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7$ 9man turbo sng on stars - tricky bubble desicion with ultra short stacks

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Zackzarack
Joined: 01.04.2009

Poker Stars, $6.45 Buy-in (300/600 blinds, 50 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

CO: 553 (0.9 bb)
BTN: 10,261 (17.1 bb)
Hero (SB): 722 (1.2 bb)
BB: 1,964 (3.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A K
CO folds, BTN raises to 10,211 and is all-in, Hero calls 372 and is all-in, BB folds

Flop: (2,144) 3 2 6 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
Turn: (2,144) 7 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: (2,144) T (2 players, 2 are all-in)

The big stack is likely to shove any two cards in this spot. The wizard obviously tells me this is a call. However it is not taking into account the fact , that the CO is going to be auto-all-in in the very next hand. Should I fold and let him risk his tournament life before I risk mine? Can I fold AK here? Please give me your thoughts on this tricky spot.

Results:

Spoiler

2,144 pot
Final Board: 3 2 6 7 T
BTN showed 5 2 and won 2,144 (1,422 net)
Hero showed A K and lost (-722 net)


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6 replies
lila28
Joined: 31.05.2013

This seem snap call even with fact guy is going allin next hand because that he is allin next hand no mean he is loosing next hand and you are itm.

If we look times when we fold here and he double of instead of us we are in very terrible spot and need go allin mostly with pretty weak hands.

I think you can consider fold here with ak only if he auto allin 2x in row.


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HoldemResources Calculator can use future game simulation (FGS) to approximate what will happen in the following hands. It does a pretty good job of taking into account what will happen when the cutoff is allin next hand. It says for this spot that you should call with 66+, ATo+, A7s+, KQ, KTs+.

Part of the reason it's this wide is that you're not that far behind the second stack and doubling up here will significantly increase your chances of placing 2nd.


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Zackzarack
Joined: 01.04.2009

thanks a lot for your replies. It seems trivial to me as well. I discussed this hand with a buddy and I was all for making the call. He however was more on the side of folding, just because the other short stack is about to be auto-all in with anytwo. It got me thinking a lot since he is far more experienced than I am.

call with 66+, ATo+, A7s+, KQ, KTs+

is this the final answer?

I hope one of the judges in here can render a final verdict.

thanks in advance


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mktpppr
Joined: 18.07.2010

hi guys,
I would call, with stack setup and us posting a significant portion of our stack as SB+ante we must call wide here, not trash obv


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kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

Hi, guys! I would snap call as well for sure! I haven't checked what Holdem Resources Calculator says, my range as a default will be looser than 66+, ATo+, A7s+, KQ, KTs+, but it's quite a good program for these spots, so thanks Zackracack and the others for the input.


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Zackzarack
Joined: 01.04.2009

thanks for your feedback guys I very much appreciate it.


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