IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
UTG: $8.30 (41.5 bb)
MP: $26.09 (130.5 bb)
CO: $20.35 (101.8 bb)
Hero (BTN): $55.15 (275.8 bb)
SB: $28.21 (141 bb)
BB: $19.92 (99.6 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with 5
3 J J
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.70, SB calls $0.60, BB folds
Flop: ($1.60) 4
A
2 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.20, SB calls $1.20
Turn: ($4) 8 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3, SB calls $3
River: ($10) 3 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $5, SB raises to $23.31 and is all-in, Hero pukes
Villain is 65/16/4 who has bet big and raised hero a lot in this session, and everytime it has been for value. In last orbits hero has folded to his river bets and raises almost 100% of th time (about 4 times in last 2-3 orbits).
What is the plan here? I think we definitely need to bet, but how much? I chose to bet half a pot to get some value from sets/2 pairs. Villain folds to cbets 50% of the time. His river aggression is 43% (sample of 23 hands) but as said before I haven't seen a single bluff from that player on river. As I bet half a pot he shoved pretty quickly. That totally surprised me. If he has the nuts, he would have had 63xx on flop. Just a gutshot. Can he have a split? It's almost a potsized raise, so he would need to have split about half of the time if his range is splits and nuts.
