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AQs 3bet pot IP

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Poker Stars, $6.37 Buy-in (15/30 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 7 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 2,448 (81.6 bb)
BB: 1,495 (49.8 bb)
MP1: 1,505 (50.2 bb)
MP2: 2,104 (70.1 bb)
MP3: 1,523 (50.8 bb)
Hero (CO): 1,570 (52.3 bb)
BTN: 2,855 (95.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A Q
2 folds, MP3 raises to 60, Hero raises to 160, 2 folds, BB calls 130, MP3 calls 100

Flop: (495) 4 8 K (3 players)
BB checks, MP3 checks, Hero bets 240, BB folds, MP3 calls 240

Turn: (975) 7 (2 players)
MP3 checks, Hero checks

River: (975) 3 (2 players)
MP3 bets 600, Hero folds

Results: 975 pot
Final Board: 4 8 K 7 3
MP3 mucked and won 975 (575 net)
Hero mucked A Q and lost (-400 net)

HJ is 37/22 3bet 7.7 over 60 hands
AF 5 fcbet 0 (3)

Should cbet a bit less ~200. I dont expect to have FE vs him so I think I prefer to have a free card rather than b/c on T.


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5 replies
kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

Why would u 3bet this preflop? I just flat. I don't mind a 3bet if you fear a lot of calls from the blinds, but in general, I prefer to just flat.

Yeah, I cbet less, about 200. After the flop c/c, I am just looking to check it down. If he never folds on cbets, you can also barrel this turn. You build up the pot when you hit, get a free river showdown when you don't and also protect against some hands that have equity vs you. So if he rarely folds on cbets, making one cbet makes no sense.


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EinsteinFranck
Joined: 30.01.2009

Wouldn't a smaller cbet be quite exploitable? Besides the hand we have, I do not see many hands cbet small.

I guess with Kx or 88 (we could hardly represent 33) we would want to protect against a possible FD. BB and MP3 still have possibly AJs+ in their hands. Besides, we want to extract value with such hands.

Assuming that we cbet between 1/2 and 2/3 with Kx and 88; we basically are showing the stength of our hand. We could possibly have AA but that's it. So if Villain figures that out, he could raise/fold extremely profitably against us.

Could you comment on this?


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kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

If we are speaking about 3bet pots, my default cbet sizing will be around 1/3 of the pot to 40%.

So, it depends a lot on what range we put our opponent on. Ofc, if we have AA on 974ss vs a fish, I am gonna cbet bigger to protect/get value. If the board is dry, I believe we need to bet small with our value and with our bluffs. Value-because we induce calls with worse/bluffs and we don't have to worry about protecting our hand as much and bluffs-because we get a much better price on them and we have more room postflop to pick up different lines.
If we play fishes-I wouldn't worry about being unbalanced at all. I don't care, I wanna exploit them, not play a balanced strategy. So, this is a dry board. He def. doesn't have many 8x, neither he has 4x and I don't see many suited stuff either to worry about a FD much. He is raising 22% and he's a fish. He prolly raises any Ax first, pairs, broadway(and that's more than 22%) and then starts thinking about 86s.


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EinsteinFranck
Joined: 30.01.2009

Alright, thanks. To which extent do you trust Villain's stats since hero has played only 60 hands against him?


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kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

Just to get some general ideas-he's a fish, he's on the looser side. And because he's a fish, he would like to play any Ax(which is about 14-15%).


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