVER ($4,100) T♦ Q♦ 7♦ 9♥ A♣

CO shows A♥ 8♣
(Pre 65%, Flop 45.5%, Turn 56.8%)

BB shows 5♠ A♦
(Pre 35%, Flop 54.5%, Turn 43.2%)

CO wins $2,050
BB wins $2,050

K2o vs a 50% range has more than enough (41%) equity. Even a 65o would be a call here!
Looks like I've got a lot to learn!

After following your blog, and these calculations, i am in the same boat

Good luck with it all mate.

Originally posted by kolonel71

K2o vs a 50% range has more than enough (41%) equity. Even a 65o would be a call here!
Looks like I've got a lot to learn!

After following your blog, and these calculations, i am in the same boat

Good luck with it all mate.

thanks mate! I've popped in to have look at your blog before, but too busy to leave a reply that's worth anything! Will do it when I have some free time.
I'm sure we can benefit from talking about the game! Perhaps you'd be interested in sweating? My schedule is tight, but who says we can't put the option on the table?

Best,
Matt

Correct call by BB, they need 35-36% equity.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $400(BB) Replayer
SB ($1,340)
BB ($1,810)
UTG ($180)
UTG+1 ($70)
UTG+2 ($5,580)
Hero ($1,850)
MP2 ($2,240)
CO ($2,550)
BTN ($4,380)

Dealt to Hero 3♦ K♥

UTG calls $180 (AI), fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $1,340 (AI), BB calls $940

FLOP ($2,860) 9♣ J♥ K♣

TURN ($2,860) 9♣ J♥ K♣ T♥

RIVER ($2,860) 9♣ J♥ K♣ T♥ 3♥

SB shows J♠ A♣
(Pre 26%, Flop 12.9%, Turn 9.5%)

BB shows K♠ 3♣
(Pre 19%, Flop 11.7%, Turn 7.1%)

UTG shows K♦ A♠
(Pre 55%, Flop 75.4%, Turn 83.3%)

BB wins $2,860

Originally posted by inlovewithamsterdam
Correct call by BB, they need 35-36% equity.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $400(BB) Replayer
SB ($1,340)
BB ($1,810)
UTG ($180)
UTG+1 ($70)
UTG+2 ($5,580)
Hero ($1,850)
MP2 ($2,240)
CO ($2,550)
BTN ($4,380)

Dealt to Hero 3♦ K♥

UTG calls $180 (AI), fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $1,340 (AI), BB calls $940

FLOP ($2,860) 9♣ J♥ K♣

TURN ($2,860) 9♣ J♥ K♣ T♥

RIVER ($2,860) 9♣ J♥ K♣ T♥ 3♥

SB shows J♠ A♣
(Pre 26%, Flop 12.9%, Turn 9.5%)

BB shows K♠ 3♣
(Pre 19%, Flop 11.7%, Turn 7.1%)

UTG shows K♦ A♠
(Pre 55%, Flop 75.4%, Turn 83.3%)

BB wins $2,860

LOL, at the 400 level and all players intact

Another interesting spot:

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $400(BB) Replayer
SB ($9,085)
Hero ($4,995)
UTG ($1,600)
CO ($2,830)
BTN ($1,490)

Dealt to Hero Q♦ K♦

UTG raises to $1,600 (AI), fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $1,200

FLOP ($3,400) 3♦ 6♥ 6♦

TURN ($3,400) 3♦ 6♥ 6♦ T♣

RIVER ($3,400) 3♦ 6♥ 6♦ T♣ 7♠

Hero shows Q♦ K♦
(Pre 43%, Flop 48.4%, Turn 31.8%)

UTG shows A♦ J♥
(Pre 57%, Flop 51.6%, Turn 68.2%)

UTG wins $3,400

We're getting almost 2:1 here (1.86:1) and the risk premium is very low (3.18%).

Pot odds + Risk Premium = 38.46% equity needed.

