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DAY 5 (DAY 35)
FR:
Graph:
Spoiler
I have to work more to reach the stars 
Following by day schedule.
Is there a specific reason as to why you always play as your last task in the day? Doesnt that make you very tired? Your days seem very long, and I think I would be feeling very tired once I start my session, and have way less focus than I do now :X
Keep up the good work!
Equity Analysis
Full Tilt - $1 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
CO: $100.00 (VPIP: 13.78, PFR: 11.28, 3Bet Preflop: 3.25, Hands: 404)
BTN: $112.65 (VPIP: 21.67, PFR: 14.17, 3Bet Preflop: 6.47, Hands: 363)
Hero (SB): $131.80
BB: $122.25 (VPIP: 19.89, PFR: 17.16, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 964)
UTG: $62.60 (VPIP: 67.06, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 2.22, Hands: 87)
UTG+1: $166.45 (VPIP: 23.36, PFR: 11.54, 3Bet Preflop: 3.79, Hands: 7,890)
MP: $148.20 (VPIP: 18.55, PFR: 10.92, 3Bet Preflop: 2.99, Hands: 6,853)
Hero posts SB $0.50, BB posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has A♠ A♦
fold, UTG+1 raises to $3.00, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $2.50, fold
Flop: ($7.00, 2 players) 5♣ Q♥ 5♥
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $4.00, Hero calls $4.00
Turn: ($15.00, 2 players) 3♦
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $9.00, Hero calls $9.00
River: ($33.00, 2 players) 6♥
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $22.00, Hero calls $22.00
UTG+1 shows Q♦ Q♠ (Full House, Queens full of Fives) (Pre 18%, Flop 91%, Turn 95%)
Hero mucks A♠ A♦ (Two Pair, Aces and Fives) (Pre 82%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
UTG+1 wins $74.00
villain 22/11 Ft3b 88% 7/8 CBET F/T/R 55/25/100
Equity Win Tie
MP2 83.31% 82.60% 0.70% { AdAs }
MP3 16.69% 15.99% 0.70% { 22+, ATs+, KJs+, AQo+, KQo }
Flop:
Board: 5cQh5h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 85.72% 85.23% 0.49% { AdAs }
CO 14.28% 13.79% 0.49% { 22+, ATs+, KJs+, AQo+, KQo }
cbet range:
95combos
Turn:
Board: 5cQh5h3d
Equity Win Tie
MP2 87.87% 87.33% 0.54% { AdAs }
CO 12.13% 11.59% 0.54% { KK, JJ-66, 44-22, AhAc, QdQs, QdQc, QsQc, 5d5s, AhKh, AcKc, AcQc, KdQd, KsQs, KcQc, AhJh, AcJc, KhJh, KcJc, AhTh, AcTc, AhKd, AhKs, AhKc, AcKh, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc, AcQd, AcQs, KdQs, KdQc, KhQd, KhQs, KhQc, KsQd, KsQc, KcQd, KcQs }
Cbeting range:
Board: 5cQh5h3d
Equity Win Tie
MP2 79.50% 78.41% 1.09% { AdAs }
BU 20.50% 19.42% 1.09% { KK, JJ, AhAc, QdQs, QdQc, QsQc, TdTh, TdTs, ThTs, TdTc, 5d5s, 3h3s, 3h3c, 3s3c, AhKh, AcQc, KdQd, KsQs, KcQc, AhJh, KhJh, AhTh, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc, AcQd, AcQs, KdQs, KdQc, KhQd, KhQs, KhQc, KsQd, KsQc, KcQd, KcQs }
I think that I made a mistake here. Because of his low cbet % I think that I should have donk bet OTT. We want to build the pot. It's a big chance that villain checks back.
River:
betting range:
33 combos
55/22=2.5
1/3.5=28%
Board: 5cQh5h3d6h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 61.67% 60.00% 1.67% { AdAs }
BU 38.33% 36.67% 1.67% { KK, AhAc, QdQs, QdQc, QsQc, 5d5s, 3h3s, 3h3c, 3s3c, AhKh, AcQc, KdQd, KsQs, KcQc, AhJh, KhJh, AhTh, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc, AcQd, AcQs, KdQh, KhQd, KhQs, KhQc, KsQh, KcQh }
as we can see we have to call it.
Let's make his betting range extremely tight:
21combos:
KK,AhAc,QdQs,QdQc,QsQc,5d5s,3h3s,3h3c,3s3c,AhKh,AhJh,KhJh,AhTh,AhQd,AhQs,AhQc
Board: 5cQh5h3d6h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 45.24% 42.86% 2.38% { AdAs }
SB 54.76% 52.38% 2.38% { KK, AhAc, QdQs, QdQc, QsQc, 5d5s, 3h3s, 3h3c, 3s3c, AhKh, AhJh, KhJh, AhTh, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc }
we still have equity to call.
