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[SH] NL50 JJ 3bet pot

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duder1n0
Joined: 07.07.2009

Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

CO: $51.74 (103.5 bb)
BTN: $49.91 (99.8 bb)
SB: $58.51 (117 bb)
Hero (BB): $124.97 (249.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J J
CO raises to $1, 2 folds, Hero raises to $4.50, CO calls $3.50

Flop: ($9.25) 4 8 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $5, CO calls $5

Turn: ($19.25) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $9, CO calls $9

River: ($37.25) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $18.50, Hero folds

Anon table.

I had only a couple of hands on Villain, but looked fishy so far.

Turn bet is already marginal, but maybe he could call with weaker sometimes (8x/99/TT/T9 mainly), but I dont think he would bluff or bet weaker too often on the river if I check, so I ch/folded.


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Check fold turn not even close
Ur equity on turn against his flop calling range shuld be below 50% and his turn betting range crushes urs. I cf aa too since its relative hand strength is almost the same


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ttjjboy
Joined: 31.05.2009

hi,mbml
is it a little bit tight to just check fold turn?

Originally posted by mbml
Ur equity on turn against his flop calling range shuld be below 50%

what should we put him on after his calling otf?

i think there r still a lot 99 TT KdQd AdQd 9Ts
even i put 44,55,66,77,88 in (which i dunt think there r too many such hands in a 3bet calling range)

JJ seems still good...
any suggestions?

zh.pokerstrategy.com
board:: 4c8h7d
win draw
MP2 31.12% 30.67% 0.45% { TT-55, T9s, AdQd, KdQd }
MP3 68.88% 68.43% 0.45% { JdJc }

zh.pokerstrategy.com
board:: 4c8h7d5d

MP2 50.96% 48.28% 2.69% { TT-55, T9s, AdQd, KdQd }
MP3 49.04% 46.35% 2.69% { JdJc }


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veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Hello pcfmcc02,

We don't need exactly 50% to make it profitable for us on the turn. Whilst we may also assume he may have even something like 98s/T9s type of holdings in his range, I'd be willing to 2nd barrel the turn and do it mainly by planning to Check/Fold the river.

Best Regards.


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