NL100 QJo

Advanced hand discussions for No Limit

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axelphoney

Joined: 03.10.2009

Posts: 1,344

28.04.2012, 00:51 0

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($101)
BB ($41.60)
Hero ($141)
UTG+1 ($187)
CO ($118)
BTN ($76)

Dealt to Hero Q♠ J♦

Hero raises to $3.50, fold, fold, BTN calls $3.50, SB calls $3, fold

FLOP ($11.50) J♥ 4♠ 3♥

SB checks, Hero bets $7.50, BTN raises to $21, SB folds, Hero folds

villain is an unknown fish. Had only played a few against him and had not yet been able to pick up anything useful.

What do you guys think is the worst hand I can call/shove here against this ~75BB fish w/out reads?

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2 replies

greyboy

Joined: 19.07.2006

Posts: 2,995

28.04.2012, 17:29 0

Game Theory vs good regs:

on this board your UTG range is very weak. Assume you raise 15% utg.
Only 6% out of 15% of your utg raising range you have top pair or better.
So 60% of the time you will have air. Meaning we have to call our weak top pair range more often.

VS Fish:

His range: JJ+,33-22,AJs,KJs,QJs,J7s+,65s,43s,AJo,KJo,QJo,J9o+,65o

Our Equity: around 40%

I feel around KJ we can start calling him down.
Sometimes he will bluff, sometimes valuebet QJ,JT,J9...

But we need more info if he is capable of bluffing and vbetting thin.
Default: AJ,KJ

"there's a reason, to give it all."

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_Anonymous_

06.05.2012, 11:29 0

Originally posted by greyboy
Game Theory vs good regs:

on this board your UTG range is very weak. Assume you raise 15% utg.
Only 6% out of 15% of your utg raising range you have top pair or better.
So 60% of the time you will have air. Meaning we have to call our weak top pair range more often.

VS Fish:

His range: JJ+,33-22,AJs,KJs,QJs,J7s+,65s,43s,AJo,KJo,QJo,J9o+,65o

Our Equity: around 40%

I feel around KJ we can start calling him down.
Sometimes he will bluff, sometimes valuebet QJ,JT,J9...

But we need more info if he is capable of bluffing and vbetting thin.
Default: AJ,KJ

Really good post, +1 nothing to add.

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