Even when we delete from his range AQ and make tighter betting range:
Board: 5cQh5h3d6h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 36.11% 33.33% 2.78% { AdAs }
SB 63.89% 61.11% 2.78% { KK, AhAc, QdQs, QdQc, QsQc, 5d5s, 3h3s, 3h3c, 3s3c, AhKh, AhJh, KhJh, AhTh }
we have equity to call
Inventing Scenarios
1. KK vs
Equity Win Tie
MP2 45.24% 42.86% 2.38% { KK }
BU 54.76% 52.38% 2.38% { KK, AhAc, QdQs, QdQc, QsQc, 5d5s, 3h3s, 3h3c, 3s3c, AhKh, AcQc, KdQd, KsQs, KcQc, AhJh, KhJh, AhTh, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc, AcQd, AcQs, KdQh, KhQd, KhQs, KhQc, KsQh, KcQh }
2. AQ
Board: 5cQh5h3d6h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 25.29% 18.39% 6.90% { AQs, AQo }
BU 74.71% 67.82% 6.90% { KK, AhAc, QdQs, QdQc, QsQc, 5d5s, 3h3s, 3h3c, 3s3c, AhKh, AcQc, KdQd, KsQs, KcQc, AhJh, KhJh, AhTh, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc, AcQd, AcQs, KdQh, KhQd, KhQs, KhQc, KsQh, KcQh }
when we holds AQ in this example we have to fold bet on the river.
Full Tilt - $1 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: $110.95 (VPIP: 18.61, PFR: 10.95, 3Bet Preflop: 2.99, Hands: 6,927)
UTG+1: $101.40 (VPIP: 23.37, PFR: 11.52, 3Bet Preflop: 3.79, Hands: 7,964)
UTG+2: $111.35 (VPIP: 19.03, PFR: 8.95, 3Bet Preflop: 3.30, Hands: 12,297)
MP: $43.30 (VPIP: 15.35, PFR: 14.03, 3Bet Preflop: 6.16, Hands: 15,045)
MP+1: $100.00 (VPIP: 20.85, PFR: 16.59, 3Bet Preflop: 3.66, Hands: 216)
CO: $66.00 (VPIP: 5.88, PFR: 2.94, 3Bet Preflop: 2.86, Hands: 70)
BTN: $49.00 (VPIP: 14.80, PFR: 11.29, 3Bet Preflop: 4.71, Hands: 8,768)
SB: $152.45 (VPIP: 22.19, PFR: 19.03, 3Bet Preflop: 7.23, Hands: 1,092)
Hero (BB): $112.00
SB posts SB $0.50, Hero posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has 5♦ 5♣
fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $2.00, fold, Hero calls $1.00
Flop: ($4.50, 2 players) J♣ K♥ 2♥
Hero checks, BTN checks
Turn: ($4.50, 2 players) 5♥
Hero bets $4.00, BTN calls $4.00
River: ($12.50, 2 players) 9♠
Hero bets $10.00, BTN raises to $21.50, Hero calls $11.50
BTN shows 9♣ 9♥ (Three of a Kind, Nines) (Pre 81%, Flop 92%, Turn 23%)
Hero mucks 5♦ 5♣ (Three of a Kind, Fives) (Pre 19%, Flop 8%, Turn 77%)
BTN wins $52.75
vs 18/12 capper btn 63% st cbet 56%
PReflop:
his stealing range is probably 100%. SB is a reg who folds 86% to steal. I also folds a lot.
About my play:
Easy call because of minraise.
Stealing range (lets say the villain is able to fold the worst hands)
Flop:
betting range(I assume that villain is able to check back the worst Kx, Jxs flush draw, he bets the best hands here+ FD and SD)
check back range:
Turn:
calling range:
River:
raises on the river are never bluffing.
because of min raise I decided to call.
