NutzAreOk's betting blog

Originally posted by IvicaIliev77
How did I miss this?

Several questions:
1) What BR management do you use for betting?
2) What is your average betting odd?
3) What is the number of bets you place per month?
4) What is your success % for winning the bet (singles) ?

Quick answers to these:
1)Very nitty BR management. Basically I bet from same bankroll as I have for poker so we are talking about four digits bankroll. And I know that 1-2% from the bankroll is fine at sports betting but I use less than that.
2)Haven`t count that (yet).
3)Depents how many tips I found/how much I have time/how many tips I`m able to bet myself before odds go down. But first month was somewhere around 400 bets. That`s quite low amount though per month though.
4)Haven`t count that either (yet).

Hey that was quick response, appreciate it.

In regards to number of bets, 400 per month can be actually a lot!
Let me give you example for NBA handicaps and expectations. Say that you play 1.85 betting odd there and you win 6/10 or 60% of time and you also bet same amount (1%-2% from BR). Now assume we have 50k BR for betting, that is 500$ per single. Also, let's assume that you very carefully pick the games and end up with 2 bets per day or around 700 per whole year.
Your expected profit would be following:
60% out of 700 games you win so 420 games won at 1.85
Formula is then 500$ x 420 x 1.85 = 388500$ won from 350000$ invested, profit 38500$ in a given year with 60% success rate with NBA handicaps.
Anywhere between 50 to 60% success goes from slightly loosing to BE and solid winner. Long term you can get this 60% if you follow NBA and find very strong value bets.

Other strategy is the way you were going. Having a lot of bets with lesser ROI but thanks to a lot of money invested, amount won on smaller ROI will yield nice profit also.

Soccer:

Spain, La Liga:
Espanyol - Celta Vigo/Celta Vigo +0.25, 1.854 Half Won

Asia, AFC Champions League:
Shanghai SIPG - Melbourne Victory/Shanghai SIPG, 1.85 WON
Nasaf Qarshi - Al Ain/Nasaf Qarshi DNB, 2.50 Void

Croatia, 1. HNL:
Rijeka - D. Zagreb/Rijeka +0, 1.975 Void

England, Championship:
Brentford - Cardiff/Cardiff +0.25, 1.625 Lost
Burnley - Middlesbrough/Burnley +0, 2.00 Void
Rotherham - Huddersfield/Rotherham +0, 2.00 Void

England, League One:
Southend - Oldham/Oldham +0.25, 1.68 WON

England, League Two:
Barnet - Notts County/Barnet +0, 1.934 WON

England, Vanarama National League:
Halifax - Eastleigh/Eastleigh +0, 1.78 Void

England, Ryman League:
Farnborough - Kingstonian/Farnborough DNB, 1.83 WON

Finland, Suomen Cup:
JJK - Jazz/JJK, 1.87 Lost

Italy, Serie B:
Ascoli - Bari/Bari +0, 1.88 WON
Avellino - Trapani/Trapani +0, 2.06 WON
Livorno - Latina/Latina +0.5, 2.01 Lost

Slovakia, Fortuna Liga:
Skalica - Z. Moravce/Skalica, 1.96 WON

Sweden, Allsvenskan:
Djurgården - Hammarby/Djurgården O1.5, 1.95 Lost

Switzerland, Super League:
Zurich - Grasshoppers/O2.5, 1.65 Lost

Baseball:

MLB:
Philadelphia Phillies - NY Mets/U7.0, 2.05 Void
Chicago White Sox - LA Angels/Chicago White Sox -1.5, 2.55 Lost

Ice Hockey:

Czech Rep., Extraliga:
Karlovy Vary - Litvinov/Karlovy Vary, 1.70 WON

NHL:
Philadelphia - Washington/Washington, 2.10 WON

KHL:
CSKA - Magnitogorsk/DC X2, 2.13 WON

Tennis:

WTA, Istanbul:
A. K. Schmiedlova - M. Sakkari/M. Sakkari, 2.38 WON
M. Zanevska - J. Larsson/J. Larsson -4, 1.869 Lost

Volleyball:

Poland, Orlen Liga Women:
Chemik Police W - Trefl Sopot W/O146.5, 1.72 WON

Stage 2!

