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Jj Nl100

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Dinozzo5
Joined: 02.07.2010

$0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
Hero (UTG) ($100) 100bb
UTG+1 ($57.76) 58bb
CO ($101.07) 101bb
BTN ($114.99) 115bb
SB ($100) 100bb
BB ($143.27) 143bb

Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 6 players) Hero is UTG J♥ J♠
Hero raises to $3, 1 fold, CO raises to $9, 3 folds, Hero calls $6

Flop: 6♠ 10:spade: 10:diamond: ($19.50, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $11.17, Hero calls $11.17

Turn: Q♥ ($41.84, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $21, Hero calls $21

River: 7♣ ($83.84, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO goes all-in $59.90, Hero ???

25/20/10. 10k hands
CO v EP 12% 3bet. COvMP 9%. In CO and BU he 3betting loose.
coldcall: 7% vs EP
Cbet 50% 3bp.
Turn cbet ip: 40% (overall 50), River: 60
Wtsd 25, W$sd 52, WwSF: 47
afq, 38, 32, 31

Hi!

what is the good move on river?
I almost called, he could have a lot of bd busted gutshots,oesd + busted flusdraws
Like AK, KJ, AJ, AsXs. If I my calculation is ok he need 15 combo bluff
value: QQ+,AQs,ATs,AQo,ATo
KQ is question, I dont think with this hand he has a value show.

Same action, and if turn-river is a blank the calldown is ok?


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9 replies
bulldozzer7
Joined: 07.11.2010

I am not so sure about your range estimation

what makes you thin he plays all AQ kombos like that? I think that would be a rather optimistic shove on the river - also w KK honestly


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Imo he can be value shoving AQ since UTG perceived call 3bet range has no or very few Tx, and KK+ is mostly 4bet especially vs wide 3bet. But who knows if he cbets AQ, AK, AJ at all on flop. Postflop he looks definetely on tigther side especially on turn, so imo it is easy fold on turn. Also on blank, easy fold on turn vs this guy.


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bulldozzer7
Joined: 07.11.2010

well just because we rarely have him beat is not a reason to valuebet if we only ever call when we do have him beat
do you know what i mean?
what weaker hands than AQ call the riverbet? Is that range all that big?
I dont think so


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Sure I understand what you mean, and I agree. But not all regs think with a totally clear head while playing multi tables.


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bulldozzer7
Joined: 07.11.2010

so does that mean that you assume he always shoves AQ? and has all 12 combos of it?


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alphamonkey
Joined: 27.12.2013

I think JJ with :spade: is a clear fold river because we block Fd, AJ, KJ ...

I think we may call river with AQ and some JJ combo without :spade:.

About PF range villain, I think he will more times calls with AQ than 3bet. (my opinion)


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Originally posted by bulldozzer7
so does that mean that you assume he always shoves AQ? and has all 12 combos of it?

Apsolutely not. He might even not 3bet AQ. I just wanted to say it is possible that he bets it for value.


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alphamonkey
Joined: 27.12.2013

I am concording with Ginger, with AQ we have a clear value bet on the river.


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey guys,

I think JJ is a fold on the river. I would fold. Imo even the turn call is close facing this action.

However...I would seriously consider value betting AQ (even with small sizing) because I think a lot of guys are not folding JJ here. It partly depends on preflop range also (we should possibly check if villain is flatting stuff like KK/AA vs 3bet and has more of a protected range.


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