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NL400 ATo

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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

IPoker, $2/$4 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 3 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $606.55 (151.6 bb)
BTN: $394.68 (98.7 bb)
Hero (SB): $809.03 (202.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with T A
BTN calls $4, Hero raises to $20, BB calls $16, BTN folds

Flop: ($44) 4 J 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $30.80, BB calls $30.80

Turn: ($105.60) A (2 players)
Hero bets $73.92, BB calls $73.92

River: ($253.44) Q (2 players)
Hero? 480 effective

VIllain: 25/21
58% fold bb vs SB steal

34/67(9) fold to cbet%
47/33/27(70) ag%

29 WTS
51 WWSF
(1.3k hands)

Villan seemed somewhat bad/aggressive, valuebet thin. Had so far been playing fairly honest OTR (bet bet, cb gave up as pfa on scarecard ott, stabbed twice and checked back air, dry board)

bet? c/c? c/f no?


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2 replies
iambanker
Joined: 28.06.2011

I think that are just two options
1/ value bet
2/ check/fold

I rly cant see any hands except few missed FD which he could bluff if you check. On this specific river all hands like QT/KQ hit SD. And also you have notes that he gives up OTR, which convince me that check/calling is just bad.

I have made some simulations and you need him to call at least all KQ/KJ to justify valuebet and it seems to me too thin.

I would probably check/fold.

Another options is to turn hand into bluff, but I think you would massively overbluff this spot if you turn AT into bluff.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi

I agree with banker here. This is a check/fold and villain shouldn't have too many busted draws here. Don't forget your raise size is pretty large so unless he is really loose and wants to play with the fish badly, I think that his range is gonna be pretty broadway heavy and he shouldn't have all that many flush draw combos.


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