Originally posted by la55i
Originally posted by nitrol
I do not agree that this flop misses him. On NL2 villains tend to 3 bet the small pairs from SB vs CO and BTN.I'm not sure if I agree with this. Ofc it is possible that villain 3bets lower PPs but I wouldn't say that it is a common tendency. That is just my experience.
If I was villain on this hand my cbetting range would depend on my villain. I guess I would often cbet 100% here because ppl at NL2 usually fold way too much to cbets and our second barrel would have a lot of fold equity too.
OTF we can continue with overpairs, draws, broadways.. OTT it depends much on villains bet size. You can continue with bigger overpairs and draws if you get odds.
If villain tends to double barrel a lot I think you can sometimes raise flop in this kind of situations. When you are OOP you can call flop donk turn also.
Agree that I'd be cbetting close to 100% here in villains shows.. especially with the gutshot for Ax. So I definitely cbet all Ax, all suited spade and suited club broadways. And depending on villain I'd cb other broadways as well.
We should be continuing with every overpair of course, and I guess high overcards with backdoors, and the Ax. Overpairs (which might turn into 2nd pairs) could continue on turn, while unimproved stuff we give up. And the draws of course we could continue. It would depend on bet sizes.
I have to completely disagree though with the idea of raising pairs if villain 2nd barrels a lot. I don't think we have to raise for protection. I think it's just all the more reason to call, since we have what? 70% equity vs 2 overcards? So if he's gonna weaken his range by barreling hands with 30% equity, then I see no point in raising in order to get him off those hands, leaving him with the hands that crush us. Does that make sense? I know sometimes we feel like we should raise to "avoid tough decisions" but I mean, we have to take the most profitable line, and it just doesn't sound profitable to turn a bluff catcher into a bluff when villain has a bluffing range, right?