KJs flush river paired

Hey Mlatasrb,

Preflop is fine, but should be bottom of your range imo.

Flop cbet is good.

Turn cbet sizing potentially unbalanced, but fine as an exploitative play to induce action from a wider range.

GTO river is a bet/call vs this sizing. Exploitatively it's close to a fold, but I still think calling can't be that bad since we get a sick price + villain may go for thin value with a worse flush some of the time.

Cant we bet bigger and then fold to a raise?
For starters i would bet T bigger because i dont expect to get that much folds from pair+1card fd type hands , and alot of other hands will fold anyway?
I also think his range here is quite strong, since the board isn't that nice to float on , altough it doesn't hit our utg openraisingrange, it's still quite difficult in villains spot without a hand

Hey Yoshiwa,

I generally agree with your comments.

Betting turn larger is probably standard. A smaller may sometimes have a higher expectation, but this is villain dependent.

I also agree that we can potentially bet larger for value on the river. This makes bet/folding easier since we expect villain's check-raising frequency to lower vs a larger bet.