SB(reg) vs BB(hero) ---------> trying to figure him out(2000k hands)

This turn card is not very good for bluffing. I think that on the turn he has something like AA-66, 98, 76, AT, KT, QT, JT and some flushdraws. I don't think he will bet this turn with busted backdoors flushdraws. It is possible that he is still bluffing the river with busted flushdraws, but I guess he rather has AA-QQ, 98, 76, 66 and 77. I expect him to check/call all Tx hands (and sometimes monsters). If you think that he is capable of bluffing 3 streets and that we have a profitable call there, we can bluffcatch, of course. But I would fold at least the river (if not the turn).

Originally posted by Alleen86
This turn card is not very good for bluffing. I think that on the turn he has something like AA-66, 98, 76, AT, KT, QT, JT and some flushdraws. I don't think he will bet this turn with busted backdoors flushdraws. It is possible that he is still bluffing the river with busted flushdraws, but I guess he rather has AA-QQ, 98, 76, 66 and 77. I expect him to check/call all Tx hands (and sometimes monsters). If you think that he is capable of bluffing 3 streets and that we have a profitable call there, we can bluffcatch, of course. But I would fold at least the river (if not the turn).

You are right. I mistaked on turn...
On river i dont know ... i dont think he has a great hand but... he showed... JTo

Yeah, unless he's a very agro reg postflop he's probably not bluff barreling the 6 turn and Q river after you called the turn. River was definitely a fold IMO. As you said you're just bluff catching. He has indicated he clearly has 6x 7x 10x straight and 66-AA. You're only beating worse 7x and AK which he three barreled and losing against everything else in the river including even AQo AQs or KQs which he might had two barreled. Definitely a very -EV call.

Man, he is betting flop and turn close to pot and then 2/3 on river. He has at least TP here and your calling 3 streets with your hand is not ok.

Figure him out by taking notes on his sizings etc. Not random speculation.
Virtually everyone at NL5 has large imbalances, and most regs have sizing tells, you should have plenty of reads on him after 2k hands especially if you 4 table or less which I think you do based on your blog.

And if you don't want to do that, just call strong bluff catchers fold weak ones so you don't end up leveling yourself like you did - you've got some 144 combos of Tx and better here you can call before A7 imo - and I'd want to overfold vs that sizing on all streets at NL5 for sure without reads.

Your hand looks exactly like what it is from your line, Tx, 99, 88. a7 it's pretty capped.
The only hand the Queen improves is QT, so he can still get value from you quite easily especially with a bit of history your range is so capped he value bets that river all day.

To be honest wouldn't be surprised if he was thinking he could get you off AT and accidentally valued you.

Cheers Bonecore

Because I am at new sites lately I have not much call to use the "opponents" tab in HM2

I was beginning to use it at 888 as I had ever present regs with thousands of hands, one or two who began playing back at me pretty obviously ( or so I thinks ;-). Very useful either in a game or when I am reviewing to use this function.

I was doing this when I first sit at the table and I see I have regs marked=/- notes ( I like to turn HUD off later) Because we take less notes of villains in hands we are not actually involved in, looking at aspects of villains play in HM2 as we do our own, and replaying a few hands is very instructive. His ranges should be well defined. Anything interesting that helps we make a note. Unless he is a robot regular he will have quirks.