Full Tilt, $0.86 Buy-in (150/300 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: 3,104 (10.3 bb)
Hero (BB): 3,301 (11 bb)
CO: 2,931 (9.8 bb)
BTN: 4,164 (13.9 bb) (VPIP:29 PFR:5 over 139 hands)
Preflop: Hero is BB with A
9
CO folds, BTN raises to 900, 2 folds
Results:
750 pot
BTN mucked and won 750 (450 net)
Since his stats are quite passive I think his range is strong and I fold. Should I re-shove?
It sounds fine to me to fold against a steal of a fish. Also you need to have a decent amount of fold equity to make a shove profitable at the bubble with 2 shorter stacks still in and I don’t think you have that here.
Cheers,
SDK1987
Villain is still raising 3x at this stage, I wonder if he always raises the same size of bet? It would probably be a useful exercise to try to guess villain's range and use software to see what sort of equity your hand has against that range.
Villain had 16% BTN Open Raise. My hand had 43% equity against this range plus any fold equity if there is any.
His PFR is extreme low and looks like with a button raise % of 15 that he doesn’t steal to often and his raise sizing is big as well. So I don’t think you have any fold equity here. Even that in mind it’s even possible that you have less equity that you think, because you have only a small sample of his button raise stats.