Originally posted by NutzAreOk
(2€)
Hradec Kralove U21 - Dukla Prague U21/O2.5, 1.40 WON
Cork City - Waterford/Cork City -2.5, 1.70 WON
=Total odds 2.38 WON

(4.76€)
Admira - St. Polten/Admira, 1.90 WON

(2€)
Inter Turku - KuPS/O1.5, 1.36 WON
Swansea U21 - Fulham U21/O2.5, 1.65 WON
=Total odds 2.24 WON

(4.49€)
HIFK - Tappara/HIFK, 2.04 WON

Stage 3! Lets do this!

Originally posted by NutzAreOk
Stage 2!

Originally posted by NutzAreOk
(2€)
Hradec Kralove U21 - Dukla Prague U21/O2.5, 1.40 WON
Cork City - Waterford/Cork City -2.5, 1.70 WON
=Total odds 2.38 WON

(4.76€)
Admira - St. Polten/Admira, 1.90 WON

(9.09€)
Shandong Luneng - Hiroshima/Shandong Luneng +0, 2.00 WON

(2€)
Inter Turku - KuPS/O1.5, 1.36 WON
Swansea U21 - Fulham U21/O2.5, 1.65 WON
=Total odds 2.24 WON

(4.49€)
HIFK - Tappara/HIFK, 2.04 WON

(9.19€)
Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen/O2.5, 1.68 Lost
Heerenveen - Ajax/Ajax, 1.54
=Total odds 2.587 Lost

Soccer:

England, Premier League:
Liverpool - Everton/Draw, 4.20 Lost
Manchester Utd - Crystal Palace/U2.5, 1.99 WON

Italy, Serie A:
AS Roma - Torino/AS Roma, 1.458 WON
Genoa - Inter/Genoa +0.75, 1.75 WON
Juventus - Lazio/Juventus, 1.578 WON

Netherlands, Eredivisie:
Heracles - Feyenoord/Heracles DNB, 3.00 Void
Twente - Excelsior/Excelsior +1, 1.99 Lost

Spain, La Liga:
Malaga - Rayo Vallecano/U3.0, 1.66 WON
Valencia - Eibar/Valencia, 1.617 WON
Valencia - Eibar/Valencia -1, 2.02 WON

Belarus, Belarusian Cup:
Zhodino - FC Minsk/Zhodino, 2.20 Lost

Belgium, Jupiler League:
Genk - Club Brugge KV/Genk +0, 2.11 WON

Bolivia, Liga de Futbol Prof:
Petrolero de Yacuiba - Ciclon/DC X2, 2.05 Lost

Trinidad & Tobago, Pro League:
Club Sando - Police FC/Police FC, 2.10 WON

Finland, Suomen Cup:
Haka - RoPS/Haka +1.5, 1.73 WON

Germany, DFB Pokal:
Hertha Berlin - Dortmund/Draw, 4.15 Lost

Norway, Tippeligaen:
Bodo/Glimt - Haugesund/Haugesund +0, 2.82 WON
Sogndal - Odd/Odd, 2.10 WON

Oman, Division 1:
Al Suwaiq - Muscat/Muscat +1, 1.45 Void
Al Musannah - Al Nasr/Al Musannah +0, 1.89 WON

Poland, Ekstraklasa:
Termalica - Korona Kielce/Draw, 3.35 WON

Russia, Russian Cup:
Amkar - Zenit/Zenit, 1.80 Lost
CSKA - Krasnodar/CSKA, 2.01 WON

South America, Copa Libertadores:
Gremio - Toluca/Gremio -1, 2.025 Void

Ukraine, Ukrainian Cup:
Dnipro - Zorya/Dnipro, 1,74 WON

Ice Hockey:

NHL:
Detroit - Tampa Bay/Detroit, 2.44 Lost
NY Rangers - Pittsburgh/O5.0, 1.90 Lost
Chicago - St. Louis/St. Louis ML, 2.56 WON

Basketball:

Philippines, Commissioners Cup:
Star Hotshots - San Miguel Beermen/San Miguel Beermen ML, 1.35 WON

Nice winning day yesterday. Today not so many games.

