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KQ 2pairs vs raise turn

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sergii1984
Joined: 23.04.2011

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $5 (100 bb)
Hero (BB): $5.71 (114.2 bb)
UTG: $8.92 (178.4 bb)
MP: $5 (100 bb)
CO: $6.09 (121.8 bb)
BTN: $4.98 (99.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K Q
UTG raises to $0.15, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.15, SB folds, Hero calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.47) Q 2 T (3 players)
Hero bets $0.29, UTG calls $0.29, BTN folds

Turn: ($1.05) K (2 players)
Hero bets $0.67, UTG raises to $1.84, Hero ????

EP:
19/16 WTSD 20 AF 1,7

I give EP this range turn: KK,AKs,AJs,KQs,AhQh,AKo here we have 53% Eq


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13 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I would squeeze pre flop. Flop bet and turn bet ok. I think I would call here with top 2. You could maybe add QT,KT in villains range?


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sergii1984
Joined: 23.04.2011

Originally posted by la55i
You could maybe add QT,KT in villains range?

I think he is too tight for playing this hands from EP


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Squeeze preflop.
You can think of calling here ott .


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by sergii1984

Originally posted by la55i
You could maybe add QT,KT in villains range?

I think he is too tight for playing this hands from EP

19/16 villain will have KTs , QTs, JTs in his range.


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Tinsley15
Joined: 18.07.2013

would call ott..


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Originally posted by sergii1984

Originally posted by la55i
You could maybe add QT,KT in villains range?

I think he is too tight for playing this hands from EP

I think KTs and QTs are not too wide.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

To OP: Your range estimate is useless. For example, 8 combos of AK, and no combos of QQ? Wishful thinking.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Originally posted by YohanN7
To OP: Your range estimate is useless. For example, 8 combos of AK, and no combos of QQ? Wishful thinking.

Almost every player will raise QQ on this flop and we block that too. If you want to, we can add that 1 remaining combo of QQ there and it will decrease our equity 3%. Not a big deal.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Originally posted by la55i

Originally posted by YohanN7
To OP: Your range estimate is useless. For example, 8 combos of AK, and no combos of QQ? Wishful thinking.

Almost every player will raise QQ on this flop and we block that too. If you want to, we can add that 1 remaining combo of QQ there and it will decrease our equity 3%. Not a big deal.

Un-weighted range estimates suck period. The mere fact that it comes out that we are a favorite should alert you to how nonsensical it is. (If we are a favorite, why then a thread at all?)


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

QQ are raising this flop if villain is not dumb.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

No, forget it.

I have misread OP.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Give new opinion:)


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Okay. I am still suspicious of the range estimate because it has us as a favorite. E.g AK may not be raising turn. I'd not, for example, so if you were up against me, you are not facing 8 AK combos. You face 0 such. In reality (versus average opponent) you might face 3-4 AK combos. Never 8. This is what I mean by weighting. In close situations with tight ranges you simply must weigh possibilities (or it wouldn't be close - hence no forum thread).


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