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nl100 K7o zoom

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sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $115.33 (115.3 bb)
BB: $102.18 (102.2 bb)
UTG: $100 (100 bb)
MP: $102.88 (102.9 bb)
CO: $127.37 (127.4 bb)
Hero (BTN): $119.17 (119.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 7 K
3 folds, Hero raises to $2, SB calls $1.50, BB folds

Flop: ($5) 3 5 7 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3.15, SB calls $3.15

Turn: ($11.30) A (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($11.30) 4 (2 players)
SB bets $10, Hero calls $10

Results:

Spoiler

$31.30 pot ($1.41 rake)
Final Board: 3 5 7 A 4
SB showed 9 8 and lost (-$15.15 net)
Hero showed 7 K and won $29.89 ($14.74 net)


Hey, looking at stats so far, villain looks like half fish,
hes got 38%(13) call sb v bu.
On flop I cb for value, on turn I stop doing that, because I think he has Ahigh in his flop calling range, as well as better overpairs and 7x will probably give one more street of value.
River came problematic and he pots, I doubt he would do that with A, so Im against bluff, 66/67 or flush. He cant really have flush here because of As and my Ks, he might have combos from flop, but thats not much, from bluffs he might turn into bluff much more hands than his value range, so I called.


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Pretty good call,

you lose to 68/67/65/66/46s but you beat 98/X:cX:c

You are probably beating enough busted draws.


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Duziks
Joined: 04.01.2010

is double barrel bad here because I would double barrel every time to not give free card to clubs 34,54,56,76,89,86


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

I don't think you should solely stick with the mentality of betting to protect. You should also have at least some sort of value (at least when thinking of valuebetting the Turn).

I think this SB player has 22-99 here, and a decent amount of middle suited connectors. However, he does seem to be folding a lot vs Flop and Turn cbets, which means that it is going to be much harder to go for thin value on the Turn.

I don't think he has too many AX floats on the Flop, but still I don't see him having that many 7X combos which can call the Turn.

Board: 3c5c7sAs
Equity Win Tie
MP2 62.95% 61.71% 1.24% { 99-88, 97s, 87s, 76s, KcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, KcTc, QcTc, JcTc, Ac9c, Tc9c, Ac8c, 9s8s, Ac6c, 8s6s, Ac4c, Ac2c }
MP3 37.05% 35.81% 1.24% { Ks7h }

I might be missing out some hands, but 37% is definitely way too little to value bet here.


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