Assuming he shoves 39% here

we call hands like K2o, 76s, J7s, T9o or Q2s (close).

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $800(BB) Replayer
SB ($6,710)
Hero ($8,635)
CO ($2,225)
BTN ($2,430)

BTN antes $25
SB antes $25
Hero antes $25
CO antes $25

Dealt to Hero 8♠ 5♠

fold, BTN raises to $2,405 (AI), fold, Hero calls $1,605

FLOP ($5,310) 8♣ 2♠ 5♥

TURN ($5,310) 8♣ 2♠ 5♥ 4♠

RIVER ($5,310) 8♣ 2♠ 5♥ 4♠ 7♥

Hero shows 8♠ 5♠
(Pre 38%, Flop 95.2%, Turn 93.2%)

BTN shows J♠ A♣
(Pre 62%, Flop 4.8%, Turn 6.8%)

Hero wins $5,310

This is a correct call.

Pot odds wise we're getting almost 2:1 (1.85 to 1), the risk premium is microscopic - 3.22%.

Pot odds + Risk Premium = 33.45% equity needed.

Assuming he shoves 50% here

we're calling with hands like 92s, J2o, 75o or 94o (break-even).

new topics to master & implement:

:diamond:-stop and go
:diamond:-limp and go
:diamond:-folding wars

(thanks grummeler and phzon!)

EDIT: for those interested Phzon's video "Folding War Basics"

AREAS FOR IMPROVEMENT
I've recently concluded that there are a number areas -big and small - in which I want to improve, namely:

1:diamond: Bubble, 4 even stacks

2♦ How to abuse the bubble?

3♦ Pushing into fish on the bubble

4♦ 10bbs and less shove calling

5♦ HU shoving ranges

6♦ Shoving over limpers

7♦ Three handed play

8♦ Re-steals (BvB, in blinds vs. LP open)

9♦ Playing PPs early position in different stages

I shall improve by making targeted session reviews, posting in the evaluation forum, watching and re-watching of videos, accessing new learning material and making own calculations.
I will plan it all and carry the study goals out on by one.

CHANGES
There are two changes I've made as of today, they will help reduce Tilt/tiredness, increase Focus, give me more time to make notes, mark hands and make decisions.

HUD
My Hud will have 10 items on it from now on, namely Vpip, Pfr, 3Bet, Limp, no. of Hands, Steal from BTN, Steal from SB, Fold to Steal SB, Fold to Steal BB, Aggression factor. I will make an effort for it to be clear.

NUMBER OF TABLES
I will aim play 8 tables total most of the time, while not allowing for more than 5 Late Stage SNGs to be on at any one time. E.g. I put on 5 tables, play them till the Mid stages, and then put on 3 more. This is to give me extra focus and time during the two difficult stages - Mid & Late.
After seven substantial sessions of playing by this setting I will assess the number of SNGs/hour and decide if the difference is big enough to hurt my $Won (i.e. big enough to diminish my anticipated increase in ROI).

I will only proceed to play more tables once I'm confident my decisions will take less time on average.

Originally posted by inlovewithamsterdam

4♦ 10bbs and less shove calling

I have been putting together a chart as a guide. Happy to share and work on it with you, even to get some feedback.

Originally posted by inlovewithamsterdam

8♦ Re-steals (BvB, in blinds vs. LP open)

I tend to use my steal stats here if i have plenty of hands on someone. My HUD consists of CO_STL, BTN_STL, SB_STL - seems to work

Originally posted by inlovewithamsterdam
My Hud will have 10 items on it from now on, namely Vpip, Pfr, 3Bet, Limp, no. of Hands, Steal from BTN, Steal from SB, Fold to Steal SB, Fold to Steal BB, Aggression factor. I will make an effort for it to be clear.

Very similar to mine, just with the addition of Steal from CO.

