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QQ value bet on river?

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Rich552
Joined: 15.12.2012

I pick up pocket queens in MP, I isolate an open limper in UTG + caller in +1. I hit a good flop a make a standard c-bet from value and protection. I am glad to in position so that I control the pot size. Villain check/calls the flop and turn and I feel a set is unlikely as he would have possibly wanted to raise and that it more likely he has middle pocket pair like 99 or perhaps 55 that hit an OESD on the turn.

The river brings an A and I am unsure whether or not I have a value bet on the river in this situation. My initial thought was 'no worse hand would call' as I felt my opponent was calling down with a pocket pair in this spot.

Am I missing out on value by trying to avoid a check/raise on the river?

No Limit Hold'em $0.08/$0.16
PokerStars
8 players
Formatted by pokercopilot.com - Mac OS X hand history analysis and tracking

Stacks:
UTG+1 - UTG+1 ($4.16)
MP - Hero ($26.80)
MP2 - MP2 ($13.43)
CO - CO ($34.88)
BB - BB ($7.82)
BTN - BTN ($16.00)
SB - SB ($16.08)
BB - BB ($64.30)

Preflop: ($0.40, 8 players) Hero is MP with Q♣ Q♠
UTG+1 calls $0.16, Hero raises to $0.80, 5 folds, BB calls $0.64, UTG+1 calls $0.64

Flop: 8♣ 3♠ 6♦ ($3.60, 3 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $1.60, BB calls $1.60, 1 fold

Turn: 4♥ ($8.40, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3.68, BB calls $3.68

River: A♣ ($19.44, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero ???


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4 replies

Hi Rich552

Preflop: looks fine

postflop: Is here a particular reason for betting so small with at least one fish in the pot?

Why not bet flop/turn bigger and then ship river.

As played I still think you have a valuebet on the river but I feel you've lose a great deal of value underbetting.


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Rich552
Joined: 15.12.2012

Im not sure why i didn't bet bigger I think I must have failed to realize my bet sizing was off. I agree I should have bet bigger to ship river.


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Rich552
Joined: 15.12.2012

Thanks for the reviews.


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You are welcome,

Best of luck at the tables and yes, always look at your bet sizes. They dictate how much money you will make :)


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