Soccer:

England, Premier League:
Arsenal - West Brom/Arsenal to win to nil, 1.95 WON

England, Southern Premier League:
Dunstable Town - Chesham/O2.5, 1.72 Lost

Denmark, Division 1:
Roskilde - Vejle/O2.5, 1.72 Lost

Spain, La Liga:
Granada - Levante/U2.5, 1.76 Lost

Belgium, Jupiler League:
Gent - Anderlecht/1st Half U1.0, 1.99 WON

Bulgaria, Bulgarian Cup:
Litex Lovech - Montana/U2.5, 1.80 WON

Costa Rica, Primer Division:
U.C.R. - Alajuelense/U.C.R., 2.52 WON

Switzerland, Challenge League:
Winterthur - Le Mont/DC X2, 1.94 Lost

Ice Hockey:

NHL:
NY Islanders - Florida/Florida ML, 2.00 WON

Baseball:

MLB:
Miami - Washington/Washington, 2.07 WON

Tennis:

ATP, Barcelona:
K. Khachanov - A. Dolgopolov/K. Khachanov, 3.54 Lost
B. Paire - P. Cuevas/B. Paire, 2.42 WON
R. Stepanek - An. Kuznetsov/R. Stepanek, 3.75 Lost

WTA, Stuttgart:
J. Goerges - R. Vinci/J. Goerges, 2.17 Lost

Stage 4, Euro Hockey Tour!

Originally posted by NutzAreOk

(2€)
Hradec Kralove U21 - Dukla Prague U21/O2.5, 1.40 WON
Cork City - Waterford/Cork City -2.5, 1.70 WON
=Total odds 2.38 WON

(4.76€)
Admira - St. Polten/Admira, 1.90 WON

(9.09€)
Shandong Luneng - Hiroshima/Shandong Luneng +0, 2.00 WON

(18.18€)
Sweden - Russia/Russia ML, 2.05 Lost

Unfortunately weekly double up project ended yesterday. Unlucky.

Soccer:

Austria, Erste Liga:
LASK Linz - Neustadt/Neustadt +1.5, 1.96 WON

England, Championship:
Preston - Burnley/Burnley, 2.15 WON

France, Ligue 2:
AC Ajaccio - Valenciennes/U2.5, 1.63 WON
Evian TG - Le Havre/U2.5, 1.59 WON
Nimes - Lens/U2.5, 1.75 Lost

Germany, Bundesliga:
Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen/O2.5, 1.70 WON

Germany, 2. Bundesliga:
Freiburg - Duisburg/Freiburg, 1.431 WON

Germany, 3. Liga:
Bremen II - Fortuna Köln/Bremen II -0.25, 2.05 Lost
Preussen Munster - Magdeburg/Preussen Munster -0.25, 2.10 Lost

Singapore, S. League.
Brunei DPMM - Albirex Niigata/Albirex Niigata DNB, 2.10 WON

Netherlands, Eerste Divisie:
Breda - Almere City/Almere City O1.5, 3.26 Lost

Greece, Football League:
Kallithea - Smyrnis/U2.5, 1.65 WON

Estonia, Meistriliiga:
FC Levadia - Tammeka Tartu/U3.5, 1.60 WON

France, National:
Amiens - Frejus Saint Raphael/Amies -0.75, 1.725 Half Won

Basketball:

NBA:
Indiana - Toronto/Toronto ML, 1.884 WON

Finland, Korisliiga:
Helsinki Seagulls - Pyrintö Tampere/Helsinki Seagulls, 2.35 WON

Ice Hockey:

Finland, Liiga:
Tappara - HIFK/Draw, 4.00 Lost

World, WCH U18 IB:
Ukraine U18 - Italy U18/Ukraine U18 -2, 2.26 Void

I decided to take a day off from betting today but here`s yesterdays bets below. I had some early bets for today though, I`ll post them too. Yesterday was a great hockey day btw. Finland had two match. Finland - Czech Republic which we won 4-1. Then Finland won semifinal match at the U18 WC against USA. Third match of the day was 5th final match at Finnish Liiga, HIFK-Tappara. The series was tied 2-2 before yesterday and gladly Tappara manage to won yesterday and at the tuesday the have the chance to win the championship at their homefield as they lead the series now 2-3.

Soccer:

England, Premier League:
Manchester City - Stoke/Stoke +1.5, 2.07 Lost
Aston Villa - Southampton/O2.5, 2.05 WON

England, Championship:
Blackburn - Bristol City/Bristol City +0.25 Half Won
Milton Keynes - Brentford/Brentford +0, 1.90 WON

England, League One:
Bury - Millwall/Millwall, 2.12 WON

England, Ryman League:
Farnborough - Brentwood/Farnborough, 1.72 WON

Germany, Bundesliga:
Ingolstadt - Hannover/Ingolstadt -0.5, 1.975 Lost

Germany, Regionalliga Sudwest:
Kickers Offenbach - Eintracht Trier/Eintracht Trier +0, 1.80 Lost

