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Confusing Turn Call

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Tavore
Joined: 17.04.2013

Hey guys, here's a hand I played on Stars in my latest session, I'll throw the hand up then my thoughts on it below:
PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 131 BB (VPIP: 11.80, PFR: 10.67, 3Bet Preflop: 4.26, Hands: 181)
SB: 178.5 BB (VPIP: 18.75, PFR: 4.17, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 48)
BB: 170.5 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
UTG: 132 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 8)
UTG+1: 110.5 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
Hero (MP): 119 BB
MP+1: 100 BB (VPIP: 8.47, PFR: 4.52, 3Bet Preflop: 3.64, Hands: 178)
MP+2: 210 BB (VPIP: 20.17, PFR: 10.92, 3Bet Preflop: 4.08, Hands: 122)
CO: 99.5 BB (VPIP: 14.93, PFR: 8.96, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 68)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♦ Q♥

UTG calls 1 BB, fold, Hero raises to 5 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 5 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (12.5 BB, 2 players) 6♥ T♣ 9♣
Hero bets 7.5 BB, CO calls 7.5 BB

Turn: (27.5 BB, 2 players) 9♥
Hero bets 17 BB, CO raises to 87 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 70 BB

River: (201.5 BB, 2 players) 5♦

Hero shows Q♦ Q♥ (Two Pair, Queens and Nines) (Pre 83%, Flop 90%, Turn 95%)
CO shows J♥ J♦ (Two Pair, Jacks and Nines) (Pre 17%, Flop 10%, Turn 5%)
Hero wins 194.5 BB

Preflop: pretty standard iso-raise w/ the UTG limp then CO peels which is kind of odd but not unexpected from LP

Flop: Again Standard C-Bet, we get value from a lot of his speculative range as well as any TPGK hands he may have, at this point I should mention CO's stats are 15-9-0 over 68 hands, he's also taken 4/8 hands to showdown so I put him as a rock

Turn: This is where it gets tricky, he raises me here but I figure all his super strong hands like boats, 78 etc would call and bet/raise river depending on what I do here, which leaves his strong but marginal hands like AA, KK (though I figured he would have 3bet these) AT, QQ, JJ, and nut flush/combo draws, as this is a pretty balanced range and I'm getting almost 2-1 I make the call.

anyways, any feedback is apprecated if you get this far in the post,

thanks guys :)


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3 replies
maythany
Joined: 18.10.2011

Doesn't look like a hard call TBH.

It'd be trickier if he min-raised you.


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Tavore
Joined: 17.04.2013

At the time I had to go into the tank here, villain raising all in put me in a tough spot as my QQ does turn into a marginal hand/ bluff catcher, it's only after I realised that villain's line didn't add up.


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maythany
Joined: 18.10.2011

Yeah you need about 53% equity to call here and based on his estimated range - give or take some hands, QQ is good enough to call here.


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