Hey
I have some questions regarding hands that came up in your recent NL200 zoom training
1. Right in the first few minutes of the video you open JTdd from CO and are called by a player in the SB with ~70bbs stack and somewhat bad-reggish stats of 25/16 and 3% 3bet.
The flop comes 552ssc and you cbet half pot with intention of barreling given his capped range, which is standard.
You get CRaised (6$ to 18$) and you 3bet to 39$ expecting to show a profit in a long run because opp's CR range should be bluff-heavy.
In my opinion 3betting the flop against bad regulars with unbalanced CR ranges on boards that do not connect with either players' preflop range is a great play, however I don't like your play nor your reasoning given your opps profile and board texture in this particular spot. here's why:
a. Opp is not playing for 100bbs which might indicate he is not a regular, which makes his CR-stackoff range wider. A good player will almost never turn his bluffcatcher like A-high or 88 into a bluff in that spot. Fishy player on the other hand is significantly more likely to CR-stackoff all his pocket pairs (all of which are in his preflop calling range) just because he feels like he does not want to see an overcard come off. He sure will not CR 100% time with those, but the thing is when he does, he is not very likely to fold given his stack size.
b. FD on the board makes it a little harder to make that play +EV because flushdraws that CR as a semibluff contain overcards and sure will pile.
c. Since your play targets opps air hands and equity chops i feel like click back+ will be just as good, which means you can make it 30-32$. He is still going to fold his K-highs, Q-highs and other random CR bluffs. Additionally its a nice balance-related bonus to your value range (In other similiar spot in some other video you hold an overpair and get raised on 772 flop. You clickback and say sth like "I just keep clicking back until they spazz out").
2.In a hand somewhere in the middle of the video you hold T6o in BB and face min-open from SB. You defend by calling, which is fine/std by all means. However when I asked you isn't it better to include hands like T6o in your 3b resteal range you replied that "This hand is far too good to 3b and there is no merrit in 3betting it. Hands that I would rather 3b in that spot are J6o or T4o".
Now I don't really know how wide do you defend against minopen from SB. I guess pretty wide, but still not 100% for sure.
T6o is in the top 66% of all hands ina 6handed game
J6o is in the top 64%
t4o is in the top 82%
Even tough I fully understand playability advantage that T6o has over the other two hands I really find it hard to understand why would it be a bad hand to 3b in that spot. When you look at top 66% of hands there is not really much left that is worth defending, which puts T6o somewhere in the bottom of your defending range. Additionally, even tough we do have position and great odds, it's still a marginal hand to play, so if SB is opening too wide and not 4betting aggressively why is it bad to include it in your 3b-fold range?
As far as other two hands go I don't see a reason to defend t4o (which is in top 82% of hands) by 3betting, unless SB is opening a ridiculous amount.
3. The last hand I'd like to aks about is the one with you holding AsTh on the button. You face an open from SB, who plays 24/14 and folds to 3b 7% over a very small sample. You flat preflop, because you don't want to 3b as a bluff. Now I believe preflop can really go either way, but the postflop play/line is what I am more interested in.
The flop comes 229hdd and opp cbets really big making it 11$ into 14$ pot, which I guess is the first indication that he is weithed more towards value. On 229 flop if he cbets as a bluff he's targetting hands that are worse than A-high so it doesnt really make sense for him to make it that big. That does not mean we should fold, but it is some kind of information that
we might find usefull on later streets. You call.
Turn is 8d and he checks. You bet for protection and to fold eq chops, which is close, because hands that you beat and that will fold have really low eq against your hand. I guess its ok against random small d, but thats about it.
Anyway opp calls your bet. The riv is 8c pairing the board and here is where I think you made a big mistake. You decide to bet big representing narrow value range which includes mainly flushes. I guess your hand in that spot is protected, because there might be more flushes/FH there than bluffs when you bet the riv, however i don't really see many (if any) hands that check-call turn and fold riv in opps range. When he cbets dry flop this big and check-calls the turn what are the hands that you are trying to fold out?
I'm pretty sure that most regs will barrel the turn with high diamond and no sd value close to 100% time because your flop calling range contains floats = FE, plus even when they are called by a pair they have at least 1 overcard and fd, plus their protected by value range made of overpairs. There is no reason for him to cc a big diamond on the turn, so when he decides to take that line I think we should put him on a decent bluffcatcher like 9+. If he decides to bluffcatch, there is really no difference between having a 9 and JJ (which he had) because you never turn an overpair
at showdown. Theoretically it seems ok to bet the riv, however based on how the previous streets played out I don't see much FE.
Id like to add that i really like your work, play style and approach to the game and your job. Hope to see more of it.
Regards