Hi everyone,
This is a type of hand that occurs very common. I already posted this one on my Dutch blog but I'm not really convinced of the correct play.
I have a pocket pair and pre-flop play is standard. Now we get a flop with an overcard. I call once on the flop because I think I might still be ahead (UTG1 could be donking with a draw). MP2 raises and UTG1 calls. I think I could still be ahead because they could both have a FD or a 6 in their hand.
But on the turn MP2 bets again and UTG1 calls. According to odds and outs this is a clear fold, so I can only call if I'm ahead often enough.
But is this the case? I have some doubts about this.
This is just one hand. But I feel like I'm maybe burning money with this type of hands. I have a pocket pair, don't hit a set on the flop but still call bets on flop and turn, only to be forced to fold on the river.
PokerStars - $0.10/$0.20 - Holdem - 10 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (MP+1): 21.1 BB
MP+2: 9.75 BB
CO: 60.2 BB (VPIP: 21.11, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 8.82, Hands: 362)
BTN: 15.9 BB (VPIP: 35.37, PFR: 12.54, 3Bet Preflop: 1.72, Hands: 312)
SB: 15.4 BB (VPIP: 13.54, PFR: 5.21, 3Bet Preflop: 3.03, Hands: 97)
BB: 21.85 BB (VPIP: 13.70, PFR: 8.22, 3Bet Preflop: 7.89, Hands: 146)
UTG: 26.5 BB (VPIP: 22.25, PFR: 6.92, 3Bet Preflop: 3.82, Hands: 1,328)
UTG+1: 10.75 BB (VPIP: 21.43, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
UTG+2: 17.25 BB (VPIP: 29.20, PFR: 14.16, 3Bet Preflop: 7.35, Hands: 228)
MP: 1.05 BB (VPIP: 27.59, PFR: 1.75, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 60)
SB posts SB 0.25 BB, BB posts BB 0.5 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 0.75 BB) Hero has 8♣ 8♦
fold, UTG+1 calls 0.5 BB, fold, MP calls 0.5 BB, Hero calls 0.5 BB, MP+2 calls 0.5 BB, CO raises to 1 BB, fold, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls 0.5 BB, MP raises to 1.05 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 0.55 BB, MP+2 calls 0.55 BB, CO calls 0.05 BB, UTG+1 calls 0.05 BB
Flop: (6 BB, 5 players) 6♣ T♣ T♦
UTG+1 bets 0.5 BB, Hero calls 0.5 BB, MP+2 raises to 1 BB, fold, UTG+1 calls 0.5 BB, Hero calls 0.5 BB
Turn: (9 BB, 4 players) 4♦
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks, MP+2 bets 1 BB, UTG+1 calls 1 BB, fold
River: (11 BB, 3 players) K♦
UTG+1 bets 1 BB, MP+2 raises to 2 BB, fold
Spoiler
MP+2 shows J♥ T♠ (Three of a Kind, Tens) (Pre 29%, Flop 94%, Turn 100%)
MP shows A♣ J♠ (One Pair, Tens) (Pre 71%, Flop 6%, Turn 0%)
MP+2 wins 12.5 BB
