Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
Hero ($10)
BB ($11.54)
UTG ($10)
UTG+1 ($16.29)
UTG+2 ($10.45)
CO ($4.07)
BTN ($10)
Dealt to Hero 9♠ 9♥
fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.25, fold
FLOP ($0.70) J♠ 8♠ 2♦
Hero checks, BTN bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50
TURN ($1.70) J♠ 8♠ 2♦ J♣
Hero checks, BTN bets $1.21, Hero ???
With more than 2.1k hands, I put the whole screenshot of villain's stats, so hopefully there is something you might find useful.
These villain is good, or at least I consider him a very decent grinder. On the flop I think I have the best hand most of the time, didn't raise because that would turn my hand into a bluff and I think I have SD value... the question is then, how to get this hand to the showdown?
His second barrel disconcerts me a bit, why would he bluff such a bad card like a Jack on the turn? (by barrelling he represents almost only very good hands like overpair, trips, or better, but that's a tiny % of his range considering we are on a battle for the blinds). Does he know I know the jack is bad for a second barrell bluff and he bets hoping that I give him more strength that he has and fold something like TT-99 (or even A-high, he might be good bluffing with KQ for example). Or he just has it, the jack, and I should fold? (I think a flush draw is more likely to check behind and see a free card on that turn...)
If i call the turn should I call a river blank? I think I'd also have a hard time calling a river bet, its overall pretty hard to bring this hand down to the river it seems :f_ugly:...
) so I think call and fold are both possible. In game I would probably tend to fold slightly more due his stats.
