AQo 12.04.

Hand discussions for No Limit

Last Post by veriz 14 years ago

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HansTheGreat

Joined: 14.02.2010

Posts: 3,779

13.04.2012, 12:47 0

BTN: $3.35 - VPIP: 8, PFR: 8, 3B: 2, AF: 3.6, Hands: 825
SB: $13.79 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 4, 3B: 0, AF: 2.0, Hands: 46
Hero (BB): $10.00 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 4, AF: 4.1, Hands: 84062
UTG: $12.00 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 8, 3B: 14, AF: 2.8, Hands: 78
UTG+1: $10.91 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: 2.5, Hands: 62
MP1: $9.35 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 1.4, Hands: 67
MP2: $10.20 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 8.0, Hands: 50
CO: $3.93 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 20, 3B: 9, AF: 1.7, Hands: 331

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with A :club: Q :spade:
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.35, 5 folds, Hero calls $0.25

Flop: ($0.75) 3 :heart: 2 :heart: A :heart: (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

Turn: ($1.75) T :club: (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks

River: ($1.75) 5 :spade: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.95, UTG+1 folds

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4 replies

rogervieri

Joined: 09.12.2010

Posts: 961

13.04.2012, 13:25 0

Hi Sikac

I like your stats VPIP/PFR/AF 16/12/4.1, especially given the sample of 84k hands!

Now about the hand:
I would like to put UTG+1 on the following range:
55+, ATs+, AQo+, KJs+, KQo, JTs+ (9.65%)

preflop equity:
Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 53.035 % 48.244 % 9.582 % 42.175 % 55+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, JTs, AQo+, KQo
Player 2: 46.965 % 42.175 % 9.582 % 48.244 % AcQs

flop: 3 :heart: 2 :heart: A :heart:

postflop equity:
Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 35.540 % 30.823 % 9.433 % 59.744 % 55+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, JTs, AQo+, KQo
Player 2: 64.460 % 59.744 % 9.433 % 30.823 % AcQs

I think that makes you calling villain's c-bet very OK ♦

turn: T :club:

Turn equity:
Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 34.142 % 31.001 % 6.282 % 62.717 % 55+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, JTs, AQo+, KQo
Player 2: 65.858 % 62.717 % 6.282 % 31.001 % AcQs

We even pick up some more equity against his range + the fact that he checks behind either means 1 of 2 things:
1) he doesn't have an ace (of maybe with weak kicker like A6, A7, A8 or A9)
2) he's very afraid of the flush

River: 5 :spade:

River Equity:
Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 27.907 % 24.419 % 6.977 % 68.605 % 55+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, JTs, AQo+, KQo
Player 2: 72.093 % 68.605 % 6.977 % 24.419 % AcQs

River basically blanks, so you were right to put in a value-bet.

How do you see the size of your value bet?? it's little over 1/2 potsize...do you still agree with that amount after the hand?? Do you also have the WTSD stat for this villain?? perhaps it can help us determine the probability if he would still call a fair sized riverbet

PS> I think the best sizing is 1/3 (33%) potsize, because of 2 reasons:
1) at least you still make some extra money on the river
2) it makes your bluffs cheaper (let's say your hand was K :heart:, Q :spade: with the nut-blocker in your hand, you might bluff also in this spot)

Perhaps a coach or someone else can comment on this as well

good luck on the tables!!

Quote

veriz

Joined: 20.07.2008

Posts: 64,009

16.04.2012, 01:58 0

Hello Sikac,

Well, do you ever see him Checking behind the turn with Ax? I wouldn't, therefore most likely just has a weak hand there. Do you think he is capable of hero-calling with some worse PPs? Then sure, you could Bet there but if rather not then I would just let him bluff with some missed FDs or whatsoever.