We need to be good 21% of the time
He doesn't have QT, sometimes he's got slowplay flush
lets say he is able to do with 3 combos of K9 and we've got a call
Board: JcKh2h5h9s
Equity Win Tie
MP2 25.00% 25.00% 0.00% { 5d5c }
BU 75.00% 75.00% 0.00% { 99, Kd9d, Ks9s, Kc9c, Jh9h, Jh8h, Jh7h, Jh6h, Js5s, Jh4h, Jh3h }
Full Tilt - $1 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: $100.00 (VPIP: 21.05, PFR: 18.01, 3Bet Preflop: 6.69, Hands: 1,335)
SB: $38.00 (VPIP: 20.25, PFR: 14.04, 3Bet Preflop: 8.59, Hands: 871)
Hero (BB): $100.00
UTG: $83.25 (VPIP: 13.56, PFR: 6.83, 3Bet Preflop: 1.72, Hands: 1,802)
UTG+1: $72.20 (VPIP: 14.91, PFR: 11.34, 3Bet Preflop: 4.70, Hands: 8,933)
MP: $103.25 (VPIP: 16.45, PFR: 13.76, 3Bet Preflop: 5.62, Hands: 52,911)
MP+1: $76.20 (VPIP: 42.11, PFR: 18.42, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 38)
CO: $46.45 (VPIP: 16.56, PFR: 13.42, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 6,503)
SB posts SB $0.50, Hero posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has Q♦ 8♣
fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $2.00, fold, Hero calls $1.00
Flop: ($4.50, 2 players) J♥ 2♠ 9♣
Hero checks, BTN bets $3.00, Hero calls $3.00
Turn: ($10.50, 2 players) 4♠
Hero checks, BTN checks
River: ($10.50, 2 players) K♦
Hero bets $7.35, BTN calls $7.35
Hero shows Q♦ 8♣ (High Card, King) (Pre 30%, Flop 16%, Turn 9%)
BTN shows Q♣ 9♠ (One Pair, Nines) (Pre 70%, Flop 84%, Turn 91%)
BTN wins $23.95
villain 20/18 CBet 71/43/80 Fold to Probe Bet R: 83%
I know that I played this hand very wired and we could have better play for it but...
lets learn something from this hand..
Preflop:
stealing range:
Flop:
villain cbet 73% of the time... so probably his range is wide.
betting range:
Turn:
check backing range:
River:
First important thing is bet sizing. Is it worth to bet so big here?
I guess NO. Bet sizing is horrible here.
We don't have to bet for 2/3psb. Villain's never folding Kx, Jx. We want to fold his air and low pocket pairs.
Total combos of hands:
355combos (I've modified a little range, I added more hands to his betting range OTT )
calling range:
209 combos
355-209=146
146/355=41% villain folds 41%
how often our bluff must work?
7.35/(10.5+7.35)=41%
as we can see we have break even bluff.
But as I mentioned bet sizing is horrible. We should bet smaller. Lets say we bluff for $5 and result is the same:
5/(10.5+5)= 32% much better
What do you learn from this example?
villain calls 3rd pair to 2/3psb R.
check back 2ndP on the turn and bluff catch it
he doesn't fold on scare card
Next time when we bluff we don't want to fold his TP, 2nd P and even 3rdP. If we bet 2/3 psb like in this example or 1/2psb as we should the result will be similar.
Originally posted by vonki
Is there a specific reason as to why you always play as your last task in the day? Doesnt that make you very tired? Your days seem very long, and I think I would be feeling very tired once I start my session, and have way less focus than I do now :XKeep up the good work!
You are right again
At the beginning when I started implementing first habits (wake up at 10) it was very hard but when you can see that your results are better you are pomped up and don't worry that you are tired. You work more and more.
As you can see I wake up every day at 8.30 and it's my habit right now. I've got used to it.
Of course sometimes I'm tired so much that when I'm on gym I'm not able to do exercises. So I go home and take a nap or wake up later (at 10) next morning but I have to do all poker tasks.
The worst day which I've had so far was Saturday when I had Dietary Course. Playing session at the end of the day was a nightmare.
DAY 6 (DAY 36)
NL50 FR:
Spoiler
I had to play on Pacific yesterday. I have some money there but after this session I have to move down on NL20 and rebuild.
I hope everything will be ok with my account on FTP and they won't close it and confiscate bankroll. It is my main site. Whole bankroll is there.
I have to play on NL20. I don't have bankroll right now to play on NL100.
I will do my work untill FTP open my account. It sucks but what to do.
Today I will analyze yesterday session on NL50.
I couldn't sleep tonight. This is my the biggest bad beat. I don't want to even thing about losing my bankroll in this way.
Just out of curiousity DID you have a relation to the player in question? I mean if you didnt know him at all I dont think there's that much to worry about?
