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call or fold river?

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m1ha1l
Joined: 27.06.2013

Bet flop for value, on the turn I bet 30% to take value from over cards!

PokerStars - $0.91+$0.09|125/250 Ante 25 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 3,181 (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
SB: 8,224 (VPIP: 13.69, PFR: 9.69, 3Bet Preflop: 5.05, Hands: 266)
BB: 8,500 (VPIP: 21.97, PFR: 19.58, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 449)
UTG: 1,794 (VPIP: 9.14, PFR: 8.96, 3Bet Preflop: 6.42, Hands: 790)
UTG+1: 5,046 (VPIP: 55.56, PFR: 44.44, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
MP: 17,793 (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
Hero (CO): 7,529

7 players post ante of 25, SB posts SB 125, BB posts BB 250

Pre Flop: (pot: 550) Hero has 9♠ 9♣

fold, UTG+1 raises to 500, fold, Hero calls 500, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (1,550, 2 players) 5♥ 6♣ 6♠
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets 620, UTG+1 calls 620

Turn: (2,790, 2 players) 2♦
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets 960, UTG+1 calls 960

River: (4,710, 2 players) T♣
UTG+1 bets 2,941 and is all-in, Hero calls 2,941

Spoiler

UTG+1 shows 6♦ 6♥ (Four of a Kind, Sixes) (Pre 19%, Flop 99.9%, Turn 100%)
Hero shows 9♠ 9♣ (Two Pair, Nines and Sixes) (Pre 81%, Flop 0.1%, Turn 0%)
UTG+1 wins 10,592


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4 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

On river you need to win the hand 27,77% (2941/(2941*2+4710)*100%) of the time.
I don’t think an average $1 player is bluffing enough here to make a call profitable.


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LuckyLukePS
Joined: 28.08.2014

Actually I think when people check here as pre-flop aggressor it usually signals strength. I'm expecting a c/r or c/c most of the time and checking back my hand otf to call a turn bet.


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cccpXIRNMD
Joined: 08.02.2006

hi,

I do not like the cold call preflop. your hand is pretty strong but plays bad postflop as the flop will likely have overcards.
i would 3bet preflop. cbet the flop and take it down most of the times.

as played: the flop bet is way to small. there are so many scare cards that you do not want to see . 10,J,Q,K,A
the turn bet again is to small. in this spot you would like to take the pot down on the flop or the turn and let him pay the price with overcards. should he have JJ+ you are going to see that and you know where you stand.

and the river is a fold. i mean what hand range do you give to him?
he is UTG+1 so he has a very strong range and an all in bluff rase on the river just does not make any sence whatsoever.
you are beat , lay the hand down and play the next one.


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1MOREMOR1
Joined: 04.05.2011

given effective stacks i 3b call or 3b jam pre


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