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Liar Dice - Diary of a Bean Counter!

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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Originally posted by thazar

Originally posted by Tim64

I'm afraid I can't tell how you are losing money just from the graph.

Best wishes,
Tim

And why not Tim? !!!! :f_drink:

Too many possible explanations :)


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yushanls92
Joined: 20.07.2011

Originally posted by Tim64
Hey yushanls92, can you say which game this is? 6mx? Spins?

I'm afraid I can't tell how you are losing money just from the graph.

Best wishes,
Tim

Hi, Tim
Thank for reply my post :f_love:
I'm playing spin n go $0.5-$1 buyin and feel very hard to break. Can you give some advice about how can realize my mistake myself ? Do we need stats or some more infomation to find out....


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

So, yushanls92, first don't worry about ICM - there's no ICM in Spins, so only your chip EV matters in the long run. Since your chip EV is falling I guess it's most likely you have some leaks, although it's true that 100 games are not a lot.

Stats would help a bit, but realistically the best way to find your mistakes is by reviewing your hands with you.

Tim


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Guess it's not the biggest claim to fame and I think turn should be a bet, but still pretty cool to play and win a hand against the Legend (this guy):


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Gavron23
Joined: 26.05.2010

What kind of tournament is this?

On a side note i donated my chips to jorj 95 in the last Supernova freeroll :)


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Not a tourney. It's PLO zoom cash. Unlucky in the freeroll!


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tonypmm
Joined: 11.01.2009

I understand that trying to learn PLO is +EV, but what on earth were you doing in PLO Zoom (aka Doom and the biggest raketrap in the universe)? :f_confused:


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Is rake in zoom higher than on regular tables?


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tonypmm
Joined: 11.01.2009

The problem is not in the rake (which is surely a bit lower in the nittier game), but in the field. The presence of the fast fold button induces both regs and, most importantly, recs to play tighter (antes were proposed to repair the situation, but they proved unpopular during the PLO5K-only trial). Plus, no table selection is possible in Zoom. Hence regs' winrates are smaller relatively to the rake.

The only (dubious) advantage at small stakes is that some regs find it more difficult to put in the same number of hands per hour at normal tables as they do in Zoom (though I think it's possible).

At high stakes, the pseudorandomness of Zoom seating removes the unfair advantage of scripters, allows everyone (not only those who're at the top of waitlists) to get a (smaller) piece of the fish. That's why there were talks about making HS Zoom-only. But that's rather a necessary evil than an improvement.


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

As usual, tonypmm, you talk a lot of sense. :)


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metalmonkey80
Joined: 15.08.2013

Hi Tim64,

Inspirational blog and very well structured. I look forward to spending a few days reading it all! I am new to poker in regards as a job and if NL cash doesn't work for me my second choice is SNG.
Did you get around to publishing your book you spoke of on your first page?

My regards

Matt


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Thanks, Matt, for the kind words :) Hope you enjoy the rest!

Originally posted by metalmonkey80

Did you get around to publishing your book you spoke of on your first page?

Sadly not, but I still think it's something I might do one day (25% chance?) when I don't have to forgo income in return for the time.


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metalmonkey80
Joined: 15.08.2013

May I ask for a teaser about the book??
Just reading about your 1000 hand challenge.

I WILL NOT ALLOW MYSELF TO MOVE UP TO NL50 UNTIL I CAN PLAY 1,000 HANDS AT NL25 WITHOUT ANY 'UNFORCED ERRORS'

I was hoping to move up soon on a Short stack strategy but believe my curiosity is going to hold me back!
Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players

CO: $28.60
BTN: $25.00
SB: $57.87
BB: $25.87
UTG: $25.70
UTG+1: $26.80
Hero (MP): $25.00

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is MP with K :spade: A :diamond:
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, 3 folds, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.60) 8 :club: 4 :club: A :club: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.50, BB calls $1.50

Turn: ($4.60) A :spade: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3, BB raises to $23.62 all in, Hero calls $19.75 all in

River: ($50.10) T :spade: (2 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $50.10
BB shows 9 :club: T :club: (a flush, Ace high)
Hero shows K :spade: A :diamond: (three of a kind, Aces)
BB wins $48.10
(Rake: $2.00)


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Book is autobiographical dark humor, based on certain tragi-comic events and situations from the first 30 years of my life.

In the hand you posted, it's worth thinking about what your pot sized cbet does to both:
1 your betting range; and
2 his continuing range
on this flop.

I think it tells him you never have a bluff but also never a flush or a set. So he can put you exactly on strong top pair type hands.

Now, for him to call your bet he must have either top pair (often with flush draw), K or Q high flush draw, flopped flush or set. (That is, you don't allow him to reach turn with anything worse, because you already told him how strong you are).

On the turn, although this seems to be a good card for you, it doesn't really change where you stand vs. His range. You are way ahead or way behind. I'd bet/fold this turn half pot or check back to reevaluate river. If you bet, you are ahead of most hands that call and crushed by those strong enough to check raise.


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Well, that was a nice session :f_drink:

Villain: 29 hands, 31/35, 3b 18.2
Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $210.70 (210.7 bb)
BB: $180.50 (180.5 bb)
UTG: $28.56 (28.6 bb)
MP: $52.71 (52.7 bb)
Hero (CO): $432.04 (432 bb)
BTN: $55.14 (55.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A J Q 4
2 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, BTN calls $2.50, SB raises to $11, BB folds, Hero calls $8.50, BTN calls $8.50

Flop: ($34) 3 A 4 (3 players)
SB bets $32.47, Hero calls $32.47, BTN folds

Turn: ($98.94) T (2 players)
SB bets $96.14, Hero raises to $384.56, SB calls $71.09

River: ($433.40) K (2 players)

Results:$433.40 pot ($2.80 rake)
Final Board: 3 A 4 T K
SB showed 8 Q Q T and lost (-$210.70 net)
Hero showed A J Q 4 and won $430.60 ($219.90 net)

Not sure whether turn is a call or a shove as played, maybe Skodljivec or Kyyberi can tell me?


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $106.58 (106.6 bb)
Hero (BB): $100 (100 bb)
UTG: $102.44 (102.4 bb)
MP: $134.06 (134.1 bb)
CO: $337.34 (337.3 bb)
BTN: $100 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 9 J J 9
UTG folds, MP raises to $3.50, CO folds, BTN calls $3.50, SB folds, Hero calls $2.50

Flop: ($11) A 6 9 (3 players)
Hero checks, MP checks, BTN bets $6, Hero raises to $28, MP folds, BTN calls $22

Turn: ($67) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $64.20, BTN calls $64.20

River: ($195.40) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $4.30 and is all-in, BTN calls $4.30 and is all-in

Results:$204 pot ($2.80 rake)
Final Board: A 6 9 2 Q
Hero showed 9 J J 9 and won $201.20 ($101.20 net)
BTN showed A 8 4 6 and lost (-$100 net)

Amazing. Best hand preflop, best hand on the flop, and still best hand by the river. #cantbeomaha


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tonypmm
Joined: 11.01.2009

Originally posted by Tim64
Not sure whether turn is a call or a shove as played, maybe Skodljivec or Kyyberi can tell me?

I thought you've already hired one of them as a private coach, why not :f_confused:

I would have shoved just to improve the precision of the EV line because neither of you would have folded on any river.


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Happy New Year, everyone! Wishing you best of success in 2016 :f_drink:


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thazar
Joined: 14.09.2009

Happy new year Tim!


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

The hole: Had my biggest ever losing day yesterday.
The donut: Had my highest ever volume day.

Donuts and holes, gentlemen. Donuts and holes.


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