Originally posted by inlovewithamsterdam
I will aim play 8 tables total most of the time, while not allowing for more than 5 Late Stage SNGs to be on at any one time. E.g. I put on 5 tables, play them till the Mid stages, and then put on 3 more. This is to give me extra focus and time during the two difficult stages - Mid & Late.
After seven substantial sessions of playing by this setting I will assess the number of SNGs/hour and decide if the difference is big enough to hurt my $Won (i.e. big enough to diminish my anticipated increase in ROI).

I will only proceed to play more tables once I'm confident my decisions will take less time on average.

I like what you are doing here. I got so burnt when i ramped up the tables, and it was more than noticeable in my results.

you seem to be doing all the right things mate, so the results will come. What site are you playing on ?

cheers for the response mate!

Sure we could work on the chart! I bet it would be of benefit to both of us. PM me when you're available (this week or next week) and we can work something out! Perhaps we could have some sessions together, that'd be awesome.

I play on Party, but that's not to last as I'm moving to BetFair in near future.

I love your dedication, with mindset like that and amount of time you put into developing you'll crush this game.
And charts that Colonel mentioned can really be a game changer if done properly.
Keep up the good work mate!

Originally posted by Gerovit
I love your dedication, with mindset like that and amount of time you put into developing you'll crush this game.
And charts that Colonel mentioned can really be a game changer if done properly.
Keep up the good work mate!

thanks a lot mate! So have you done charts in your time (when you didn't have as good of a feel as you probs do now)?

Yes i did have charts i made them for usual situations like 6 handed 10 bb's deep and less in 9 man sng, 4 handed in 6 max and also bubble charts with different stack setups (two shorties and big stack, three equal stack etc.)
They really helped me a lot, more than reviewing individual hands ad hoc
Of course you have to tweak ranges in that process from experience (meaning HEM base) and also ranges can differ a lot from site to site depending on blind structure, "craziness of villains" and stuff like that.
I saw that you asked about HEM2 i switched recently and it is better than HEM1 (especially with more hands on villains with street by street HUD etc) and it's becoming bug free rapidly.
Also SngWiz2 (which i have privilege to test in alpha version) and Notecaddy only work with HEM2 (NC is extremely useful tool)

Originally posted by Gerovit
Yes i did have charts i made them for usual situations like 6 handed 10 bb's deep and less in 9 man sng, 4 handed in 6 max and also bubble charts with different stack setups (two shorties and big stack, three equal stack etc.)
They really helped me a lot, more than reviewing individual hands ad hoc
Of course you have to tweak ranges in that process from experience (meaning HEM base) and also ranges can differ a lot from site to site depending on blind structure, "craziness of villains" and stuff like that.
I saw that you asked about HEM2 i switched recently and it is better than HEM1 (especially with more hands on villains with street by street HUD etc) and it's becoming bug free rapidly.
Also SngWiz2 (which i have privilege to test in alpha version) and Notecaddy only work with HEM2 (NC is extremely useful tool)

Thanks a lot for all the advice, it'll come of great use! On the topic of software it seems I'll have to rethink it all!

Small Update

I've looked through some of my hands for a brief period of time tonight. Of particular interest were situations in which I'm facing a limp and have between and 10-18bb in the stack (actually I set the filter to 1-19bb to spot as many mistakes as I can).
You might've seen my hands popping up in Hand Evaluation Forums! Well guess what I haven't even got through a third of it. More to come.

On my way to improve!

Best,
Matt

I haven't played a great deal since I wrote the last post. In fact I think I played one session and it happened to be tonight.

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

A very good session, I implemented my plans in regard to the number of tables, kept my calm during suckouts (there were a few of them today) and I think I'm in my best form EVER right now!! In my mind I questioned every play I made, calculated odds in different situations, put people on ranges quite successfully... Yes!

I'm considering going to the weekly student poker tournament (I used go there regularly last semester, with some decent results) because I just feel like I'll fucking destroy them all cocky regulars!! Haha.

So to sum up my mindset has for some reason been perfect today.

