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NL50 - JJ: overpair turn

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Lunitis
Joined: 22.02.2009

23/18/2.7af
6.7% 3bet co
41/35/52 fold vs cbet flop/turn/river ip
60% bet turn ip vs missed (float), +61% bet river
46% wwsf
29% wtsd
51k hands

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $19.61 (39.2 bb)
BB: $57.75 (115.5 bb)
Hero (MP): $51.70 (103.4 bb)
CO: $58.44 (116.9 bb)
BTN: $63.88 (127.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with J J
Hero raises to $1.50, CO calls $1.50, 3 folds

Flop: ($3.75) T 5 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.50, CO calls $2.50

Turn: ($8.75) 7 (2 players)
Hero ?


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8 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Continue to bet...


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Lunitis
Joined: 22.02.2009

C/r for value is overplay?


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

You check and give all FD a free card?


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webhunky
Joined: 31.03.2010

Yes, C/r would be an overplay, opponent is clearly a good player.
Given his stats (doesn't fold much on the turn), we should just continue.

Checking would be good against some opponents, who like to float a lot on a dry board and bluff on the turn. But it's quite hard to notice that in Zoom.


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Hi Lunitis,

I don't think ck/raise is an overplay but it depends on what size we go for. I doubt an aggro good villain will take that many free cards with his drawy hands.

A raise could induce (and I would make it as such) and look to not make it more than 2.3-2.5x his bet (of course it still depends on what he bets.

Of course, double barreling would be considered the "standard" play.


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Lunitis
Joined: 22.02.2009

He floats 60% i consider that number high, and yes i also think he would float draws.
Normally i just second barrel in this spot, but here looked nice to c/r because i dont think he would fold Tx, nut flush draw or maybe even a 99-88 because i think many players believe c/r in drawy boards are made with draws.

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $19.61 (39.2 bb)
BB: $57.75 (115.5 bb)
Hero (MP): $51.70 (103.4 bb)
CO: $58.44 (116.9 bb)
BTN: $63.88 (127.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with J J
Hero raises to $1.50, CO calls $1.50, 3 folds

Flop: ($3.75) T 5 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.50, CO calls $2.50

Turn: ($8.75) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $4.85, Hero raises to $13.50, CO calls $8.65

River: ($35.75) 6 (2 players)
Hero ?


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tukioppilas62
Joined: 01.01.2011

As played I think x/call is best on the river. Villain may bluff w. some missed heart draws another option is maybe to bet - call small to induce. Shoving doesn't accomplish anything imo.


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What would villain bluff with?

If we ck/raised and ck river we are eitehr trapping again or giving up with busted draws. So I doubt he'll bluff much if anything.

Possibly a small bet to induce is actually not terrible if you really hope he can bluff.


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