Germany, Regionalliga Bayern:
Aschaffenburg - Memmingen/Aschaffenburg, 2.16 Lost

Italy, Serie B:
Pro Vercelli - Avellino/U2.5, 1.781 WON

Italy, Lega Pro - Group B:
Pistoiese - Teramo/Pistoiese, 1.65 WON
Spal - Arezzo/Draw, 3.46 WON

Russia, Premier League:
Krylya Sovetov Samara - Ural/Krylya Sovetov Samara, 2.17 Lost
Rubin Kazan - Terek Grozni/Terek Grozni +0.25, 1.90 WON

Slovakia, Fortuna Liga:
Myjava - Z. Moravce/DC X2, 3.00 Lost

Spain, Segunda Division:
R. Oviedo - Huesca/R. Oviedo, 1.909 Lost

Sweden, Division 2 - Norra Götaland:
Gunnilse - Kumla/Kumla DNB, 2.50 WON

Volleyball:

Slovakia, Extraliga:
Presov - Nitra/Nitra, 3.25 Lost

And few for this sunday.

Soccer:

England, Premier League:
Leicester - Swansea/Swansea, 5.50 Lost

Spain, La Liga:
Getafe - Valencia/Getafe DNB, 2.20 Void

Argentina, Primera B Nacional:
Brown Adrogue - Almagro/DC X2, 2.20 WON

Finland, Ykkönen:
KPV - EIF/KPV, 1.70 WON

Peru, Primera Division:
Cesar Vallejo - U. de Deportes/DC X2, 1.66 WON

Monday... Btw. Finland is U18 ice hockey World Champion!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Soccer:

Spain, La Liga:
Celta Vigo - Granada/Celta Vigo, 1.632 WON

France, Ligue 2:
Nancy - Sochaux/Sochaus +1, 1.70 Void

Germany, 2. Bundesliga:
Kaiserslautern - RB Leipzig/RB Leipzig, 1.909 Lost

Saudi Arabia, Saudi Professional League:
Al-Fateh - Al Qadisiya/Al-Fateh, 2.43 Lost

Basketball:

France, LNB:
Limoges - Monaco/Monaco ML, 2.35 WON

Only few bets today also. Today is 6th final of Finnish ice hockey league. I hope Tappara wins the championship but I bet HIFK to win moneyline. If Tappara wins, I`m happy. If HIFK wins at least I win some money.

Soccer:

Algeria, Division 1:
Oran - MC Alger/Draw, 3.20 WON

Asia, AFC Cup:
Al Ahed - Altyn Asyr/Al Ahed, 2.375 WON

Egypt, Premier League:
Smouha - Al Ahly/DC 1X, 1.80 Lost

England, Championship:
Hull City - Brentford/Brentford +1, 1.87 Lost

England, Southern Premier League:
St. Neots - Chesham/O2.5, 1.67 WON

Estonia, Meistriliiga:
JK Nomme Kalju - Tallinna FC Infonet/JK Nomme Kalju DNB, 1.61 WON

Sweden, Allsvenskan:
Norrköping - Hammarby/O2.5, 1.72 WON

Tennis:

Challenger, Tallahassee:
A. Falla - M. Krueger/A. Falla, 1.74 Lost

Ice Hockey:

NHL:
Nashville - Anaheim/Anaheim ML, 1.943 Lost
St. Louis - Chicago/O5.0, 2.01 Void

Finland, Liiga:
Tappara - HIFK/HIFK ML, 2.18 Lost

Tappara, Finnish Liiga champion 2016!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wednesday!

Soccer:

France, Ligue 1:
Lille - Angers/Lille, 1.671 Lost

Cyprus, First Division - Relegation Group:
Aris - AEL Limassol/AEL Limassol, 3.50 WON

Norway, NM Cup:
Fram - Start/DC 1X, 2.45 Lost
Lysekloster - Åsane/Åsane, 1.53 Lost
Stjordals Blink - Levanger/Levanger, 1.60 Lost

Peru, Primera Division:
Ayacucho - Cajamarca/Cajamarca +0, 2.10 Lost

Serbia, Super Liga:
FK Crvena zvezda - Cukaricki/Cukaricki DNB, 5.50 WON

South America, Copa Libertadores:
Dep. Tachira - U.N.AM.-Pumas/U.N.A.M.-Pumas, 2.24 Lost

Sweden, Allsvenskan:
Jonkopings - Falkenbergs/Jonkopings, 1.847 Lost

Tunisia, Ligue Professionelle 1:
Esperance Tunis - Bizertin/Esperance Tunis, 1.50 WON
Etoile Sahel - Stade Tunisien/Etoile Sahel, 1.35 WON
Etoile Sahel - Stade Tunisien/Etoile Sahel -1.5, 2.25 WON

I had only few games yesterday. I`ll post them now.

