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[Closed] [PROMOTION] Guess the Hand [Hand 1]

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briccius
Joined: 26.06.2007

Hero opens 2bbs on the BU,
BB 3bets to 7.5bbs,
Hero 4bets to 15bbs,
BB 5bets to 31bbs,
Hero 6bets all-in for 100bbs,
BB calls

The BB is labeled "rather tight". I cannot imagine him having anything but A♥:A♣:
even if ranges in preflop wars are wider on NL400 than where I play.

After HeroΒ΄s 6bet shove Villain is getting 69 to 100+31+0.5 = 69 to 131.5
so he needs 69/69+131.5=69/200.5=0.34=34%

After Hero 6bet shoves, his range is pretty much AA only, I would assume!?
When there are so many bets before the flop and he is getting great odds he should probably just flat KK vs a 5bet
instead of 6bet pushing it when he will only be called by KK+

If this assumption is right, there is no Hand in VillainΒ΄s 5bet value or bluffing range that has the odds to call off HeroΒ΄s 6bet shove except A♥:A♣:.


Saren113
Joined: 06.03.2009

I am going out on a limb here and going to win the m0nies, Villian is probably an winning reg who is on the tighter side, that dosen't mean that he won't do moves with strong blockers (AK) As a 5b jams looks weaker then a 2.2x 5b. So my guess would be AKo as that's the hand with the most combos (8). Going to scooop that pot guys! Send me the biscuits! thx!


dizelup
Joined: 19.11.2013

KK
The villain is a rock, and since we have blockers to AA the next logical and most probable hand he can have that would go all in would be KK.


snowpatroler
Joined: 11.02.2016

Nos conoce? Le hemos estado robando toda la sesion? Estando en guerra de ciegas de limites altos considero que tiene un rango bastante amplio de 5bet y podria estar jugando asi AQs+ AQo+ y TT+ ( y sΓ­ es una roca) las AQ podrian ser su rango de 5bet de farol? Jejeje, asi que entre esas me quedo basicamemte por q no esta dicha con : QQ
Un saludo a todos suerte!!πŸ˜‰


Pokerruudje
Joined: 12.12.2007

AKs,QQ+ --> thats the range...

So i guess..... QQ


burnbrazil
Joined: 17.05.2016

A♣:A♥:


KePasSa
Joined: 03.04.2007

Im not good of explaining why, but I choose QsQh.


Inv1ctus83
Joined: 06.10.2013

I think BB had KK, if he is tight he obviously has top range here but I doubt he would go pf allin with QQ/AK and since there is only one combo of AA left, I think he has KK.


msnek
Joined: 01.10.2008

Originally posted by dizelup
KK
The villain is a rock, and since we have blockers to AA the next logical and most probable hand he can have that would go all in would be KK.

We have blockers, but there is still obv one combo of AA left :) Simple fact of having blockers doesnt mean he cant have that hand - its just less probable in terms of math in vacuum. But facing the action and considering the read on him (we were told he is rather tight) the probability of him having aces is actually skyrocketing way up. Imho.


SicLuc
Joined: 21.09.2015

J♥:J♠: and the flop is K♣:6♦:9♠:Q♥:J♣: :sorry: :truestory:


pitrooster2
Joined: 02.01.2010

el rango de manos que se ajustaria la BB seria este 77+,A9s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KJo+ tranquilamente se hace esa apuesta por equity .......


pitrooster2
Joined: 02.01.2010

el rango de manos que se ajustaria la BB seria este 77+,A9s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KJo+ tranquilamente se hace esa apuesta por equity .......


TooBigToFail
Joined: 05.08.2016

I'd go for AA

I now Card removal makes it unlikely that he has AA and KK is much more likely. UTG , CO, MP didnt open the pot which means its unlikely they had an Ace in their hand. BUT KK, QQ; doenst want to see a 30% Chance to see an Ace on the Flop which sucks if he calls the 5bet ( he gets great odds), thus I think KK is more likely to shove 4 value vs the 4bet. The only Hand that is not scared of any FLop is Aces and may trap with smallish 5bet.


PokerIggy
Joined: 16.01.2011

As we're on the BTN we could raise a bit lighter but as we could also easily call the 3bet with any weaker cards in position he should know we are pretty strong after the 4bet. As he knows this, he must be pretty strong as well. His min 5bet is to keep us in the pot and make us pay to see the flop if we do have a lower PP (eg QQ, KK). This prevents us freezing the action when an A hits the flop and therefore he tries to get as much money/go all-in before the flop. The cards I guess he must have is a stong PP and therefore I guess he has AA.


LuckyNumberSlevin
Joined: 01.12.2012

If he is tight i think he would play KK+ this way. 6x KK is more probable than 1x AA. So i say his hand is KK.


Ozeki417
Joined: 12.09.2016

my answer is: AA

if BB do not have AA, he do not commit.


htghguuh
Joined: 02.01.2014

jj +suited KA QA JA
I'd say he knows his bluff didn't pay off.
now the all in has made it worth his while to call it.


ryknow666
Joined: 23.09.2016

AK por que piensa que es una mano lo suficientemente fuerte para llevarse el bote completo


StucMkd
Joined: 04.07.2010

A♣:A♥:
Tight player, 5 bet.


crodady
Joined: 01.05.2009

Answer is : AA