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[Closed] Guess The Hand & Win Cash!

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MJPerry
Joined: 03.10.2011


Guys:

Note that you must explain your thought process in choosing this hand; "random" guesses will not be considered.


hipkiss
Joined: 08.02.2010

Considering the lack of stats i assume it to be a live cash game. Blind levels $1/2 SB/BB respectively. Rule out any Ace hand due to lack of a post-flop C-bet. Possible delayed c-bet to induce drawing hands to call, if holding a set. Bet the only set that would make sense is K(red)Ks. River polarization would suggest either the nuts or air, and generally in a live cash game at this level it's not very often a bluff, even it's such an overbet. So, it's either a Ks hand or 4s5s. Due to the raise size preflop i would suggest the hand is 4s5s. Tried to defend preflop by re-raising the possible steal, but still with some equity to the flop. Misses the flop but picks up the flush draw and gutshot. Then the 1 outer hits on the turn. The pre-flop bet sizing of 4x the BT's bet to me suggests "please fold" and not "please call" otherwise the bet would be less. Then the river allows rouge Ks or Qs to get there so he ships.

Overall hero's hand: 4s5s.


thazar
Joined: 14.09.2009

I think that the river shove as Internet said has to be the nuts as otherwise you risk to be only called by better.

however I do not see 45s in the 3betting range preflop so I will go for K :spade:5 :spade:

;)


sternp
Joined: 14.07.2008

7 :heart:7 :spade:


4 :spade:5 :spade:

PF: totaly fine 3bet, it's 3way action, BTN will open very loose.
FLOP: pretty good flop, but K or A hit his range often, so check is good.
TURN: we made NUTZ and we want money, so it's time to bet
RIVER: If we bet, he will only call with hands that he would bet himself (if we checked), so perfectly played on river.


I'm going to take a stab at 4 :spade: 5 :spade: as some others have done.

Preflop: makes a 3bet, the fact that the raise is 4x the initial raise suggests to me that hero doesn't really want to be called, so monsters aren't in his range as much, but could still possibly be there.

Flop: given that hero has 3bet fairly large preflop, he's repping a big hand, and this flop smashes AA/KK/AK. Given that the FD is out there, it's hard to imagine him checking AK on the flop since a spade kills the action or kills him, and the flop hits the villains perceived range, so I'll discount AK at this point. KsXx is also unlikely to be in his range here since most people would fire out a cbet having hit middle pair since hero's perceived range is super strong, and he still has equity vs villain's FDs if he gets called. AA/KK could check to slowplay, especially KsKx, so I'll keep them in his range, and all hero's two card flush draws.

Turn: Flush card hits, here hero value bets either his made flush or his flopped set, since villain doesn't necessarily have a flush here but could be drawing. His range is still the same as it was on the flop.

River: When hero checks the river card, putting a four flush on the board, he's either worried that the river has killed his hand (AA/KK and small flushes), or he has a strong flush, and wants to induce a bluff. However I discounted KsXx from his flop range after checking the flop, so I'd put his range at QsXx and 4s5s. When villain stabs I think QsXx can only call, not raise, since villain only needs a naked Ks to beat him, but hero overshoves, this looks very much like 4s5s wanting a call from the second nuts.

In addition, the flop play makes sense with 4s5s, after showing great strength preflop hero flops a monster draw that is ahead of villain's Ax/Kx combos, which he will have a lot, and checks flop looking to c/r when it's hard for villain to find a fold with Ax and some of his Kx that have flush draws.


Hero hole cards: KsKx

Prerflop: 3bet for value. Villain call3bet. So his range quite wide: pocket pair Ace suited, suited conector

Flop: Flopped nut. But Villain will fold most of his range if Hero bet. So hero induce bluff

Turn: Betting here is a must because Villain looks like want to go to showdown cheaply.

River: Hero have the best hand for sure, but Villain range not hit the board. So hero induce bluff.


Hero hole card : KsQx

Preflop :KQo is good hand to 3bet against a wide button range.Nothing much to explain over here.

Flop : We flop middle pair with a nut flush backdoor draw. It make sense for hero to check with the intention of calling a villain bet.

Turn : Great, we have the nut flush draw. We can bet for value here and we have fold equity against villain that show weakness on the flop.

