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NL10 AJo BTN vs CO

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advancedTN1984
Joined: 29.10.2012

PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 154.3 BB
SB: 106.1 BB (VPIP: 21.74, PFR: 17.39, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 23)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 17.07, PFR: 16.10, 3Bet Preflop: 13.41, Hands: 209)
UTG: 32.8 BB (VPIP: 27.63, PFR: 5.26, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 79)
CO: 104.1 BB (VPIP: 27.73, PFR: 23.53, 3Bet Preflop: 16.33, Hands: 122)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♣ J♦

fold, CO raises to 2.5 BB, Hero calls 2.5 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) J♣ Q♦ A♥
CO bets 3.2 BB, Hero calls 3.2 BB

Turn: (12.9 BB, 2 players) 9♠
CO bets 8.8 BB, Hero calls 8.8 BB

River: (30.5 BB, 2 players) 7♥
CO bets 29.1 BB, Hero ?


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9 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Call and make a note. :)


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I think I would call this down as played.

What do you think about raising OTF?


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robin261187
Joined: 04.01.2011

I also like it as played. Raising on the flop is good too.

Don't know what's better.


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pokerplayernumber1
Joined: 05.06.2010

im slightly more for fold
its micros, its close, its fold
but maybe its TQ or A9, depends on villain


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NgroMartin
Joined: 31.08.2010

I like how you play the hand. There are a lots of hands that can be playing like that.
OTR you beat A9, Q9s, J9s, QJ (40 combos).
You lose to JJ, QQ, AA, 99, AQ, KT (56). So I think you lose like 60% of the time (if we think he does not bluff), but you have to win only 33%. I think is a call

I would like to hear an opinion on what is better, call or raise OTF?

edit: I didn't count that you have blockers, so you lose to 46 combos, and beat 34 (42%)


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

I probably can't lay this down as well. Just call and face the music ;)


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

With raising on flop we will fold all Ax that we beat. Even AK may fold. Plus we will face sets only.


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advancedTN1984
Joined: 29.10.2012

Originally posted by NgroMartin
I like how you play the hand. There are a lots of hands that can be playing like that.
OTR you beat A9, Q9s, J9s, QJ (40 combos).
You lose to JJ, QQ, AA, 99, AQ, KT (56). So I think you lose like 60% of the time (if we think he does not bluff), but you have to win only 33%. I think is a call

I would like to hear an opinion on what is better, call or raise OTF?

edit: I didn't count that you have blockers, so you lose to 46 combos, and beat 34 (42%)

I like this argument.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

The guy has wonderful 3-bet stats:]

For this reason (he's super-active), you ought to have some kind of read if all these hands were played on the same session. This guy is probably good enough to also bluff, but his bluffing frequency might be varying wildly depending on how the game has flown lately. (This must be so for a guy 3-betting 16% pre.)

I am trying to say you might be able to find an exploitative fold/call versus such villains. If not, I agree with the call.


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