Fold earlier? Call now?

I am definitely calling at least here.
Think I would be raising the turn and shoving the river.
If he has AA/QQ/TJ so be it but just as likely to be AK

Hi,

AK is definitely his 3-bet range and also likely AQ.
I would shove turn before some scary card comes, as played easy calldown (although I would likely shove river)

best regards,

Originally posted by Kaitz20
Hi,

AK is definitely his 3-bet range and also likely AQ.
I would shove turn before some scary card comes, as played easy calldown (although I would likely shove river)

best regards,

I really disagree a random/unknown player is going to have AQ ever here and certainly not value bet the river with it. It wouldn't surprise me to see a random check behind AK here either I think its alot closer than people seem to think.

Considering the stack sizes I think it's very plausible , even to a unknown , to be 3betting AQ here. With that in mind there's no reason to c/f the river , I think you are overvaluing the guys' hand nas play.

Anyway , I agree with above and I would pretty much always c/r the turn here.

Hi all,

I've included every combination of JTo and removed JTs from his range.

Board: 9c Qd Ad Kc 3c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 70.000% 70.00% 00.00% 63 0.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo, JTo }
Hand 1: 30.000% 30.00% 00.00% 27 0.00 { 99 }

Looks like river's a call if we expect him to bet AK. Keep in mind lots of MTTers, especially the lowstakes regs, make really bad judgments regarding riverbets: they'll evaluate their absolute hand strength rather than their relative hand strength. I will however give the reg enough credit to check back AQ. In reality, AK should definitely be a check back on the river against a competent opponent (put yourself in villain's shoes: what do you expect UTG+1 to call you with? this is a board that SMACKS both people's ranges!)

PS: definitely don't fold the turn.