8.1. Hand 1: OESD in the early stages
Chip stacks:
Button (t1500)
Hero (t1500)
BB (t1500)
UTG (t1500)
UTG+1 (t1500)
MP1 (t1500)
MP2 (t1500)
MP3 (t1500)
CO (t1500)
Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, K.
UTG calls t20, 2 folds, MP2 calls t20, 3 folds, Hero completes, BB checks.
Flop: (t80) 5, T, J (4 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets t60, MP2 calls t60, Hero calls t60.
Commentary:
On the flop hero holds an OESD, so 8 outs. That means that he will complete his straight on the turn 17% of the time. The odds are thus 6:1. Hero must call t60 in a pot of t200, which is 3:1. In most cases, against 3 opponents, he can discount the A and 9 from his outs, because they are likely to complete a flush for one of the opponents. Because of this one can only count 6-7 outs. In this case, Hero will hit his draw approximately 1 in 7 times on the turn. However, the 60 chips only represent a fraction of Hero's stack, and he can easily win more when he hits, so a call is in order here.
And this?
8.2. Hand 2: Flush draw in the early stages
Chip stacks:
MP2 (t1740)
CO (t5705)
Button (t1340)
SB (t345)
BB (t1430)
UTG (t1470)
Hero (t1470)
Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A, K.
1 fold, Hero raises to t90, 4 folds, BB calls t60.
Flop: (t195) Q, 3, 4 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t120, BB raises to t1340, Hero ?
Commentary:
In most cases the opponent has at least top pair. If he has QJs, for example, Hero is a slight favourite, at 52:48. In the best case scenario where the opponent has only top pair with the queen, Hero can count the flush draw, ace and king toward his outs, which makes a total of 14, meaning he is a 52% favourite. This means that it would be profitable to go all-in if his opponent never did this with a better hand than top pair. This is not the case however, so Hero must fold.
Thank you so much!!
