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NL25 Set vs a BDFD. Should I fold?

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saseca
Joined: 15.11.2009

I am sorry if it seems like a stupid question, but recently I've been loosing quite a bit and I've started questioning everything.

I don't think he plays a better set like that, so that leaves just draws and overpairs. When he donk shoved the river I didn't feel like I was beating anything, but so few things beat me that I couldn't fold. But how many times would he bluff like that?

I am sorry if I am wasting your time with a hand that is an obvious call, but I just don't know.

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $12.76 (51 bb)
BB: $69.06 (276.2 bb)
UTG: $25 (100 bb)
MP: $26.01 (104 bb)
Hero (CO): $25 (100 bb)
BTN: $34.65 (138.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 7 7
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, 3 folds

Flop: ($1.85) T Q 7 (2 players)
MP bets $0.99, Hero raises to $3, MP calls $2.01

Turn: ($7.85) 4 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $5, MP calls $5

River: ($17.85) 2 (2 players)
MP bets $17.26 and is all-in, Hero calls $16.25 and is all-in

Results:

Spoiler

$50.35 pot ($2 rake)
Final Board: T Q 7 4 2
MP showed 8 9 and won $48.35 ($23.35 net)
Hero showed 7 7 and lost (-$25 net)


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4 replies
LuckyManFromLT
Joined: 12.11.2013

Actually it looks like a fold vs most of opponents, it's not a bluff line for regular players, if you have stats on him, his AF and maybe some notes then it would be easier, but think about it , does he really donk shove hands like AcJc, AcKc? when you looks very strong on this board given that you x/r flop vs MP. So, maybe I'm a nit, but on these stakes players just don't bluff this way, exploit them by making big folds.


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IPtkv
Joined: 30.08.2011

I agree. Even if it looks like, it is never a bluff. Unless you have evidence, which you don't, fold should be good. After you call take a not of his call otf I would raise also much bigger.


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repoorTer
Joined: 13.05.2010

id call it tho as well


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

snapcall, plenty of fishes bluff with busted club draws or straight draws


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