nl100 67S

This is a very good hand to bluff river as well. You dont block any of villains flushdraws or OESDs which increases your FE. X/r makes no sense because you have absolutely no showdownvalue und it would be a disaster if villain checks back a hand like 9c7c and wins. Check/raising makes sense with a hand which has decent showdownvalue against villains checkback range and blocks some of his hands which will bet/call the river. In this case a hand like AT would make sense to x/r as a bluff, if you somehow get to the river with this hand.

hey zatox, I know 76 is bad if he checks back and would be better to have shd value, but I thought he will bet either KQ+ which beats me or worse draws which I beat and I didnt see too much sense for me to x/r such hand as AQ or A4s in these positions where he doesnt have many better hands. Now I think it might not be such a bad idea. He will just give me little bit more money with his worse hands before he folds and KQ/AK is probably folding anyway.

Hey Sandraardnas,

Preflop open is fine.

Flop is close, could even x/f here. Could x/r and cbet though.

Turn is fine.

I agree with Zatox comments, this is probably one of the best hands to fire the river with here. This is probably a better option than trying to x/r.

Ok, would you have x/r range on the river then?
How much fold equity would you expect from x/shove?

I think x/r with KK or KT is good because these hands block the board very hard which makes villains range air heavy and unlikely to have a hand which calls three times. The problem with that is that all our bluffs want to bet river and not check.

Originally posted by Zatox11 The problem with that is that all our bluffs want to bet river and not check.

Such imbalances are nearly always fine vs unknown and small sample. By the time you've played tens of thousands of hands and he's figure out we could either stop x/r for value or we can implement a x/r bluff range (usually a bit of both).

Yes I agree on that. However I dont think that we need a x/r Range on this particular runout at all. Villain will very rarely have a hand which will bet/call the river. Most of his range will constist of bluffcatchers which will checkback the river if we check, or busted draws which he might bluff but obviously fold to our raise. So I would just always three barrel my strong hands and with hands which dont have three streets of value I play x/c river and hope to catch some of villains busted draws. What do you think about that?

I suppose there is the scenario where our bluffcatchers actually lose to our opponents bluffs which could make x/r higher EV if our opponent is basically never calling a check raise.

But aside from that, what you are saying makes sense.