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AA agains a reg CAP

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Stedyeddy
Joined: 28.02.2011

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
SB ($10)
Hero ($31.49)
UTG ($30.95)
CO ($40.50)
BTN ($11.31)

Dealt to Hero A♦ A♣

fold, CO raises to $1, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.50

FLOP ($2.25) 6♣ 5♣ Q♥

Hero checks, CO bets $0.97, Hero calls $0.97

TURN ($4.19) 6♣ 5♣ Q♥ 6♥

Hero checks, CO checks

RIVER ($4.19) 6♣ 5♣ Q♥ 6♥ 9♥

Hero bets $2.50, CO raises to $8.03, Hero folds

CO wins $8.78

Oponent
23/19
Open from CO 23%
F3bet CO 100% (4)
Cbet flop 76
Cbet turn 70
WWSD 39
AF 5/1.8/1.3

I like my call preflop. The oponent fold too ofen to 3bet pre.
My plan was to play c/c flop and c/r turn.

River was strange.
I dont know what he could have.
I think that Q9 bet flop and turn, a runer runer fd bet turn, 6x bet turn.
At last I fold bcause the turn its a blank and he could check B hands like FD or 78, and he have a low AF river and low WWSF. My range is face up of a Qx, and not always fold it.

What is your opinion?


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4 replies

Hello,

I think that we should 3bet this hand preflop. The guy folded 4/4 times, but this isn't really a significant sample size, so I would definitely consider 3bet for value here.

I like your postflop plan here to check/call the flop and check/raise the turn since his turn cbet is quite high.

On the river it is quite interesting. He has quite a lot AF on the river, but then we probably don't have big enough sample size on him. On the other hand, his W$SD is on the lower side, plus he isn't really representing anything. With his high turn cbet here, I expect him to bet any FD/87/99/6x so he is basically polarized between nuts and pure bluff so in my opinion we should call here.

Best,
Plamen


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Stedyeddy
Joined: 28.02.2011

Good.

Ty for all your evaluations kymupa.

Exelents all. Gl


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alcapone2000
Joined: 24.07.2006

sorry for my bad english..

Originally posted by kymupa
Hello,

I think that we should 3bet this hand preflop. The guy folded 4/4 times, but this isn't really a significant sample size, so I would definitely consider 3bet for

#

without more Information i push here with 23% OB.

But what you guys think about C/R flop.
If we c/r flop we get paid from any Qx,JJ,TT, FD,A6, OESD, and often 77,88,99. On the next Streets he maybe fold this Hands.
His CB turn is high but i dont think he cbet his trash on the turn. just if we see a K.


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Stedyeddy
Joined: 28.02.2011

Hi agane.

Yes. A 3bets ofc its EV+, and play c/r flop could be EV++. But against this oponent I think that i could extract more value in turn, bcause I think that a big part of bluff and semi bluff continue in turn. If u see, he have a CB turn of 70% in a 2k samples size aprox.


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