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NL100 QJo 3bet pot OOP

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bisovic
Joined: 04.08.2011

Villain 36/27/BU steal 59%/foldto3bet 23%/af 1,4/afq 31%/fold2cb 25%(12)/199 hand

Preflop 3bet for value.
Flop cbet is standard I think.
Turn bet is also standard.

River? C/C, C/F or bet? He will never fold Kx, here and now I beat every small and mid PPs.
Would he turn into bluff here 88 or something like that If I check river? Or it is an easy c/f?

IPoker, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $13.33 (13.3 bb)
UTG: $208.19 (208.2 bb)
MP: $113.30 (113.3 bb)
CO: $113 (113 bb)
BTN: $289.61 (289.6 bb)
Hero (SB): $193.06 (193.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q J
3 folds, BTN raises to $2, Hero raises to $9, BB folds, BTN calls $7

Flop: ($19) 4 2 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $10, BTN calls $10

Turn: ($39) K (2 players)
Hero bets $27, BTN calls $27

River: ($93) Q (2 players)
Hero ?


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3 replies
Scoob101
Joined: 11.10.2006

c/f imo. You dont have value and you dont get any better hands to fold.

I wouldnt be scared of him turning hands like 88 into a bluff. He also has AQ,AK,QQ in his range, because he doesnt 4bet those pre given your deepness that he is also betting OTR.

Additionally, the Flop was very dry and he could have any set combo.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

I don't see too many KX hands in his range. At the very most, something like KQs with some backdoor flush draws, or AK. We have another Queen ourselves and this is a very obvious run-out for us to bluff barrel 2 streets.

If villain is a hero-caller I think this is a reasonable spot to 3barrel for value. He has 77/88/99/TT/JJ which is like 30 combos, I don't see him having AQ unless it's AsQs, and he rarely has Kings in his range too.

AK (12 combos)
mid pocket pairs (30 combos)
Sets (9 combos)
AsQs/KQs (3 combos)

I think I prefer check/fold here if he is straight forward. If he is the type to turn 77 into a bluff then c/c is much better with QJ. I think betting River is a much better option if we weren't deep, so I can remove all combos of AK from his range and we would be further ahead of villain's range.


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serverm07
Joined: 08.08.2012

Hi,

Think preflop plays much better as a call. It's way too thin to be 3betting this for value.

Postflop as played, honestly I don't see him hero calling much with 77/etc, I think he is much more likely to turn them into a bluff personally so i x/decide and decide being call most of the time.


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