Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($28)
Hero ($176)
UTG ($109)
UTG+1 ($124)
CO ($50)
BTN ($119)
Dealt to Hero 6♠ Q♦
fold, UTG+1 calls $1, fold, fold, SB calls $0.50, Hero checks
FLOP ($3) 9♠ Q♥ 6♣
SB bets $2, Hero raises to $8, UTG+1 raises to $14, SB folds, Hero raises to $48, UTG+1 raises to $123 (AI), Hero calls $75.82
villain: 51/2/2/48 (VPIP/PFR/AF/WTS) - ~100 hands
Think I may have overplayed this hand. I hadn't managed to get any reads on villain other than he seemd to be playing rather passive and very stationy (called down 3rd pair vs 3barrels amongst other things..).
So his raise here should def be for value, and I assume he would raise something like all twopairs, sets and then maybe also slowplayed KK-AA.
Bräda: Q♥9♣6♠
Equity Vinst Oavgjort
MP2 45.97% 38.70% 7.27% { Q6s, Q6o }
MP3 54.03% 46.77% 7.27% { QQ+, 99, 66, Q9s, Q6s, 96s, Q9o, Q6o }
So we are a slight underdog, so getting in should not be that good.
If we assume he always raises QQ+ pre our equity will plunge even more:
Bräda: Q♥9♣6♠
Equity Vinst Oavgjort
MP2 27.15% 13.72% 13.43% { Q6s, Q6o }
MP3 72.85% 59.42% 13.43% { 99, 66, Q9s, Q6s, 96s, Q9o, Q6o }
So maybe a good line would be to just call down here assuming he raises/bets one of the two ranges or something in between?
Getting it in was obv a mistake..