Equity Analyzis
888 Poker - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BB): $57.77
UTG: $105.50 (VPIP: 14.35, PFR: 2.80, 3Bet Preflop: 2.01, Hands: 21,019)
UTG+1: $50.00 (VPIP: 25.71, PFR: 16.19, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 105)
MP: $53.40 (VPIP: 15.16, PFR: 9.02, 3Bet Preflop: 2.19, Hands: 4,658)
MP+1: $53.94 (VPIP: 14.34, PFR: 11.83, 3Bet Preflop: 3.54, Hands: 280)
CO: $165.51 (VPIP: 18.86, PFR: 14.60, 3Bet Preflop: 4.73, Hands: 1,327)
BTN: $36.95 (VPIP: 43.65, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 5.36, Hands: 127)
SB: $20.97 (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 10)
SB posts SB $0.25, Hero posts BB $0.50
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has 6♥ 6♦
fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls $0.50, fold, Hero checks
Flop: ($1.25, 2 players) Q♠ Q♥ 6♣
Hero bets $1.00, BTN calls $1.00
Turn: ($3.25, 2 players) K♦
Hero bets $3.00, BTN calls $3.00
River: ($9.25, 2 players) T♠
Hero bets $53.27, BTN calls $32.45
Hero shows 6♥ 6♦ (Full House, Sixes full of Queens) (Pre 51%, Flop 77%, Turn 2%)
BTN shows K♣ Q♣ (Full House, Queens full of Kings) (Pre 49%, Flop 23%, Turn 98%)
BTN wins $70.45
40/13 player
Preflop:
Equity Win Tie
MP2 54.50% 54.06% 0.44% { 6d6h }
MP3 45.50% 45.06% 0.44% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 65s, 54s, A2o+, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o }
Flop:
Board: QsQh6c
Equity Win Tie
MP2 94.36% 94.28% 0.08% { 6d6h }
MP3 5.64% 5.56% 0.08% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 65s, 54s, A2o+, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o }
calling range:
I assumed that villain calls with the best Ax too.
Turn:
Board: QsQh6cKd
Equity Win Tie
MP2 85.95% 85.84% 0.11% { 6d6h }
MP3 14.05% 13.94% 0.11% { ... }
calling range:
http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: QsQh6cKd
Equity Win Tie
MP2 83.14% 83.01% 0.13% { 6d6h }
CO 16.86% 16.72% 0.13% { ... }
River:
what about my shove?
let's look at our ev:
EV shove:
0.69($32,45)+0.31(-$32.45)= $12.33
Lets say that I bet and I'm able to fold because he's never pushing with worse:
12combos- push
51combos- call
overall-63combos
12/63=19%
51/63=81%
0.19(-$10)+0.81($10)=$6.2
as we can see I made correct decision because EV push is much better
let's say that his range is a little tighter.. he doesn't call with the best Ax
Board: QsQh6cKdTs
Equity Win Tie
MP2 62.75% 62.75% 0.00% { 6d6h }
SB 37.25% 37.25% 0.00% { ... }
total 53combos
push-12combos- 12/53= 23%
call- 41combos- 41/53=77%
EV push:
0.63($32,45)+0.37(-$32.45)=$8.4
EV bet/fold:
0.23($-10)+0.77($10)=$5.4
as we can see still better is to push
I wasn't sure about my play. After this analysis I'm sure that I played it perfectly fine. We assumed extremely tight range. Sometimes villain would calls with TP, AA or even worse shit.
We can do with any hand.
I wasn't sure about one play in the past:
Equity Analysis
1. http://weaktight.com/6128820
vs 82/6 FtCB 56%
Preflop
Equity Win Tie
MP2 63.40% 61.98% 1.42% { AsTc }
MP3 36.60% 35.18% 1.42% { 77-22, A9s-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 82s+, 72s+, 62s+, 52s+, 42s+, 32s, AJo-A2o, K2o+, Q6o+, J6o+, T6o+, 96o+, 86o+, 76o, 65o, 54o }
Spoiler
Flop:
Equity Win Tie
MP2 84.23% 81.69% 2.54% { AsTc }
MP3 15.77% 13.23% 2.54% { 77-22, A9s-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 82s+, 72s+, 62s+, 52s+, 42s+, 32s, AJo-A2o, K2o+, Q6o+, J6o+, T6o+, 96o+, 86o+, 76o, 65o, 54o }
Distribution:
Spoiler
I bet for value here, use bigger bet sizing. I assume that this player is never folding TP, pair and trips.
Equity Win Tie
MP2 45.43% 35.53% 9.90% { AsTc }
MP3 54.57% 44.67% 9.90% { 77, 55-22, ...}
Range:
Spoiler
Turn:
Equity Win Tie
MP2 58.18% 56.72% 1.46% { AsTc }
MP3 41.82% 40.36% 1.46% { 77, 55-22, ...}
On the turn I bet for value again. He is never folding TP.
Calling range:
Equity Win Tie
MP2 51.84% 50.13% 1.71% { AsTc }
MP3 48.16% 46.45% 1.71% { 77, 6d6c, ... }
Range:
Spoiler
River:
I don't know why but OTR we have
Equity Win Tie
MP2 48.20% 47.48% 0.72% { AsTc }
MP3 51.80% 51.08% 0.72% { 77, 6d6c, ...}
vs his calling range: I think he folds 77 OTR
Board: 6sAc6hTs2h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 45.86% 45.11% 0.75% { AsTc }
MP3 54.14% 53.38% 0.75% { 6d6c, Ad9d, ...}
Range:
Spoiler
I wasn't sure what to do on the river. Can we bet or not?
