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NL100 KQs line check.

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Yozan
Joined: 01.01.2010

Villain: 26/22/10 winning reg, large sample.
vs BTN: 14% 3bet, cbet 3bp: 81/ 76/ 45
WTSD 28, WWSF 51, BETRIVER: 35, AF: 3.1

BB: $127.23 (127.2 bb)
MP: $144.08 (144.1 bb)
CO: $100 (100 bb)
Hero (BTN): $119.16 (119.2 bb)
SB: $111.13 (111.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with K♦ Q♦
2 folds, Hero raises to $2, SB folds, BB raises to $7, Hero calls $5

Flop: ($14.50) 5♠ 6♠ K♠ (2 players)
BB bets $8, Hero calls $8

Turn: ($30.50) 7♦ (2 players)
BB bets $22, Hero calls $22

River: ($74.50) 2♦ (2 players)
BB bets $45, Hero calls $45


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4 replies
double2
Joined: 04.11.2008

Kinda weird he doesnt ship river. Anyway i think it's a Call river, i dont think we are overcalling even if we Call first with hands like TsTx (which i'm not surge de should).


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

calldown for sure, cos we have the best 1p in our range. I'm a little suspicious of the small River bet, could very easily be him wanting to widen your calling range by betting AK small.

Without strong reads on villain, or population reads, I'm not going to read too much into such bet size details and I think this is a call.


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Nevrex
Joined: 22.10.2010

What is your worse hand which you calldown here 3 streets?
What if you have something like QsQx here? Call 2 streets and fold to 3rd barrel?
And what if his river cbet is a little bite higer? (mathematicly he has ~8% range before river action)

With this 81% flop cbet we can pretty assume that he is decided to cbet 100% (with no 3-4way pots and wird boards like AAK etc)


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Are his 3bet flop and turn stats maniac style? And river seems that he shuts down? So maybe
Exploit this guy by calling light until turn and bluff shoving turn wider
And give up marginal hands on river?
Is his river bet also bluff heavy?


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