Long time since I posted for the last time here, so:
I'm struggling a little bit trying to decide whether I stick to HE or start playing omaha. I've been playing some PLO25 zoom, and I'm running god-like.
I'm going to continue playing some more PLO and see how it develops. Perhaps I will grind till gold on stars this time. (I need 800 in 3 days).
First some Indian weird/fantastic music:
So I did. I grinded good last sunday, and I hit goldstar playing Zoom PLO25 and some 15$ 6max hypers.
Omaha is going pretty well, and I feel confortable playing both weak regs and fishes, even though I'm not familiarized with lots of situations. I'm playing with 52bb/60bb for now.
Anyway, my ipoker account was frozen for unknown reasons (anyway, I have so little money in there, so I'm not even beginning to worry about that).
Since I've been doing nothing poker related in the past 5 days, I'm going to start grinding properly tomorrow.
So for next week I want to:
Play at least 12k hands in PLO25 Zoom.
Commit to review every marked hands, keeping a minimum distance of 2 hrs beetween I play the last hand, and start reviewing. Also, I want to view 1 or 2 PLO videos, with full concentration and taking notes.
Continue with the proper pre-session 'warm up' i've been developing. (It's not life changing at all, but works great for me, as I tend to fuck up really bad at the starts of sessions).
HI-LO MOTHERFUCKER, DO YOU SPEAK IT!?
I shipped the 2$+R x3 Turbo OMAHA HI LO.
First, so +1170$ or so, which is fantastic.
Now, let's keep grinding omaha 
I'm changing my mind pretty fast these days. Forget omaha, I'm a SNG guy now.
Basically I think even though in omaha you can get a lot better -since there is a lot of room for skilled players to get an advantage from other skilled players-, I believe in sngs, you can get amazingly strong -and be able to get a great hr/rate- in relatively small time of study.
This leads to an obvious conclusion: If the pool of fishes begins to get small in relation to the regular's pool, it would not be that bad for omaha players, as they will continue to get lots of value from less-studing regulars. On the other hand, it would be terrible for SNG regulars, because as I stated before: I believe strong regs can only get a small edge vs less-studing regs on SNGs.
So puting this into 2 simple graphs:
Those are really far from being on a valid scale, but the point i'm trying to make goes beyond that.
The thing is, from one side, that you could pick a random dude with some grasp on maths, teach him in one month to play, and he will probably be able to get some money from sngs, and that money being somewhat comparable to the money good regs make. In omaha he will probably struggle to even beat the games, because that one month of studying is not nearly enough. And let's not even start talking about the difference of edge between this guy and the best omaha regs...
That's analizing how a new timer (me for example) will do on the short-term on both variants of poker: SNG wins, flawless victory.
But from the 'future of the games' perspective, seing the graph I put there, it's obvious that in omaha, even if you are already a skilled player, you have great money-incentive to study, as you get a real advantage vs the field (that is specially appreciable if the fish situation drops down).
On sngs, on the other hand, if fish's pool drops, regs won't find an money-incentive to study, because they know edge between regs are pretty much capped by the icm equilibrium (there still lot's more to be made other than nash, but you get the picture). So if fishes go down, and stars does not adjust rake accordingly (down of course), regs will struggle to get money before rakeback, and they will probably start migrating to some other markets (like omaha, cash games, sportbetting, forex, or any other crap).
That being said, I think studing sngs is the best option in the shortterm, there are still lots of fishes filling lots of different -but if studied holistically, basically all the same shit- types of sngs: hypers, fiftys, 18man or any other. In the meantime, studing omaha in spare time is fine, if it's for fun + future ev, but not just for the 2nd one.
So from that horrible tl;dr speech, cliffs are:
SNGs: Great value on studing them on the short term, as they are still plenty of fishes (table selection gains value if you don't mind multi-game, which is my case).
Omaha: Shortterm studing does not get lots of value, but it mantains it's value over the time, that's why skilled players can make lots of money even on non-fished tables. Great value if SNG fish's pool drops down for some reason.
I'm going to be playing any variant of SNG that has fishes. I plan to get Platinum this month and I'm pretty late, so it will demand some grind.
I'm evaluating geting sharkscope hud, any thoughts on that?
So i'm playing mostly live poker now (like 80%-20%), and i'm living by myself, so that means i'm playing for a living, since poker is my only source of income.
This is my graph. Aprox 4400$ (the exchange rate is ~9.5$ar to 1$.)
I'm pretty confident I can average a better hourly rate (for now it's 12.5$), but I'm happy with it anyway. But definitely not happy about the hours per month.
It can be seen how much downswings affect my capability to be there and play some hours. When things run bad, it's like I've been there playing for 2 hours and just want to quit and go home. Anyway, my winning sessions never last more than 6 hours, and that is something I need to be working on.
Also there is something else. Since I receive few hands an hour, I tend to become fixed to previous hands, wondering if I could have played any better, and even though I remember that happening when I was playing online, it was mitigated by the fast playing, so it was just: Ok, let's mark this hand for future review, and then forget it and keep playing 1 hand every 5 seconds (and probably never review it anyway).
Example:
In UTG I raise to 8bb with Q♥Q♣, and folds to bb who flats (he is very loose preflop). He checks in the dark, and on the 226r I bet 5bb on a 16bb pot. He flats, and I bet half pot on Qr turn, and half pot on Ar river, and get called both times and MHIG. Even though the hand is very easy, and probably just fine, I went on and on rethinking if I could have bet 8bb on the flop, a play that, if called either way 3 times, gets me roughly 14bb more.
Even though I like my play, I tend to bet what I think will make me max value vs his range, but played by... me. And that's pretty bad thinking, the other guy will call more, with everything, most of the time. So I need to stop that automatic 'nash equilibrium' bets, and start thinking how THE OTHER GUY perceives my bet, not myself.
That's it for now.
