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Folding premium AA to a donk in a 4bet pot?

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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Villain is playing 38/22/7 over 44 hands... I mean, i know you shouldn't fold AA in a 4bet pot... But here the flop comes and i really think he has at least 2 pair here, and i'm drawing pretty thin. I don't think i'm ever ahead. So is this a good fold?

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $230.92 (461.8 bb)
MP: $41.77 (83.5 bb)
CO: $53.64 (107.3 bb)
Hero (BTN): $50 (100 bb)
SB: $136.91 (273.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9 A A 8
2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, SB raises to $5, BB folds, Hero raises to $15.50, SB calls $10.50

Flop: ($31.50) Q J K (2 players)
SB bets $30.08, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$31.50 pot ($1.42 rake)
Final Board: Q J K
Hero mucked 9 A A 8 and lost (-$15.50 net)
SB mucked and won $30.08 ($14.58 net)


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2 replies
rrrood
Joined: 22.11.2007

$34,50 left to win a $100,50 pot means you need like 34% equity.

Omaha Hi Simulation ?
3,809,720 trials (Exhaustive)
board: QsKhJd
Hand Equity Wins Ties
AdAc9d8c 21.94% 691,005 289,477
QQxx, KKxx, AAxx, AKQJ, AKQT 78.06% 2,829,238 289,477

Looks nitty but prob a good fold, since you don't have enough equity against the above range and assuming villain isn't a complete donk.


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

Good fold imo. :f_cool:

This is pretty much the worst possible flop for your hand.


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