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NL 25 AA vs river pot

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PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $60.44 (VPIP: 19.31, PFR: 16.55, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 150)
SB: $29.48 (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
BB: $20.10 (VPIP: 15.09, PFR: 9.43, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 54)
UTG: $9.59 (VPIP: 58.82, PFR: 29.41, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 17)
Hero (MP): $38.75
CO: $25.00 (VPIP: 22.93, PFR: 17.20, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 328)

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has A♠ A♦

fold, Hero raises to $0.75, CO calls $0.75, fold, SB calls $0.65, fold

Flop: ($2.50, 3 players) 4♦ 5♠ Q♦
SB checks, Hero bets $1.67, CO calls $1.67, fold

Turn: ($5.84, 2 players) 3♣
Hero bets $3.90, CO calls $3.90

River: ($13.64, 2 players) J♥
Hero checks, CO bets $13.00, Hero calls $13.00

I intended to c/c river as I saw some missed draws. However after villain pot the river, is it an easy fold here?


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3 replies
Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Hey,

I'd bet bigger on the turn, roughly 4.5-5$. River is a check-decide. Facing a pot sized bet, I think this combo with the A:d is a c/fold. Against a smaller bet, I think calling is still going to be okay - especially so if villain is capable of betting thinly for value.


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eSKavuS
Joined: 07.06.2009

Originally posted by Shevtshenko
Hey,

I'd bet bigger on the turn, roughly 4.5-5$. River is a check-decide. Facing a pot sized bet, I think this combo with the A:d is a c/fold. Against a smaller bet, I think calling is still going to be okay - especially so if villain is capable of betting thinly for value.

Is 3 barrel a mistake without further reads?


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

River bet might be a little thin. Let's see

Villain could have
KQs - 3
AQ - 6
QJs - 2
44/55 - 2 out of 6 combos (will usually raise F or T)
KK - 2 out of 6 combos (probably 3bets pre)
JJ - 1 out of 3 combos (will sometimes 3b pre or fold T)

67s probably doesn't call PF

We beat 11 and lose to 5. So I think betting is a little too thin and checking is probably better.


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