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N100 straight turned to bluff

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Majku99
Joined: 22.02.2012

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $131.94 (131.9 bb)
BB: $100 (100 bb)
UTG+1: $100 (100 bb)
UTG+2: $113.35 (113.4 bb)
MP1: $192.20 (192.2 bb)
MP2: $219.32 (219.3 bb)
MP3: $100 (100 bb)
CO: $108.50 (108.5 bb)
BTN: $105.78 (105.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 9 9
6 folds, BTN raises to $2, Hero calls $1.50, BB calls $1

Flop: ($6) J Q T (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($6) 8 (3 players)
Hero bets $5, BB raises to $17.50, BTN folds, Hero calls $12.50

River: ($41) T (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $24.50, Hero raises to $112.44 and is all-in, BB folds

Results:

Spoiler

$90 pot ($2.80 rake)
Final Board: J Q T 8 T
Hero mucked 9 9 and won $87.20 ($43.20 net)
BB mucked and lost (-$44 net)


Squeeze BB vs BTN or 19%
Hey!
On the turn I lead to be called by FD, 88, two pair. When BB raises he is capped to 9x hands, I don't think he raises here 88,FD just calls here and AK,TT+ he would squueze pre. If river wasn't pairing the board I think I have to call. But on paired boards I can xraise to make him fold his 9x, because I can rep 88,QJs,QTs,maybe TT and there is not many bluffs in this kind of spots at NL100, so I think villain will give me credit for hand


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7 replies
bulldozzer7
Joined: 07.11.2010

I think your hand should be a call
99 ist the worst bluffinghand in this spot imo since you block the hands that you want him to fold


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sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012

Hey bull, but here in this spot villain doesnt have any better hand, so he is either bluffing or has 9x.
Given that when he calls shove we just split and this spot is very rare, I think we can just bluff here always and what can he do about that?


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bulldozzer7
Joined: 07.11.2010

ok i see
what is your range on the river?


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sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012

Depends a bit on bu and bb squeze frequency, but most likely 99, A9s, T9s and then some fd, mostly suited aces if bb doesnt squezze much (I tend to call them form sb when bb has like 10% squezze bb vs bu).

And I must say I was wrong that vill doesnt have better hands, he might easily have up to 8 kombo of K9 and he probably wont fold that since I rep poverty, so I guess its better to call this hand.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

yep, having him call K9 here would be disastrous. K9 is probably at the top of his range and he shouldn't fold it unless he thinks u are not capable of bluffing.

I'll call this, and maybe turn some 2p into a bluff.


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sandercvo
Joined: 14.08.2011

Villian has to be pretty stupid to valuebet 9x on the river. I don't see villian bluffing with a flushdraw on the turn, and he also doesn't raise with 88. I am pretty confident he has K9 always! I personally think you can bluff in this spotl, as I think this is a very nitty regular who expect you aren't able to turn 9x into a bluff. I like it!


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Originally posted by sandercvo
Villian has to be pretty stupid to valuebet 9x on the river. I don't see villian bluffing with a flushdraw on the turn, and he also doesn't raise with 88. I am pretty confident he has K9 always! I personally think you can bluff in this spotl, as I think this is a very nitty regular who expect you aren't able to turn 9x into a bluff. I like it!

1. Plenty of guys not thinking in this spot, they just value bet 9X. Remember that this is FR NL100, players are solid but not super good. A lot of them are playing 24 tables and just mashing buttons for rakeback
2. Ideally if we knew he always folds K9, then a check-raise bluff is great. But does he?


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