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River fold?

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2reac
Joined: 10.04.2014

Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2698005
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

CO: $7.09 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 9, 3B: 5, AF: 0,2, Hands: 57
BTN: $10.00 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 21, 3B: 3, AF: 12,0, Hands: 82
Hero (SB): $18.55 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 17, 3B: 8, AF: 3,2, Hands: 53211
BB: $11.21 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 12, 3B: 5, AF: 2,8, Hands: 273
UTG: $13.88 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 19, 3B: 8, AF: 6,0, Hands: 30
MP: $15.45 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 18, 3B: 9, AF: 3,7, Hands: 92

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with A :club: A :diamond:
UTG raises to $0.25, 3 folds, Hero raises to $1.10, 1 fold, UTG calls $0.85

Flop: ($2.30) Q :club: 5 :diamond: 2 :club: (2 players)
Hero bets $1.40, UTG calls $1.40

Turn: ($5.10) J :club: (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50

River: ($12.10) 8 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $7.88, Hero ???

PRF: We were deep so my 3bet is a little bit higher than normally
F: Cbet standard
T: I think If I Cbet here he will fold all his floats or weaker hands so I gave him the chance to bluff me.
R: It was a tough decision for me. Considering his aggresion, it is better to call or fold ?


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8 replies
VaskataBuci
Joined: 08.08.2011

I would call. He does not have A♣


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

If he does not have Ac, are we scared to bet turn?


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2reac
Joined: 10.04.2014

I wasn`t scared by the flush. I didn`t want to bet because I couldn`t seek value from any weaker hand since flush completed and he knows I should be scared to bet if I don`t have at least K♣ . In this way I let him to bluff me and I think he is capable to bluff. Anyway, if he would have something like AQ,KQ I wouldn`t get 3 streets of value so if he xback T with such cards I would bet on the River and he would probably call and I don`t think I lose value from TP with this line.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Aggression factor for 30 hands is irrelrvant!


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gadget51
Joined: 23.06.2008

You have 30 hands so far on villain so assuming 'He knows' is not the way to do it. Given what you said the call is easy then surely?

I would still fold though.
It's mostly 2 pair + and our AA has turned to a bluff catcher. The question I suppose is why are we bluff-catching a villain we only have 30 hands on? Can we say he has X% bluffs here? I dont think I could.


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Zanardi1
Joined: 04.01.2010

Call. How does the river change the situation?


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010
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Castle93
Joined: 06.06.2011

As played, you have to call the river if you're calling the turn. Personally as villain is unknown, I would bet / bet/ shove.


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