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AA top set river shove or Xc?

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marcosmartinez
Joined: 03.07.2013

24/17 4.2kh
WWWSF 49, WTSD 28, W$SD 50
CC BU 20%
3b 7%,
Fold to cb 43, bet vs missed flop 46
agg % 41, 36, 30
bet river 31
raise cb 12% flop, 41%(27) turn (crazy.. )

i decide to xr flop cause im bloking AX hands and he would bet his fds so i think is fine

ott i think his line is 44, some slowplayed AQ maybe and semibluffs, so OTR i dont think he has a lot of hands that can call a shove.. i dont like a XC with this hand, prolly xcalling bottom set or AQ is better.. i know that top set as a bluffcatcher is not a good idea but is really difficult to me to find hands that will call the shove

toughs?

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $8.32 (33.3 bb)
BB: $61.69 (246.8 bb)
UTG+1: $25.25 (101 bb)
UTG+2: $59.57 (238.3 bb)
MP1: $27 (108 bb)
MP2: $33.32 (133.3 bb)
Hero (MP3): $28.04 (112.2 bb)
CO: $49.80 (199.2 bb)
BTN: $30.38 (121.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A A
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, CO folds, BTN calls $0.75, 2 folds

Flop: ($1.85) A Q 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($1.85) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.34, BTN raises to $3.50, Hero raises to $11, BTN calls $7.50

River: ($23.85) J (2 players)
Hero shoves 16$ o Hero XC ?


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6 replies
VaskataBuci
Joined: 08.08.2011

His bet vs. missed cbet is not that high, expecting to be lower on those kind of board with 2 overcards. So, I prefer to cbet myself. Given the action on the turn I think he will call with the hands that otherwise he would bet.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I would c bet flop myself. FD, SD, 2 high cards, all reasons for cbet.
After the turn action and the stack you have, shoving is ok.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I also think that cbetting is better, but I kind of like your plan of check/raising. As played, I think everything rest is fine.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Okay, I replied in the duplicate of this thread. I'll copy it over here as well. I agree with the other replies:

With a set you want to stack your opponent which will rarely happen when you play tricks on the flop. Then going even trickier on the river is even more unlikely to work. Bet flop and hope he has AQ/QQ/33 or and FD or is in the mood for bluff-raising, or holds Ax/Qx/pp that will probably call. As played you go for a measly c-bet from him that is even unlikely to materialize. Are you representing a small pp or a total miss? Hard. Those should really c-bet (quite small, representing Ax or better) as a last attempt at the pot with great folding equity. You rep mostly Qx + monsters.


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gadget51
Joined: 23.06.2008

In this situation I'd let the villain find hands he can call with, I'm all in on the river. Apart form that I agree totally with the other posters.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Originally posted by YohanN7
Okay, I replied in the duplicate of this thread. I'll copy it over here as well.

Good that you did it :f_thumbsup:
Duplicated thread is removed now.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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