River : Completed our nut flush and villain shown strength on the turn. We can easily check here to feign weakness and once villain bet and fall into our trap, it is an easy shove.


roqallo
Joined: 11.03.2009

K:sA:d std 3bet
flop trapping (3bet pots you not scare of FD + he have BD nuts FD)
Turn try to get value
R: his best chance to winn more money is to give him chance to bluff


acerbikas
Joined: 03.01.2011

KK. I will go for the simplest bold guess that the Hero had pocket kings KsKx. While numerous other hands are possible (esp various random hands to represent), but I will just guess that. The 3bet preflop is mandatory (esp in sb). His 3bet range smashes the board so bad that he decides to check it back in order to induce some action. He has the nut flush blocker, so he isn't going anywhere no matter the turn card. Now the turn brings in a potential flush draw and he decides to lead out, representing (valuebetting) an Ace without a flush card. The river completes his flush draw and he decides to let his opponent try to bluff him off or value bet his weaker flushes. Since he led out on the turn, it is safe to assume that the opponent put him on an ace. Once he checked the river, the rest was self-explanatory - the opponent took a stab based on that assumption (or himself backed into a flush) and the hero came over the top with the nuts.


Coach
Kyyberi
Joined: 09.07.2010

4:h K:s

Preflop is a misclick. On flop hero checks cos he is scared of that ace. When villain checks back, hero knows he doesn't have an ace. So hero bets. On the river, hero goes tricky and gets the max value.

EZ game.


arsenalua
Joined: 02.04.2013

I think it's K :spade:T :heart:.
Pre: Hand is not very good to call with and have nice blockers to 3bet it.
Flop: Got some equity, can't make opp fold an ace and make a lot of money from weaker hands.
Turn: Clear value bet now.
River: Depends on opp it's kinda reasonable play with K :spade:. Don't think all opps would fold Q or even J :spade:.


lxuzyl
Joined: 30.05.2011

Here's my guess:

Hero hole cards: 88 (pocket pair of eights)

Preflop: Button may try to steal the blinds, 3bet with 88 to protect, $24 is of a reasonable value (around 6% of Hero's), can hit for a mine.

Flop: Check to minimize the value to buy for the turn card.

Turn: Button checks on flop, potential to bluff with flush on turn.

River: Hit the mine with 3 of a kind of eights. If button holds a flush, he should re-raise on the turn. Button only called, he could only be buying the river card for a straight. Its an Eight on the river, which is no likely to help with any straight draw. ALL-IN!


gxtwo
Joined: 15.12.2010

Hero has JJo/QQo(no spade). Preflop raise cause Buttonraise. Flop Comes with 2 overcards-check/check. Turn another spade. Hero is thinking Holding the best hand-bet/call. River brings a one spade flush. Hero will represent the nutflush and decide to check-raise to win the pot.


K :spade: Qx

Preflop: Standard to 3b against a button raise
Flop: Middle pair with an A on a board with a fairly wet texture would be a dangerous bet OOP

Turn: Villain showed no strength, you'd expect an A to bet the flop since our range includes a lot of suited broadway combinations which pick up draws on this kind of flop, we've picked up an additional flush draw to go with middle pair so we can bet keeping in weaker Kx and flush draws.

River: The villain has stuck around so we can check to induce a bet while holding the second nuts, once they've bet a shove is only 1.5 or so times the pot so its a good sizing for a raise


TomasAbr
Joined: 01.08.2011

Wow we should guess hand ( we cant say it random ) but you dont give any info about hero? If he is maniac he might have 27 without spades here..

But if he plays as recomended in pokerstrategy quiz TIGHT, then at river its clearly 100% K of spades and ( Queen, King or Ace) but as we see one ace is dead two kings are dead also only 4 queens still remain so its 4to5 its queen,

So i will say KsQ

you can not include this hand to draw because i said it almost random i just want to say that I need stats .


35o ^^

Okay, first i thought it was kings, but that river checkraise just screams missed draw to me,
It doesn't make sence to check/raise that river if you have the nuts, it definetly looks to strong plus if button was drawing to the flush he'd pay you off anyway if he calls the turn he will call river.
Any set is also just stupid, just check call at that point.
He defenitaly had a drawing hand, wanted to c/raise the flop and take the pot down, tried to semibluff the turn and sensed weakness in the opponent (A8/K8/Kx)

Why the F would he check raise 45s for the straightflush? He doesn't have to disguise that pretty disguised hand.... xD


ZeroDegrees
Joined: 03.06.2008

BU just calls the 3-bet, I put him on AT+, 88+
SB knows that BU is strong and check his semi steal on flop
Still would give up on turn
Get lucky with a K of spades on the river

KsQx