EV checking:
0
EV betting:
0.47($19) + 0.52(-$19)=(-$0.95)
checking of course is better:)
888 Poker - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
MP: $32.19 (VPIP: 32.13, PFR: 10.80, 3Bet Preflop: 1.27, Hands: 364)
MP+1: $68.30 (VPIP: 30.26, PFR: 9.21, 3Bet Preflop: 2.61, Hands: 385)
CO: $78.62 (VPIP: 26.78, PFR: 14.21, 3Bet Preflop: 3.60, Hands: 610)
Hero (BTN): $84.11
SB: $3.33 (VPIP: 27.27, PFR: 4.55, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 45)
BB: $62.06 (VPIP: 19.54, PFR: 14.96, 3Bet Preflop: 5.17, Hands: 1,477)
UTG: $38.61 (VPIP: 15.71, PFR: 12.14, 3Bet Preflop: 6.90, Hands: 140)
UTG+1: $50.00 (VPIP: 15.08, PFR: 8.99, 3Bet Preflop: 2.09, Hands: 4,865)
SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has 2♦ Q♦
fold, fold, MP calls $0.50, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2.50, fold, fold, MP calls $2.00
Flop: ($5.75, 2 players) Q♣ 7♠ 5♥
MP checks, Hero bets $4.31, MP calls $4.31
Turn: ($14.37, 2 players) K♥
MP checks, Hero bets $8.00, MP calls $8.00
River: ($30.37, 2 players) 4♥
MP bets $17.38, fold
MP wins $28.86
33/11
I will change a little range. This players are fishes so they are able to do crazy stuff like limp/calling top range. So deleting it from his range is a mistake.
limp/call range
[bFlop:
Board: QcJs5h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 66.90% 66.09% 0.82% { Qd2d }
MP3 33.10% 32.28% 0.82% { 22+, A2s+, K7s+, Q7s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 64s+, 54s, A8o+, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o }
calling range:
Board: QcJs5h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 47.24% 44.95% 2.30% { Qd2d }
CO 52.76% 50.46% 2.30% { ... }
Turn:
Board: QcJs5hKh
Equity Win Tie
MP2 39.01% 36.15% 2.86% { Qd2d }
CO 60.99% 58.14% 2.86% {...}
calling range:
Board: QcJs5hKh
Equity Win Tie
MP2 35.60% 31.57% 4.03% { Qd2d }
CO 64.40% 60.38% 4.03% { ...}
I was aware of that I bet for very thin value. As you can see I bet smaller.
River:
Easy fold. I'm sure that this line isn't bluff.
Ok. I have to finish with this exercise. I cannot be focused. All the time I look at mail and waiting for respond from FTP.
Originally posted by vonki
Just out of curiousity DID you have a relation to the player in question? I mean if you didnt know him at all I dont think there's that much to worry about?
FTP asked me:
'Please explain in detail, any relationship you have with the following player: abc'
Of course not. I don't know him at all. We are both from Poland so this is only connection.
I know that he won nice money 3days ago. He was sitting with $300 in 2 tables. So it was quit nice amount.
2 days ago I had very similar day. I won $500 as you saw on the graph.
I guess this is the reason why my account is suspended.
However I don't understand whole situation. I play professional poker, for living. I cannot play so I cannot earn money.
This whole situation has got bad influence into my mindset. I cannot sleep at night, during the session I was sweating all the time.
Even I cannot take a break because I have 30 challenge.
yeap.. what can I say more...
I'm totally innocent and it's big misunderstanding.
but waiting for FTP respond is so tiring even I don't know how long they will be checking it. Day? 3days? Week? more?
I want to be calm but it's so hard.
DAY 7 (DAY 37)
NL25FR
Graph:
Spoiler
I played on NL25 on BWIN. I had great time during the session and even thinking that I could change pokerroom. There are much more tables, much more limits even NL400/600FR. Moreover I've never seen so much fishes at the tables. Seriously.
Good news is that FTP has completed review my account and doesn't have reason to suspect any wrongdoing on my part
I had this email after the session so I could sleep without any uncertainty.
It was very tough day. I don't want to think about it again.
Everything is fine so I can move forward and think about future.
Following by schedule I will do Gordon Practice.
I don't have many hands to do equity analysis but I would like to work with equilab a little.
