Originally posted by CPallo
Hi there,
In general your donk is very bad in this case. You shouldn't be doing that versus any decent opponent in 3-bet pots oop, especially when you have hit quite well. There's some reasons for this:
a) Like said before, he has to give up his trash hands (like KTs, if he 3-bets that)
b) He has to give up his hands that have some value (Like JJ), because he can't call more than 1 street. If you let him bet flop, you could have at least 2 streets of value
c) and related to a and b, you are isolating yourself against his top-range. I believe that you wouldn't donk here with hand like QQ/QK or sth like that? Most of the villains know that, too.
Optimal line here would be to check flop and call 2 bets in this pot. In case he bets flop and checks turn, you can go for 1/2 value bet on river for sure.
First off, I agree, donking this particular hand is bad. Donking may generally worse than check-raising (nobody really knows), but certainly not always.
You are assuming that a donking range is unbalanced. It should definitely not be that. It should be polarized and balanced between (top?) 2 pair+ and good draws (like a small pair + FD), and only on certain boards. If the donk is raised, generally reraise/move in. Only if the donk is called and you happen to be bluffing you are in trouble. Then you are on your own and will have to play poker.
I also think you too overestimate the value of extracting a measly c-bet those times when you have nuts. You want his stack. This is quite likely to happen in, say, BB vs UTG if he happens to have an overpair. This is particularly so because donks are misread. If you donk with a pair + draw, then it is a bonus if he folds. Admittedly, due to the most common misread of the donk, he will rarely fold - but - he may make the mistake of raising you, in which case you move in. Now you have fold equity and if he calls, it is no disaster because you have plenty of outs.