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Should I fold set on flushed turn?

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StVatle
Joined: 24.11.2014

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $10.22 (102.2 bb)
Hero (BB): $10.63 (106.3 bb)
UTG: $10.51 (105.1 bb)
MP: $9.15 (91.5 bb)
CO: $9.30 (93 bb)
BTN: $7.85 (78.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7♣: 7♦:
3 folds, BTN raises to $0.30, SB folds, Hero calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.65) 4♣: 7♥: A♣: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($0.65) K♣: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.41, BTN raises to $0.82, Hero raises to $2.10, BTN raises to $7.55, Hero calls $5.45

River: ($15.75) 2♠: (2 players)

Results:

Spoiler

$15.75 pot ($0.71 rake)
Final Board: 4♣: 7♥: A♣: K♣: 2♠:
Hero showed 7♣: 7♦: and lost (-$7.85 net)
BTN showed A♦: A♠: and won $15.04 ($7.19 net)

Hi!
I wonder if I should just fold to the turn 4-bet?


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11 replies
CANeZ
Joined: 15.12.2014

Hi,

I dont think that here the main point is the completion of the flush draw. Because I think Villain on the BTN doesnt want to play a strong FD pasively, rather by betting it to increase pot and probably to get folds. By thr way from the board texture I dont see a lot of FD in villains range.

Such betting sequence I think practically never will be bluff.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I would probably just call his minraise and check call river. If river pairs I would go broke :)


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

this would be a weird line from a reg, but it's hard to find non-bluffs that you beat, so it's more of a way ahead way behind spot - i don't see the point of 3betting.
however, this guy has a broken stack... so that increases the probability of him being fishy and playing his flushdraws by checking the flop. since a flush actually makes more sense here, that still means you shouldn't 3bet.

so what were you expecting him to show?


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scopinad
Joined: 13.06.2015

You have 10 outs to the nuts, your call.


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KingKlaas
Joined: 13.12.2008

You make it difficult for yourself by reraising the turn. Better call there:f_confused:


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CANeZ
Joined: 15.12.2014

I think 10 outs is the maximum, on avarage it will be how much? 6-7?


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scopinad
Joined: 13.06.2015

It is 10 clean outs unless you are drawing dead. Then it is 1.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Now, on turn you should play cautious and according to odds. You can call his raise and do not 3b. Why making the pot bigger?


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I would also just call the raise OTT, although I would expect him to bet strong hands (sets included) and flushdraws OTF. It's a weird line from him, but our 3bet seems a bit like an overplay.


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Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016

I´m betting the flop. As played just calling his raise.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

As played:

Pot odds are 11.53:5.45 - or just 2.1:1. This is not by far adequate for a call (the final one). You need him to be bluffing plenty/mistakenly value raising AK/44 enough to make this a call. You'll have flushes of your own to bluff catch with.


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