Equity Analysis
Full Tilt - $1 NL - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: $38.75 (VPIP: 44.44, PFR: 5.56, 3Bet Preflop: 3.90, Hands: 145)
Hero (CO): $155.05
BTN: $138.95 (VPIP: 16.32, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 8.55, Hands: 289)
SB: $103.50 (VPIP: 21.21, PFR: 18.79, 3Bet Preflop: 12.28, Hands: 170)
BB: $17.50 (VPIP: 31.82, PFR: 21.49, 3Bet Preflop: 6.52, Hands: 247)
SB posts SB $0.50, BB posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has T♠ A♥
UTG calls $1.00, Hero raises to $5.00, fold, fold, BB calls $4.00, UTG calls $4.00
Flop: ($15.50, 3 players) A♦ 4♦ 6♦
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $12.00, fold, UTG calls $12.00
Turn: ($39.50, 2 players) 3♣
UTG checks, Hero bets $27.65, UTG calls $21.75 and is all-in
River: ($83.00, 2 players) 2♦
Hero shows T♠ A♥ (One Pair, Aces) (Pre 56%, Flop 3%, Turn 0%)
UTG shows K♦ J♦ (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 44%, Flop 97%, Turn 100%)
UTG wins $80.00
villain: 44/5 FtCB 47
Preflop:
Equity Win Tie
MP2 54.37% 51.45% 2.93% { AhTs }
MP3 45.63% 42.70% 2.93% { 22+, A2s+, K7s+, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, 97s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A6o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
Flop:
Board: Ad4d6d
Equity Win Tie
MP2 64.27% 61.19% 3.08% { AhTs }
CO 35.73% 32.64% 3.08% { 22+, A2s+, K7s+, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, 97s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A6o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
Calling range:
Board: Ad4d6d
Equity Win Tie
MP2 50.67% 47.00% 3.67% { AhTs }
BU 49.33% 45.66% 3.67% { ...}
Turn:
Board: Ad4d6d3c
Equity Win Tie
MP2 53.23% 51.62% 1.62% { AhTs }
BU 46.77% 45.15% 1.62% { ...}
calling range- tight
http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Ad4d6d3c
Equity Win Tie
MP2 43.02% 40.84% 2.18% { AhTs }
BU 56.98% 54.79% 2.18% { ...}
lets look at his stat:
Donk bet flop 25% 5/20
what do we learn from this hand?
we know that he is able to slowplay nuts flush. He doesn't donk bet it, he doesn't reraise it. What does it mean?
I guess when this player donks bet he doesn't have good hand because he slowplay nuts. His raise cbet stats shows us it (0% 0/15)
Empirical Evidence:
My smart guessing changes in EE because I can see what his donks bet mean:
Full Tilt - $1 NL - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB: $34.50 (VPIP: 44.72, PFR: 6.50, 3Bet Preflop: 4.92, Hands: 124)
Hero (BB): $118.45
UTG: $102.50 (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 10.23, 3Bet Preflop: 10.81, Hands: 177)
MP: $100.00 (VPIP: 18.69, PFR: 15.89, 3Bet Preflop: 14.63, Hands: 110)
CO: $44.60 (VPIP: 21.01, PFR: 12.27, 3Bet Preflop: 3.04, Hands: 3,048)
BTN: $223.60 (VPIP: 14.71, PFR: 11.09, 3Bet Preflop: 1.68, Hands: 438)
SB posts SB $0.50, Hero posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has A♣ K♦
fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $2.00, SB calls $1.50, Hero raises to $9.00, fold, SB calls $7.00
Flop: ($20.00, 2 players) 9♣ T♠ 4♣
SB bets $5.00, Hero raises to $109.45 and is all-in, SB calls $20.50 and is all-in
Turn: ($71.00, 2 players) J♠
River: ($71.00, 2 players) Q♣
Hero shows A♣ K♦ (Straight, Ace High) (Pre 50%, Flop 52%, Turn 50%)
SB shows A♦ K♣ (Straight, Ace High) (Pre 50%, Flop 48%, Turn 50%)
SB wins $34.00
Hero wins $34.00
Full Tilt - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
MP+1: $50.50 (VPIP: 20.98, PFR: 17.48, 3Bet Preflop: 6.61, Hands: 590)
CO: $50.60 (VPIP: 22.78, PFR: 17.20, 3Bet Preflop: 4.36, Hands: 44,203)
BTN: $53.30 (VPIP: 14.50, PFR: 12.07, 3Bet Preflop: 4.09, Hands: 2,780)
SB: $80.50 (VPIP: 18.17, PFR: 15.08, 3Bet Preflop: 6.38, Hands: 2,357)
BB: $70.70 (VPIP: 36.84, PFR: 7.02, 3Bet Preflop: 10.71, Hands: 57)
UTG: $50.00 (VPIP: 14.51, PFR: 11.88, 3Bet Preflop: 4.21, Hands: 5,771)
Hero (UTG+1): $50.00
MP: $77.30 (VPIP: 14.77, PFR: 9.97, 3Bet Preflop: 3.36, Hands: 10,044)
SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has A♣ 3♠
fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to $1.25, fold, fold, BB calls $0.75
Flop: ($2.75, 2 players) J♣ Q♠ A♦
BB bets $1.00, CO calls $1.00
