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ATs v stopngo

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rhinoneil
Joined: 16.04.2008

This is late in mtt, just in the money (20 paid) in $99 $30K guar
Villain stats are:
VPIP 20 PFR 11 CallOpen 16 3B 4 Donk 14

No Limit Holdem Tournament
PartyPoker
9 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG (45k)
UTG+1 (177k)
MP1 (45k)
only1rhino (MP2) (95k)
MP3 (32k)
CO (27k)
BTN (105k)
SB (125k)
BB (21k)

Blinds: 1.3k/2.5k Ante 250

Pre-Flop: (6k, 9 players) only1rhino is MP2 10:club: A♠
3 folds, only1rhino raises to 5k, 4 folds, BB calls 2.5k

Flop: 10:heart: 3♠ Q♠ (14k, 2 players)
BB bets 16k, 15712 to only1rhino (90306)?


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7 replies
TheRebuz
Joined: 12.10.2008

Call


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Atoks
Joined: 01.06.2008

I'm not sure what the sample size on the villain here is. If he donk bets 13% out of more than 25 situations then u have to fold. Otherwise folding is probably still preferable as there are many hands that already have u beat and many hands against which ur equity is close to or even under 50%. I'd probably give it up as I don't see villain using a wide enough coldcall range PF to include enough bluffs where my 2nd pair would be winning chips in the long run.


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rhinoneil
Joined: 16.04.2008

Sample size was pretty small, less than 100 hands.
I made the PFR intending to call shove and figured 2nd pair was good on the flop, especially as he pretty much insta shoved the flop.
2nd pair was infact good, he had JKo, turn 10, leaving him just the 9 which of course hit on the river.
I dont mind that, was happy that I made the right call.
This late in mtts my standard raise is minraise but I have noticed a few times that SB/BB call it off fairly loose and either hit or shove flop.
Not planning to increase the raise size but just a note to myself to be aware of these types of plays.


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TheRebuz
Joined: 12.10.2008

Originally posted by Atoks
I'm not sure what the sample size on the villain here is. If he donk bets 13% out of more than 25 situations then u have to fold. Otherwise folding is probably still preferable as there are many hands that already have u beat and many hands against which ur equity is close to or even under 50%. I'd probably give it up as I don't see villain using a wide enough coldcall range PF to include enough bluffs where my 2nd pair would be winning chips in the long run.

This is obv stop and go play with any pair/draws so this is easiest call of all times I call here as light as any pp here (33+ cos he might have a3 sometimes and u feel stupid wnen u call off with 22) any good draw also ak/aj type of hands

Note in reality if villain had q or better he will most often ch/ r in this spot or bet smalish to induce so imo when he donk overshove on flop he has weaker part of his range like all the time


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amplifyd
Joined: 03.08.2009

Snapcall - I don't care about his stats here. 2PTK is more than good enough here to call.


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

i'm calling a9 here against most people, don't fold to 1psb shoves, aka stopngos...


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Tiltberger
Joined: 23.06.2005

few players shove their complete range here and check all 10x and qx or sethits overpairs whatever! you're ahead here soooo often!
snaaaap


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