Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
Hero ($10.36)
BB ($10)
UTG ($8)
UTG+1 ($11.94)
UTG+2 ($9.97)
MP1 ($8.21)
CO ($10)
BTN ($10)
UTG posts $0.10
UTG+1 posts $0.10
Dealt to Hero T♦ A♦
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, fold, MP1 raises to $0.20, fold, BTN calls $0.20, Hero raises to $1, fold, fold, fold, MP1 calls $0.80, BTN calls $0.80
FLOP ($3.30) 3♥ K♠ A♣
Hero checks, MP1 checks, BTN checks
TURN ($3.30) 3♥ K♠ A♣ 8♦
Hero bets $1.10, MP1 calls $1.10, BTN folds
RIVER ($5.50) 3♥ K♠ A♣ 8♦ 3♦
Hero checks, MP1 bets $5.25, Hero ??
Open raiser is an aggresive fish, 56/21 on 58 hands.
I think my preflop line is questionable, maybe I could have just called pre... But I think I'm ahead of his range and I also want to play HU vs him...
As played postflop, I guess the river is a fold since he might have any random 3 or something? His sizing (in general this sizing from fishes on the river... ) looks pretty suspicious to me, I don't think he bets that much with an Ax (which would a split), maybe with air but I'm not sure, this might be a way ahead way behind situation where in the long run its actually pretty close w/e i do ...
But do you agree river bets almost-pot-size from a fish are sooo strong that it is most of the time a value bet?