Turn: ($4.75, 2 players) 8♠
BB checks, CO checks
River: ($4.75, 2 players) Q♦
BB bets $1.00, CO calls $1.00
BB shows K♦ J♠ (Two Pair, Queens and Jacks) (Pre 40%, Flop 20%, Turn 11%)
CO shows T♦ A♠ (Two Pair, Aces and Queens) (Pre 60%, Flop 80%, Turn 89%)
CO wins $6.45
Full Tilt - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: $13.10 (VPIP: 16.84, PFR: 11.60, 3Bet Preflop: 6.15, Hands: 1,277)
UTG+1: $51.55 (VPIP: 72.73, PFR: 36.36, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
UTG+2: $30.60 (VPIP: 60.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)
MP: $59.55 (VPIP: 27.50, PFR: 18.54, 3Bet Preflop: 7.56, Hands: 676)
MP+1: $163.15 (VPIP: 54.55, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 11)
CO: $91.35 (VPIP: 15.80, PFR: 10.22, 3Bet Preflop: 3.18, Hands: 3,778)
Hero (BTN): $50.00
SB: $19.90 (VPIP: 39.24, PFR: 5.06, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 79)
BB: $50.00 (VPIP: 15.64, PFR: 9.49, 3Bet Preflop: 2.93, Hands: 13,964)
SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has 3♥ 2♠
fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $1.75, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $1.50, fold
Flop: ($4.00, 2 players) 9♥ 9♣ Q♣
SB bets $1.00, UTG+2 raises to $7.00, SB raises to $18.15 and is all-in, UTG+2 calls $11.15
Turn: ($40.30, 2 players) 9♠
River: ($40.30, 2 players) J♠
SB shows J♥ Q♥ (Full House, Nines full of Queens) (Pre 30%, Flop 24%, Turn 45%)
UTG+2 shows A♥ Q♠ (Full House, Nines full of Queens) (Pre 70%, Flop 76%, Turn 55%)
UTG+2 wins $19.15
SB wins $19.15
Note:
small donks bet TP, 3rdP+ GS, AH
small bet river weak hand 3rdP/ blocking bet
Full Tilt - $1 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG+2: $100.00 (VPIP: 14.10, PFR: 10.77, 3Bet Preflop: 5.21, Hands: 16,962)
MP: $142.25 (VPIP: 20.87, PFR: 12.86, 3Bet Preflop: 3.51, Hands: 3,867)
MP+1: $304.50 (VPIP: 14.63, PFR: 11.08, 3Bet Preflop: 1.75, Hands: 420)
CO: $198.50 (VPIP: 16.99, PFR: 13.30, 3Bet Preflop: 5.19, Hands: 633)
BTN: $105.50 (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 11.43, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 72)
Hero (BB): $100.00
UTG: $103.05 (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 8.71, 3Bet Preflop: 4.57, Hands: 461)
UTG+1: $262.45 (VPIP: 12.63, PFR: 10.53, 3Bet Preflop: 10.53, Hands: 96)
Hero posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.00) Hero has 2♥ A♥
fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $2.00, Hero calls $1.00
Flop: ($4.00, 2 players) A♦ 5♥ 3♥
Hero checks, BTN bets $2.00, Hero calls $2.00
Turn: ($8.00, 2 players) 9♣
Hero checks, BTN bets $6.00, Hero calls $6.00
River: ($20.00, 2 players) T♦
Hero checks, BTN bets $17.00, fold
BTN wins $19.00
vs 21/18 steal 50%
Preflop:
Equity Win Tie
MP2 51.50% 48.20% 3.30% { Ah2h }
MP3 48.50% 45.20% 3.30% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 85s+, 75s+, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T7o+, 98o }
Flop:
Board: Ad5h3h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 88.86% 87.21% 1.65% { Ah2h }
MP3 11.14% 9.50% 1.65% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 85s+, 75s+, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T7o+, 98o }
we crush his range on the flop.
Can we check/raise broke on this board?
not really:
Board: Ad5h3h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 45.88% 43.53% 2.35% { Ah2h }
CO 54.12% 51.77% 2.35% { AsAc, 5d5s, 5d5c, 5s5c, 3d3s, 3d3c, 3s3c, AKs, 42s, As5s, Ac5c, As3s, Ac3c, AKo, As5d, As5c, Ac5d, Ac5s, As3d, As3c, Ac3d, Ac3s }
lets say he cbets with this range:
Board: Ad5h3h9c
Equity Win Tie
MP2 80.70% 78.68% 2.02% { Ah2h }
MP3 19.30% 17.28% 2.02% { ...}
Turn:
2nd barrel with
Board: Ad5h3h9c
Equity Win Tie
MP2 63.98% 59.84% 4.14% { Ah2h }
MP3 36.02% 31.88% 4.14% { ...}
River:
his betting range:
our equity:
Board: Ad5h3h9cTd
Equity Win Tie
MP2 40.78% 40.78% 0.00% { Ah2h }
MP3 59.22% 59.22% 0.00% { ...}
pot odds: 2.18-1 31%
so we can call, but this player has to bluff on the river w/busted FD and sometimes w/SD
but we don't have any information about his play on the river. Probably without info that he is able to bluff w/busted draw fold is fine here.