Soccer:

Peru, Primera Division:
Defensor La Bocana - Cesar Vallejo/Defensor La Bocana, 2.70 WON

Iran, Persian Gulf Pro League:
Tractor - Malavan/DC X2, 2.21 Lost

Volleyball:

Czech Rep., Extraliga:
Karlovarsko - Ceske Budejovice/Karlovarsko, 2.13 Lost

Tennis:

ATP, Istanbul:
M. Granollers-Pujol - H. Chung/M. Granollers-Pujol, 1.625 WON

Friday.

Soccer:

Germany, Bundesliga:
Augsburg - 1. FC Köln/Draw, 3.54 WON

Germany, 2. Bundesliga:
FSV Frankfurt - Kaiserslautern/Kaiserslautern +0.25, 1.657 WON
Union Berlin - Bochum/Union Berlin +0, 1.84 WON

Spain, La Liga:
Gijon - Eibar/Gijon, 1.64 WON

Belarus, Vysshaya Liga:
Neman - FC Minsk/Draw, 3.20 Lost

Finland, Veikkausliiga:
Ilves - IFK Marienhamn/IFK Marienhamn +0, 2.03 WON
PS Kemi - HJK/O2.5, 2.12 Lost

France, Ligue 2:
Creteil - AC Ajaccio/Creteil, 1.87 Lost
Le Havre - Nimes/Le Havre, 1.735 WON

Jordan, Premier League:
Al Ahli - Shabab Al Prdon/Al Ahli, 2.00 Lost

Russia, Premier League:
Dynamo Moscow - Amkar/Dynamo Moscow, 2.20 Lost

Sweden, Division 1 - Södra:
Qviding - Utsiktens/O3.0, 2.15 Lost

Sweden, Division 2 - Norra Götaland:
Grebbestads - Gauthiod/Grebbestads, 1.90 WON

Ice Hockey:

World, WCH IA:
Austria - Slovenia/DC X2, 1.39 WON
Poland - Japan/Poland -1.5, 1.97 WON

Basketball:

Philippines, Commissioner Cup:
Meralco Bolts - Alaska Aces/Meralco Bolts ML, 2.93 Lost

For today I have only some early bets for soccer.

England, Premier League:
Newcastle - Crystal Palace/Newcastle, 2.01 WON
Arsenal - Norwich/U3.25, 1.909 WON

Germany, Bundesliga:
Bayer Leverkusen - Hertha Berlin/Bayer Leverkusen -0.75, 1.826 Half Won

Argentina, Primera B Nacional:
Sportivo Estudiantes - Santamarina/Santamarina +0, 2.375 Lost

Austria, Regionnalliga West:
Kitzbuhel - Hard/Kitzbuhel, 2.10 WON

Czech Rep., Synot Liga:
Sigma Olomouc - Jablonec/Sigma Olomouc, 2.44 WON

Scotland, Premiership:
Aberdeen - Motherwell/Motherwell +1, 1.93 Lost

Sweden, Division 2 - Norra Götaland:
Kortedala - Lidköpings FK/Lidköpings FK, 1.66 Lost

USA, MLS:
NY Red Bulls - FC Dallas/NY Red Bulls, 2.06 WON

Yesterday. And once again I`m late. I was too busy to post anything yesterday.

Soccer:

England, Premier League:
Manchester Utd - Leicester/Manchester Utd -0.5, 2.075 Lost

Portugal, Segunda Liga:
Sporting B - FC Porto B/Sporting B +0, 1.98 Void

Czech Rep., CFL:
Brozany - Zapy/Zapy -0.75, 1.90 WON

Slovenia, 2. SNL:
Aluminij - Drava/Draw, 3.40 Lost

Basketball:

Spain, ACB:
Estudiantes - Fuenlabrada/Estundiantes ML, 1.80 Lost

Tennis:

WTA, Madrid:
J. Jankovic - S. Cirstea/J. Jankovic, 1.61 Lost

(2€)
Chelsea - Tottenham/O2.5, 1.78 WON

(2€)
Gefle - IFK Göteborg/Total goals 2-3, 1.80 Lost