NL2 SH KQ calling UTG raise and go broke?

Joined: 24.01.2014

22.05.2014, 13:27 0

IPoker, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $4.85 (242.5 bb)
BB: $1.57 (78.5 bb)
UTG: $2.34 (117 bb)
Hero (MP): $2.51 (125.5 bb)
CO: $2.08 (104 bb)
BTN: $2 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with Q K
UTG raises to $0.07, Hero calls $0.07, 4 folds

Flop: ($0.17) 6 Q 4 (2 players)
UTG bets $0.12, Hero calls $0.12

Turn: ($0.41) K (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.28, UTG calls $0.28

River: ($0.97) 5 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.67, UTG raises to $1.49,

Hero?

UTG is TAG 18/18. WTSD/W$SD = 33/100 98 hands

Preflop call his raise since KW has okay equity against his range. Expect his range from UTG to be something like 66+,AQs+,KQs,AQo+,KQo ageinst which KQ has 35% equity.

Flop call is standard I believe. Equity improves for Hero with top pair goood kicker.

Turn card is somewhat ugly. Get top 2 pairs but board gets draw heavy. Decide to bet/fold after UTG checks the turn.

River card doesn't change much and a UTG still shows no aggression I decide to bet again. My bitsize is a bit big here, p1/2 pot would be better I think. Then all of a sudden UTG raises. Strange betsize for his stack since I think he should have gone all-in her when betting.

UTG is either slowplaying a tighter range of QQ+,66,44,KQs,KQo
agains which I have about 45% equity. Or he's bluffing. I would still go broke with this hand. Is that correct play?

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3 replies

Naidonis

Joined: 05.01.2013

Posts: 99

22.05.2014, 13:48 0

I would fold preflop. As played everything looks fine to me and river is a fold.

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_Anonymous_

27.05.2014, 04:17 0

I think villain is something like Ak AQ QJ , which makes him c bet the flop, but check on turn for pot control. Checking on the River makes me think he is weak, but Def hit something on the board. Your two pair beats most his range except flush or set, which he would have played differently on turn/river for value.

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metza

Joined: 28.01.2012

Posts: 2,216

27.05.2014, 05:41 0

I'd just fold pre or turn my hand into a 3bet bluff if he folds a decent amount to 3bets. KQo is not strong enough to flat call MP vs UTG.

Flop turn and river is good, but when you bet and get jammed on this is a fold. One of the best lessons to learn early on in micros is that river raises are basically always the nuts. Regulars don't raise the river as a bluff almost ever. Of course if they do, you can make a note but otherwise assume they are not bluffing. They are also not checkraising hands like AK here they would probably bet turn and if they didn't they would DEFINITELY be check-calling basically every hand that you beat.

So while you can for sure value bet the river you can't call a x/r. While it doesn't make much sense for him to play a monster hand like this I'd expect to see nut flush pretty often and not a lot else other than flushes, in any case I think you should just fold pre and definitely fold river when he jams on you.

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