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turn overpair in bluff

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MrTrocks
Joined: 25.03.2006

PokerStars - $0.50 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 247.84 BB
SB: 49 BB (VPIP: 27.78, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 19)
BB: 185.36 BB (VPIP: 31.25, PFR: 21.88, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 34)
UTG: 152.64 BB (VPIP: 13.79, PFR: 13.79, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 31)
MP: 150.08 BB (VPIP: 20.45, PFR: 13.64, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 47)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 41.67, PFR: 29.17, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 25)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J♦ K♦ A♦ K♥

UTG raises to 3.5 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 3.5 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (8.5 BB, 2 players) 2♦ 8♦ 6♣
UTG bets 6.48 BB, Hero calls 6.48 BB

Turn: (21.46 BB, 2 players) 7♣
UTG checks, Hero bets 16 BB, UTG calls 16 BB

River: (53.46 BB, 2 players) T♠
UTG checks, Hero bets 42 BB, fold,

villian seemed tight

i was thinking about raising flop because he doesnt hit this flop so often
but with only 31 hands i choose to call

after he checked turn i´d bet and planing if he calls to fire the river again to let him fold random 2pair or maybe AA. sure against QQ i have not to bluff.

what do u think about my plan to bet turn (vor value/and if called to turn in bluff)


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3 replies
Omahasaurus
Joined: 04.01.2012

hey, i think raising flop might be a good idea here

as played i would check behind otr with your SD value, but not sure tbh


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Krach-Bumm-Ente
Joined: 01.05.2006

i dislike your reasoning for not raising and really dislike raising.
when you raise the flop you need to think about his continuing range, which is very narrow and has you crushed for the most part (topset, AA+fd). if you're lucky and he's bad he might put in some money with KK/QQ+FD but that's unlikely both combinatorically and in general.
by raising you turn your hand into a bluff/blockerplay for the most part. however, you have the second best overpair, a blocker to the best overpair, a nutdraw, position, good stackdepth and a great board.
raising flop is throwing away all these great possibilities and imo a really dull and uncreative play.


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

just raise flop for value. Sure you are often way ahead, but he is not going to barrel turns either way, so we don't loose anything by making him fold hands that fold later. Ofc don't raise for pot.

Turn bet is fine, river i think we have enough sdv to check

Regards,

Skod


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