lets find out some information:
Full Tilt - $1 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
CO: $25.00 (VPIP: 17.52, PFR: 10.31, 3Bet Preflop: 4.49, Hands: 533)
BTN: $158.75 (VPIP: 20.87, PFR: 12.94, 3Bet Preflop: 3.47, Hands: 3,922)
SB: $40.00 (VPIP: 16.65, PFR: 13.50, 3Bet Preflop: 6.26, Hands: 6,630)
BB: $111.70 (VPIP: 21.08, PFR: 18.38, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 190)
UTG: $23.65 (VPIP: 34.57, PFR: 23.79, 3Bet Preflop: 6.80, Hands: 275)
Hero (UTG+1): $101.70
MP: $124.40 (VPIP: 13.35, PFR: 9.86, 3Bet Preflop: 4.44, Hands: 633)
MP+1: $265.70 (VPIP: 16.87, PFR: 11.35, 3Bet Preflop: 8.76, Hands: 328)
SB posts SB $0.50, BB posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has Q♥ 4♥
fold, fold, MP raises to $3.00, MP+1 calls $3.00, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $2.00
Flop: ($9.50, 3 players) 9♦ J♣ T♣
BB checks, MP checks, MP+1 checks
Turn: ($9.50, 3 players) 9♠
BB bets $4.00, fold, MP+1 calls $4.00
River: ($17.50, 2 players) T♦
BB bets $12.00, MP+1 calls $12.00
BB shows 2♠ 2♦ (Two Pair, Tens and Nines) (Pre 48%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
MP+1 shows Q♠ J♠ (Two Pair, Jacks and Tens) (Pre 52%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
MP+1 wins $39.45
Note:
able to bluff river
Full Tilt - $1 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: $30.50 (VPIP: 18.18, PFR: 10.73, 3Bet Preflop: 4.22, Hands: 503)
UTG+1: $145.40 (VPIP: 20.93, PFR: 12.97, 3Bet Preflop: 3.49, Hands: 3,904)
MP: $303.00 (VPIP: 15.17, PFR: 11.37, 3Bet Preflop: 1.57, Hands: 472)
MP+1: $105.80 (VPIP: 14.09, PFR: 10.77, 3Bet Preflop: 5.22, Hands: 17,023)
CO: $142.30 (VPIP: 20.45, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 135)
Hero (BTN): $103.00
SB: $97.75 (VPIP: 12.77, PFR: 9.53, 3Bet Preflop: 4.23, Hands: 559)
BB: $244.45 (VPIP: 14.91, PFR: 10.53, 3Bet Preflop: 9.68, Hands: 229)
SB posts SB $0.50, BB posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has 6♥ 3♦
fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to $2.00, fold, fold, BB calls $1.00
Flop: ($4.50, 2 players) 4♣ 5♠ T♣
BB checks, CO bets $4.00, BB calls $4.00
Turn: ($12.50, 2 players) 3♠
BB checks, CO checks
River: ($12.50, 2 players) T♠
BB bets $8.00, CO calls $8.00
BB shows 6♠ 4♠ (Flush, Ten High) (Pre 37%, Flop 27%, Turn 45%)
CO mucks J♦ T♦ (Three of a Kind, Tens) (Pre 63%, Flop 73%, Turn 55%)
BB wins $27.10
Note:
bet flop w/TP, doesn't value bet TP Tx OTT IP- pot control
so probably we can delete from his betting range many Ax hands and 2nd Pair which he pot control on the turn
his range on the turn and river is polarized. We have much better equity to call.
polarized range on the river:
our equity:
http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Ad5h3h9cTd
Equity Win Tie
MP2 48.21% 48.21% 0.00% { Ah2h }
MP3 51.79% 51.79% 0.00% { ... }
what SD value is he turning into a bluff on the river holding 22 on a two paired board?
Today Session
FR:
Graph:
Spoiler
Weekly Graphs:
FR:
Spoiler
SH:
Spoiler
I'm too tired to comment this week.
Today was a day when I went to gym and I wasn't able to exercise. I was so tired. I made one series and went home.
Very tough week.
No schedule for tomorrow. I have break. See you on Monday at 9 am.