That could very well be due to my recent collaboration with Kolonel71! We looked through a few hands and calculated things using ICM Explorer. Brief as it was, it has sparked some kind of learning hunger in me. We've got another one planned, had a look at each others hand histories... can't wait!

I may not have played a lot since the last update but I sure learned a lot! Watched a few vids by D. Phzon Zare, Chenny and Lessthanthree (favs), calculated a few situations, posted hands in the Eval Forums... I marked 79 hands during tonight's session for fucks sake!

On top of that things in my private life have been going the right way lately!

I'm on fire... ♠_evil: Moving to BetFair soon.

Some hands from today

1) Bubble facing shove from equal stack
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $800(BB) Replayer
Hero ($3,490)
BB ($7,425)
CO ($3,210)
BTN ($5,875)

BTN antes $25
BB antes $25
CO antes $25
Hero antes $25

Dealt to Hero 9♥ A♦

CO raises to $3,185 (AI), fold, Hero raises to $3,465 (AI), fold

ICM Explorer:

Fold: 3065 chips, 0.1797, SD: $16.13
Win: 7550 chips, 0.3475
Lose: 280 chips, 0.0212
Tie: 3915 chips, 0.2167

Equity needed: 48.59%
Chip odds: 38.31%
Risk premium: 10.28%
Chips gained by marginal call: 747.51.
Ties count as 59.92% of a win.
SD of marginal call: $17.44.

So we need 49% equity vs. his range in this situation. Risk premium is not huge since he's got a similar stack to us (thus we're not that risk averse vs him). Just how wide he shoves here?
Given he has got Reggy stats - 15/12/8.7 Limp=0 over 76 hands - I assume a range of 22.78%

Against this range we've got 47.32% equity. So this is a close fold.

But perhaps the estimate is too conservative?

2)Fighting results orientation 55 BvB Bubble

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $600(BB) Replayer
Hero ($5,460)
BB ($5,660)
UTG ($5,160)
CO ($1,250)
BTN ($2,470)

Dealt to Hero 5♣ 5♥

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $5,460 (AI), BB calls $4,860

FLOP ($10,920) 3♥ 7♠ 9♣

TURN ($10,920) 3♥ 7♠ 9♣ 9♦

RIVER ($10,920) 3♥ 7♠ 9♣ 9♦ K♦

Hero shows 5♣ 5♥
(Pre 19%, Flop 11.6%, Turn 4.5%)

BB shows Q♦ Q♠
(Pre 81%, Flop 88.4%, Turn 95.5%)

BB wins $10,920

Villain is a fish 25/9! I know I shouldn't be results-oriented, but losing at a spot where there were two microstacks has left a bitter taste in my mouth... Is there anything we can do to minimise the risk? Limping doesn't make sense (we'll have to give up a lot), raising would create a huge pot with little room to move, folding is out of the question IMHO... Seems shoving is the only option here?

I've had more grey spots like this, only I held a marginal hand, like Q7oo... and was wondering - can I shove this if he'll call me with A2s or KTo?

3) 77s 6handed short tough spot

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $400(BB) Replayer
SB ($3,775)
BB ($2,340)
UTG ($5,755)
UTG+1 ($3,550)
Hero ($2,560)
BTN ($2,020)

Dealt to Hero 7♣ 7♦

UTG raises to $800, Hero?

I put him on quite a strong range here given he seems a fish after 6 hands.
Do I shove over his raise or would it be overplayed?

4) KQs a " spot preflop

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1,200(BB) Replayer
SB ($4,070)
BB ($3,650)
UTG ($1,210)
Hero ($6,055)
BTN ($5,015)

BB antes $50
UTG antes $50
Hero antes $50
BTN antes $50
SB antes $50

Dealt to Hero K♣ Q♣

UTG calls $1,160 (AI), Hero calls $1,200, fold, SB calls $600, BB checks

FLOP ($5,010) 7♥ Q♠ 9♣

SB checks, BB bets $2,400 (AI), Hero raises to $4,805 (AI), SB folds

TURN ($9,810) 7♥ Q♠ 9♣ 8♣

RIVER ($9,810) 7♥ Q♠ 9♣ 8♣ 5♥

BB shows 6♥ 9♠
(Pre 26%, Flop 21.5%, Turn 23.8%)

