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BTN 89s vs CO steal

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CrushemRo
Joined: 14.09.2013

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $5.04 (100.8 bb)
BB: $7.88 (157.6 bb)
CO: $7.82 (156.4 bb)
Hero (BTN): $5 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9 8
CO raises to $0.15, Hero calls $0.15, SB calls $0.13, BB calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.60) A J 7 (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, CO checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($0.60) T (4 players)
SB bets $0.29, BB calls $0.29, CO calls $0.29, Hero raises to $1.24, 2 folds, CO raises to $2.70, ????

From BTN with 89s vs CO I have a stardard CC. I think in this spot is the optimal play because I would like to see a flop with this hand.
CO is a reg 29/24 with a AF of 2.6, Fto3B 100%(1) on 93 hands.
SB is a 31/8, Fto3B 0(1) in 13 hands and BB a 42/25 with a 3B of 23.1(13) and Fto3B 0(2) in 37 hands.
What do you think ? Is 3B preflop a more +EV spot ? I don't want to 3B CO and build a large pot, because the blinds could cold call me.

Not sure if the turn play is good. Yeah, the squeeze I think is the best play, but when I get a 3B from the reg is a tough spot. Would he call with QK that small bet from the SB ? I think that he should raise that to protect his hand or he doesn't need protection ?


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey CrushemRo,

Calling preflop is fine.

It's very difficult to profitable x/c this type of hand on the flop. Yet we don't want to check/fold because our hand clearly has some potential. So in general it's a good spot to be donk-betting the flop in a multi-way situation.

Turn raise is likely ok, but we look so strong with this line that the sizing doesn't need to be big. It really sucks when CO decides to 3b. He can easily have QK. I would assume he has enough worse hands in his range that we can call turn and call river, but there is a reasonable chance we are behind his range and only calling for pot-odds.


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CrushemRo
Joined: 14.09.2013

Hi w34z3l, thanks for the evaluation.

Originally posted by w34z3l

It's very difficult to profitable x/c this type of hand on the flop. Yet we don't want to check/fold because our hand clearly has some potential. So in general it's a good spot to be donk-betting the flop in a multi-way situation.

In this spot I'm on the button though, I can't donk bet, but I see your point.

Originally posted by w34z3l
Turn raise is likely ok, but we look so strong with this line that the sizing doesn't need to be big. It really sucks when CO decides to 3b. He can easily have QK. I would assume he has enough worse hands in his range that we can call turn and call river, but there is a reasonable chance we are behind his range and only calling for pot-odds.

A raise size of around 0.9 on the turn is more ok ? I don't want to be giving odds for calling to hit the flush.


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Yeah sorry about this mis-read. This is a great spot to bet in position. Very profitable. It looks extremely strong + we can get away with a small sizing.

Actually I'm not saying there is anything wrong with your turn-sizing, I don't think it's overly large. It was just a general comment. We could get away with reducing the sizing slightly but there is not a huge amount in it.

Also just a general note, there is nothing wrong with given people the odds to call with their draws, this is a common misconception. It's actually better to give them the odds and them call then have them fold in most cases since we extract value. Assuming they would call a large bet without the odds, that's when we don't want to give them the odds because we'd be missing value.


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