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ZOOM: AKs shoving on flush draw turn

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Banktewn
Joined: 28.04.2012

PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 107 BB (VPIP: 23.33, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)
SB: 140.5 BB (VPIP: 57.14, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
BB: 128.5 BB (VPIP: 15.38, PFR: 15.38, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
Hero (UTG): 101.5 BB
MP: 89 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
CO: 238 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 10)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♠ A♠

Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, SB calls 2.5 BB, fold

Flop: (10 BB, 3 players) 5♠ J♠ T♦
SB checks, Hero bets 7 BB, BTN raises to 20 BB, fold, Hero raises to 98.5 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 78.5 BB

Turn: (207 BB, 2 players) 2♣

River: (207 BB, 2 players) K♦

Hero shows K♠ A♠ (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 46%, Flop 33%, Turn 23%)
BTN shows T♠ T♣ (Three of a Kind, Tens)
(Pre 54%, Flop 67%, Turn 77%)
BTN wins 200 BB

pre: standard
flop: FD + gutshot and two overcards so i c-bet. when he raises I shoved figuring it was +EV. I guess i could have called since i had decent odds but im not sure what is the best approach at this point


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10 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

You have 12 nut outs. (I do not think that A or K are outs). You can stack off but I prefer just calling.
With 15 outs you can shove always.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I agree with nitrol. Against sets we don't have enough equity, but with 15 outs it would be close. We don't have 50% even if we give villain a wide range (sets, JT, QQ, KK). So I prefer calling here.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

Would call here as well. I learned my lesson in the last months :f_biggrin:


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Banktewn
Joined: 28.04.2012

Maybe this is one of my leaks i need to correct cause i do this a lot with drawy hands on the flop. What do i do on the turn if i dont improve then? just check my odds and call again if its small enough? and would i not be commited if i call the turn? what if i dont hit the river? just fold to any raise?


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

If you call OTT then make sure you are not committed indeed. The bet should be then really small (around 20% of pot), which often isn't the case. I would most probably then give up because you probably get a bet close to 70% OTT. Just remember the beluga theorem then you'll do fine.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by Banktewn
Maybe this is one of my leaks i need to correct cause i do this a lot with drawy hands on the flop. What do i do on the turn if i dont improve then? just check my odds and call again if its small enough? and would i not be commited if i call the turn? what if i dont hit the river? just fold to any raise?

You will have to play according to odds, man.


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jonnyZ
Joined: 24.05.2010

whats beluga theorem?


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by jonnyZ
whats beluga theorem?

It is not applied here but it says that when you face a raise on turn, you should continue only with top 2P+.


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Sunrise1912
Joined: 24.11.2009

Just call the flop and see turn. When NL2 player raises the flop you do not really have fold equity to push with a draw. When you get called you will be always behind


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