UTG shows A♥ 2♠
(Pre 32%, Flop 9.7%, Turn 4.8%)

Hero shows K♣ Q♣
(Pre 42%, Flop 68.8%, Turn 71.4%)

BB wins $9,810

5)Well played sir

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $60(BB) Replayer
SB ($1,920)
BB ($8,080)
UTG ($1,920)
Hero ($2,000)
UTG+2 ($1,240)
MP1 ($1,940)
CO ($960)
BTN ($1,940)

Dealt to Hero A♠ A♥

fold, Hero raises to $190, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $130

FLOP ($410) J♥ 2♣ 9♠

BB checks, Hero bets $278, BB calls $278

TURN ($966) J♥ 2♣ 9♠ 2♠

BB checks, Hero bets $680, BB raises to $1,860, Hero calls $852 (AI)

RIVER ($4,030) J♥ 2♣ 9♠ 2♠ J♦

BB shows J♣ 8♥
(Pre 15%, Flop 21.6%, Turn 4.5%)

Hero shows A♠ A♥
(Pre 85%, Flop 78.4%, Turn 95.5%)

BB wins $4,030

All right that's enough of the hands.

Here's my February graph:

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The last 7 days have been a tad sick!

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BEST, Matt

Hey mate, great stuff.

Looking forward to catching up, and get my mind thinking even more. Went over your games, and will definately get some value discussing them. Will tone back the games for myself, until i can get my thinking process right (along the same lines that you have). Should get heaps out of tonights sesh.

I think too many people, myself included, are quick to brush over a folded hand preflop or cbet etc. but dont take the time to think about the actual play itself. What sort of range do we put villain on ? How would we play if the board was wet/paired/dry ? How do we play it if we flopped a monster ? Just so much more to it than "he's cbetting, i missed, i fold" which is why i get so much from your blog updates. Hopefully can get my thinking the same way, and keep building form there.

See you then sir.

Originally posted by inlovewithamsterdam
On my way to improve!

Without a doubt, blown away by your organisation & dedication. Keep it up !

You dare saying to me that i have work ethic!

Look at you, you are an animal ♠_cool:... Living and breathing poker! I wish i had that in me...

I see you're going on betfair? I'm going there myself near end of the month or sooner. Did you check out traffic? What BI are you going to play?

Subscribed.

Originally posted by kolonel71
Hey mate, great stuff.

Looking forward to catching up, and get my mind thinking even more. Went over your games, and will definately get some value discussing them. Will tone back the games for myself, until i can get my thinking process right (along the same lines that you have). Should get heaps out of tonights sesh.

I think too many people, myself included, are quick to brush over a folded hand preflop or cbet etc. but dont take the time to think about the actual play itself. What sort of range do we put villain on ? How would we play if the board was wet/paired/dry ? How do we play it if we flopped a monster ? Just so much more to it than "he's cbetting, i missed, i fold" which is why i get so much from your blog updates. Hopefully can get my thinking the same way, and keep building form there.

See you then sir.

Thanks mate! Our sweats are the nuts that's a safe bet!

@nibbana & @RovarTry:

Thanks guys these are all very nice words!

@RovarTry
yes I plan on going to Betfair probs this month, maybe as early as next week... It depends on a lot of factors. We'll see!

I didn't check traffic out, I want to opt in to the deposit promotion, so can't set up an account unless I'm ready to jump into action and grind the two months to get the bonus (you should find a thread on BetFairs bonus I looks tastehhh...!).
Will probs start on the $5 level, giving myself a bankroll of 55BIs... or I'll start on the $3 level, with a 25-35BI bankroll (because I'm cocky).

Thanks all for posting & followage!!
Expect an update in near future!

Best,
Matt